H2Otown_WX Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 69/53/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 72/53/24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 73/53/26 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 71/54/23/0 I'm doing well with temps for this city, but lack of strong winds is preventing me from moving up into Top 100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Winds only hit 21kts yesterday... Yikes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Winds only hit 21kts yesterday... Yikes Yeah that was a killer. Makes me nervous for today a bit Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Yeah that was a killer. Makes me nervous for today a bit It's already at 25kts lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Winds only hit 21kts yesterday... Yikes Yeah, seems tough to tell the 20kt days from the 25kt or 30kt days in this city. Or maybe it's not tough, but I certainly haven't figured it out, yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 It's already at 25kts lol. Hopefully no higher Now just need the high to get to 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Hopefully no higher Now just need the high to get to 72 I'm with ya on that! Looks like I'll finish this week between 7-30 overall depending on today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I'm with ya on that! Looks like I'll finish this week between 7-30 overall depending on today That's awesome man! I'm 75th currently but was as high as 57th I think before the winds sort of screwed me yesterday. How do you figure out where you could potentially finish? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 I'm with ya on that! Looks like I'll finish this week between 7-30 overall depending on today Nice! Not quite as good here, 11th-53rd (assuming at least 26kts of wind), but I'm still happy with that week 1 standing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 2, 2015 Author Share Posted October 2, 2015 I will be around 200th after today, maybe a little bit inside the top 200 depending on the high. Well above consensus, but the lows to start the week and the wind yesterday have kept me from doing better. One more week here, so time to make up ground if I do well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherMA Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 That's awesome man! I'm 75th currently but was as high as 57th I think before the winds sort of screwed me yesterday. How do you figure out where you could potentially finish?Hypothetical scoring in the left bar. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 If the max temp is at or below 70, I should be top 50 and top 5 in Cat 4 standings even with a rough D3 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Hypothetical scoring in the left bar. Thanks! If they get to 72F I'd be 44th...wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 If the max temp is at or below 70, I should be top 50 and top 5 in Cat 4 standings even with a rough D3One of the sophomores here was checking the scores and you were tied with her for like 3rd in your category Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 climo report has: 69/53/25/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 I can't believe the wind didn't get any higher. The wind all three of the last two days looked like it should have gotten higher than day 1 but no dice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 I can't believe the wind didn't get any higher. The wind all three of the last two days looked like it should have gotten higher than day 1 but no dice. i dont understand either .. i mean whats the chance the 10z ob caught the highest wind ob? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 I'm honestly more surprised about the high. I was sure it would be in the 71-75 range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 I'm honestly more surprised about the high. I was sure it would be in the 71-75 range. Same here...looks like the NAM MOS finally caught one Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 GFS MOS was doing very very well with temps before yesterday. We shall see what next week brings! Looks like the UL will bring any rain before we have to forecast again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 GFS MOS was doing very very well with temps before yesterday. We shall see what next week brings! Looks like the UL will bring any rain before we have to forecast again. Wasn't just the GFS MOS either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 3, 2015 Author Share Posted October 3, 2015 Wasn't just the GFS MOS either.USL too. Euro was a little cool for both highs and lows but was useful when accounting for that bias. Now winds on the other hand stumped me at times, and guidance too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 4, 2015 Share Posted October 4, 2015 not doing the greatest right now but 493rd overall time to improve though. California last year was not my friend either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 I'm 90th overall entering this week. Let's see what this city got after weekend of rain and high winds... EDIT: 70/51/17/0 I didn't feel comfortable risking it on temps after models' struggles over the weekend, so I went with what USL got. I think the high will end up somewhere between 68-70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 67/51/17/0.00" Took a big gamble on the max temp tomorrow, which I hope will pay off. A good day will put me in prime position for a top 15 finish if it pans out right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 6, 2015 Author Share Posted October 6, 2015 Went 71/51/20 for tomorrow. I was fairly torn on all three variables. I can't find any recent days where the max temp got more than 17C warmer than the 700mb temps, and with 700mb temps of around +4C expected by 0z Wednesday that gives a high of around 70F. The GFS MOS was also never more than 1F too low on the high last week, and has 69F. On the other hand, they should mix as well as any day last week if not better, and should be sunny. The Euro, 4km NAM and another couple of hi-res models had highs of 72-73F for highs...if anything they ran too cool most days last week (although the Euro was generally ok). Sort of took a blend of these ideas for the high. For the low, dew points are in the upper 40's and for a good portion of the night they'll have clouds. Winds don't look too strong tonight and if they clear late it won't take much to get down to near 50, so I didn't want to go warmer than guidance for the low. The pressure gradient looks weaker than most days last week, but the NAM has a decent uptick in the low level winds out of the NNW tomorrow evening as do most hi-res models, so I gambled high for the wind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 6, 2015 Share Posted October 6, 2015 69/53/14 If that all verifies I would move up to 10th in the country lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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