ma blizzard Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 68/45/12 def wish i went lower on the low and a degree or two higher on the high Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 68/43/12. I was debating 68-69 and 40-45 tonight, but I went conservative yet again on both accounts (working for me so far). I'm surprised, but glad the consensus went 66 & 44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 68/43/10/0. Low will certainly be lower, but the conservative route seemed best. Still sitting top 100 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 If the 6-hour low of 42F is any indication of the way things are going tonight, those with the lowest minimum temperatures may score big. The hourly temp at 06z stands at 45, FWIW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 Already a nice warm-up to 61 by 16z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 With full mixing the temperature could get up to 74. I say we get to maybe 71/72 tops was debating on going higher but didn't oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 From yesterday's models, mixing seemed to argue something like 72F. But I was too chicken to go that high. Wishing I had at least gone 70 or 71 now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted January 29, 2016 Share Posted January 29, 2016 If I was doing as well as OHweather on the precip in this city alone, I'd have a cumulative score (over ALL cities) of about -4.5 and be in 4th overall. Instead, my cumulative will be sitting at around -4.0 so far which puts me in about 20th place overall. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted January 30, 2016 Author Share Posted January 30, 2016 If I was doing as well as OHweather on the precip in this city alone, I'd have a cumulative score (over ALL cities) of about -4.5 and be in 4th overall. Instead, my cumulative will be sitting at around -4.0 so far which puts me in about 20th place overall.I'm surprised that day 2 precip made such a huge difference (I think we were the same day 1? Or close to it). I'm obviously happy with how the first week went as I'm sitting in first overall for the city. Now I have to hang on for another 4 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Sitting in the top 75. Probably will be more aggressive overall to see what I can do. Only a few points outside a trophy in the Cat 4 section so we'll see if days 5-8 can match OHweather's pace Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Sitting in 24th in the city 116 overall trying to drop below 100 by the end of next city. Do a crazy ton better then last year now that I actually have time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted January 30, 2016 Share Posted January 30, 2016 Sitting in the top 75. Probably will be more aggressive overall to see what I can do. Only a few points outside a trophy in the Cat 4 section so we'll see if days 5-8 can match OHweather's pace Probably going aggressive for 5-8, too. That approach burned me in DRO and TPA, but I'm curious if this is the right city to be aggressive. Anyway, I broke back into top 100 for the year all the way to 81st. DRO and TPA (dropped) are dragging it down. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 1, 2016 Author Share Posted February 1, 2016 Good luck tomorrow everyone. Ouch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Good luck tomorrow everyone. Ouch You're not kidding. 79/64/26/0.83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 78/65/27/1.10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 79/65/26/0.43" I only debated it for about 4 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 81/65/28/0.65" Feel pretty good about precip all things considered (I just wanted to be above consensus) and OK on winds and low. High was a gamble but it's doable with some sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoistWx Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 78/66/25/0.36" Tough forecast all around. Again, hoping for clouds to help me out, as well as the cold front passing a little on the later side to keep QPF on the low side of things. Guess we'll see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Quincy Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 77/66/25/0.20 From the brief analysis that I was able to do yesterday, the cold front appeared to be showing down, meaning potential for warmer minimum temperatures and somewhat less precipitation today. (This appears to still be the case) Convection could be a wildcard, as well as spiking temperatures. Another tough forecast! (winds could also ramp up given the low-level jet ramping up later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Yesterday the cold front appeared to be ahead of schedule. Looked like a repeat of last week. Now all of a sudden the models are showing it way too slow and not making it in. I can't win with precip in this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 Yeah I'm worried about trends this morning. My precip and wind were pretty dependent on that front getting there. Models yesterday looked like they overall sped it up just a little and it seems like well organized convection tends to move east on the faster end of the models, but it was close so this slower trend isn't good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 Yeah I'm worried about trends this morning. My precip and wind were pretty dependent on that front getting there. Models yesterday looked like they overall sped it up just a little and it seems like well organized convection tends to move east on the faster end of the models, but it was close so this slower trend isn't good. At least it appears good for your 81 so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 At least it appears good for your 81 so far I'll take this forecast one piece at a time get me my high and I'll worry about other things later. RAP and HRRR trying to show some convection before 6z ahead of the front. I can hope... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I'm thinking off and on convection happens in the afternoon across much of eastern LA we might hit a max soon especially if we get Rouge convection. Ovc in full affect right now. Say we reach 79 today with pop up showers and storms took 4 hours for the front to clear through central northern LA and become more defined to the south. When convection starts rolling on this thing watch for it to really move east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 wait this started back up? **** Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted February 2, 2016 Share Posted February 2, 2016 I'll take this forecast one piece at a time get me my high and I'll worry about other things later. RAP and HRRR trying to show some convection before 6z ahead of the front. I can hope... Yea GFS showed nice convection ahead of the front which would make the rain crowd happy. All models still show the convection lasting past 6z so I am definitely worried about the low but I think when rain and more stratoiform conditions happen the temps will lower hopefully close to 65. lol Gonna be a tricky scenario thats for sure and then tomorrows forecast will be even more fun lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted February 2, 2016 Author Share Posted February 2, 2016 I have to forecast early today because of work. Another tricky forecast. Today probably will move me out of first by a little bit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 72/53/21/0.83 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 71/53/23/0.49" Felt pretty good about everything but the precip. But who cares about the precip at this city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted February 3, 2016 Share Posted February 3, 2016 71/50/22/0.42" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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