OHweather Posted March 1, 2016 Author Share Posted March 1, 2016 Went 79/45/11 The low helped me this morning, I should jump above consensus today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 Went 79/45/11 The low helped me this morning, I should jump above consensus today. Pretty close to a perfect forecast as it stands. Hourly winds peaked at 11kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 1, 2016 Share Posted March 1, 2016 so far climo is 79/44/12 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 85/46/25 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 84/45/21/0 Didn't take any big risks, but do feel the winds will be a bit on the higher side later in the day. Again, lowest confidence may be the low temperature, but as long as winds remain fairly light, mid-40s seem like a reasonable call. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 85/45/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted March 2, 2016 Author Share Posted March 2, 2016 Went 85/47/17. On second glance, wishing I went higher on winds. I usually go too high if anything on those Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 84/49/23/0 Biggest risk is on the low, the winds/dew point did not look as good for radiative cooling as last night. But it doesn't take much to get mid-40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 86/49/22 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 84/45/21/0 Didn't take any big risks, but do feel the winds will be a bit on the higher side later in the day. Again, lowest confidence may be the low temperature, but as long as winds remain fairly light, mid-40s seem like a reasonable call. Congrats on the perfect forecast today! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 84/47/23/0.00" Honestly probably should've gone 85 tomorrow but didn't fully believe in it. I think they still manage some weird intra-hour drop at some point tonight with generally light winds. Pretty confident it'll get <50F, but how far we drop is a mystery. There's 20-25kt winds they'll be mixing down, and with westerly winds they seem to "overperform" on the wind category. Overall today wasn't bad, but still not great. Made up a little ground on consensus but not much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 Congrats on the perfect forecast today! I needed it after bombing the low this morning. By the way, winds are already starting to crank, 17kts at the top of the hour. I could make up some ground there, although a really high wind would really give a nice boost to some of y'all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 I needed it after bombing the low this morning. By the way, winds are already starting to crank, 17kts at the top of the hour. I could make up some ground there, although a really high wind would really give a nice boost to some of y'all. 84 for the high, tying a record, and 23 knots with the wind. (that may tickle up another knot or two, but we'll see) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 2, 2016 Share Posted March 2, 2016 The 84/49/23/0.00" would boost me up to near consensus, which would certainly be nice. Next couple days look to be pick and choose between a couple degrees on the max/min, so it could really go either way this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 81/48/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 81/47/15 Took a jump on high winds after seeing the 00z hourly spike to 20 knots. Probably a bit of a gamble, but figure it's usually better to go high on winds than low. I am iffy yet again for the low temperature, the setup is fairly similar to last night, but this location can tumble quick if conditions are just right. I leaned on the cool side, but not far from the consensus. (The low was my biggest opportunity today) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoistWx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 82/49/12/0.00 I was doing well up until day 3, and then the intra-hour drops on the low dropped me down quite a bit. Being that consensus is limited to the top 30 right now, catching up is going to be tough. Could see the low tonight go either way. With such low winds, it'd be unsurprising to see it dip down, at least for a little bit. Winds are a tossup too, depending on whether they die out before or after 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 80/49/13/0.00" Again surprised to see consensus so high on temps. Figured my 80 would be right at consensus, but we'll see how it goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 82/48/13/0 Heights drop a bit tomorrow but not much. Conditions are slightly more favorable for the low to get down into the mid-40s, but I opted for a more conservative play after the record-tying high today. Initially was thinking 46. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 81/48/11 So much for the wind dying off quickly tonight.... EDIT: Then again, wind in this city is from 07z-07z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 19 kt wind at 07Z... Plus the temperature is stuck at 72...going to take a miracle to get to the 40s at this pace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 19 kt wind at 07Z... Plus the temperature is stuck at 72...going to take a miracle to get to the 40s at this pace Just dropped 9F this hour to 45. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Just dropped 9F this hour to 45. Lol. I'm almost certain they probably dropped lower too. Most of their lows seem to be at 6:30 their time so I wouldn't be surprised with a 43/44. Credit to the USL I suppose. With the winds being high, I could actually get ahead of consensus today if the high is 80F or lower. We'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Somehow now close to being in the top 100 if we finish today above 81 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Really hoping Portland wins on this city 10 voting. It's my last year doing this and I'd really like to have a city I'm actually familiar with for once. They really don't seem to like the Pac NW much in this competition. Don't understand why Fort Wayne, IN is so popular, either... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Really hoping Portland wins on this city 10 voting. It's my last year doing this and I'd really like to have a city I'm actually familiar with for once. They really don't seem to like the Pac NW much in this competition. Don't understand why Fort Wayne, IN is so popular, either... Agreed...just threw in my vote for Portland. It seems there are never any PNW cities except for Seattle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Really hoping Portland wins on this city 10 voting. It's my last year doing this and I'd really like to have a city I'm actually familiar with for once. They really don't seem to like the Pac NW much in this competition. Don't understand why Fort Wayne, IN is so popular, either... Well, that whole "no Pac NW" argument is why I just gave Portland 69-68 lead at the time of this post. However, there are a lot of meteorology schools in that area of country so maybe that's why Indiana is so popular? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Temp jumped up 7F over the last hour. Up to 77. Certainly wasn't expecting that to happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Say we top out at 81 even if we stay where we are at it helps me. Just got to have another ok forecast for tomorrow and Ill be sitting good for WV. Even without synoptic systems you could still make ground with the lows and wind here. Pretty impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoistWx Posted March 3, 2016 Share Posted March 3, 2016 Just dropped 9F this hour to 45. Lol. Surprised I didn't drop more from that. A 1 point error forecast yesterday moved me back up into the top 25, and unless the high manages to hit 82, I'll only drop 18 or so places. I figured this city would be boring, but these lows are a roller coaster. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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