ma blizzard Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 so the climo report came in with 25 mph winds ... climo report: 57/31/21/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 for tmrw i went with: 50/33/15/0.13 def made a gamble with precip .. was thinking there was potential for some afternoon showers with some weak surface instability Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 53/34/10/0.03" Who knows Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Tomorrow was just as tough as today: 51/30/11/0.08 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 53/31/11/0.06 *shrug* Had to early forecast so I just went close to USL/NWS/MOS average. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 I think you're looking at the wrong station... Still peak of 56 pending climo report. Seriously, what are you looking at? idk...just typed in Durango, CO on the NWS site lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 for tmrw i went with: 50/33/15/0.13 def made a gamble with precip .. was thinking there was potential for some afternoon showers with some weak surface instability Whoa man, get out of my brain. 50/33/12/0.13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 idk...just typed in Durango, CO on the NWS site lol Paul, you are looking at the downtown station. When you type in the station type in KDRO instead of Durango, CO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 52/33/10/0.02 Higher low not quite as quick with the cooling tomorrow night. High a little higher some pokes of sun and figured most of the precip would be east of the area with some renegade showers early. More of just a quick forecast than anything. So far today has worked out pretty well except the low. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 so the climo report came in with 25 mph winds ... climo report: 57/31/21/0 Lol what i just saw this too must have been at initial onset of rain but 25 is really impressive. I expected at least higher winds than 5-9mph throughout the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 That wind seems fishy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 That wind seems fishy. it could be .. the 20z ob didn't have a wind ob either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 30, 2015 Author Share Posted October 30, 2015 That wind seems fishy.My only thought was maybe evaporational cooling caused a quick gust as the rain cooled air moved in, but none of the obs were remotely close to 22kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Someone could always call the Grand Junction NWS office for verification. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Lol what i just saw this too must have been at initial onset of rain but 25 is really impressive. I expected at least higher winds than 5-9mph throughout the day. Only three people "forecasted" the winds correctly (climo updated to 22 knots). lol My call for today: 53/34/11/.02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Only three people "forecasted" the winds correctly (climo updated to 22 knots). lol My call for today: 53/34/11/.02 Thats awesome they probably were using bufkit to really hammer that forecast. I saw quite a few people were mid to upper teens. And 0.02 it is for rain for now at least see if there may be a pop up but pressure is rising so probably nothing later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Paul, you are looking at the downtown station. When you type in the station type in KDRO instead of Durango, CO. that has been screwing me up this whole time then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 If I can get a 34F or higher min I'll actually move above consensus again. Brutal forecasting city Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 30, 2015 Author Share Posted October 30, 2015 Thats awesome they probably were using bufkit to really hammer that forecast. I saw quite a few people were mid to upper teens. And 0.02 it is for rain for now at least see if there may be a pop up but pressure is rising so probably nothing later. I don't think I saw 20kt winds in the BL on any model for yesterday, but maybe I missed something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 If I can get a 34F or higher min I'll actually move above consensus again. Brutal forecasting city Selfishly, I want consensus to do well so most people is forced to drop KDRO in favor of KISP score so my national ranking can improve into Top 40. I'm about to had it with this city. I don't think I saw 20kt winds in the BL on any model for yesterday, but maybe I missed something. I didn't see anything above 15 kts on SUNY Albany's BL graph. I scouted this city for about a week before D1, so I kinda saw that jump to 22 knots coming even though models were saying 8-10 knots. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Somehow if we manage with a low near 33-35 and high near 52 im sitting pretty well, winds hopefully they dont act up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Selfishly, I want consensus to do well so most people is forced to drop KDRO in favor of KISP score so my national ranking can improve into Top 40. I'm about to had it with this city. I didn't see anything above 15 kts on SUNY Albany's BL graph. I scouted this city for about a week before D1, so I kinda saw that jump to 22 knots coming even though models were saying 8-10 knots. So long as I finish below consensus, I really don't care a whole lot what happens with this city. It reminds me of Butte last year where it wasn't a good scoring city for me. Even if I don't score well here, I should be sitting near 75th as my cumulative score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 30, 2015 Share Posted October 30, 2015 Looks like I'll be somewhere around #5 cat-2 forecaster going into week 2. Unfortunately, I have to go into the backcountry to check out some malfunctioning weather instruments so I have to forecast for day 5 and 6 by 8:00 AM Monday morning Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 30, 2015 Author Share Posted October 30, 2015 IF the low stays above 34 I'll really move up today. I feel good about winds near or above 14kt at some point by 7z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 31, 2015 Author Share Posted October 31, 2015 If the low can stay 34 or higher I can move up as high as 21st...so definitely rooting for that! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 If the low can stay 34 or higher I can move up as high as 21st...so definitely rooting for that! Im fine with that as well but hope for 33. Ill be sitting 175 for that 180 for above 33. Winds might be a killer for some. Honestly im just trying to get my cumaltive below a -1.2 by the end of each city at this point. Wanna start off decent and hopefully finish strong. Would love to make a run at the tournament but doing better than i did last year is a plus as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 So long as I finish below consensus, I really don't care a whole lot what happens with this city. It reminds me of Butte last year where it wasn't a good scoring city for me. Even if I don't score well here, I should be sitting near 75th as my cumulative score. Same. I'll have an uphill battle against the consensus... but at least I can go for big gambles next week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 I had an awful day 4. Argh. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 31, 2015 Author Share Posted October 31, 2015 It doesn't look like the forecasts get any more straight forward next week. I guess this is what we get for wanting to move on from Sandberg and Islip! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 31, 2015 Share Posted October 31, 2015 I had an awful day 4. Argh. Ditto. I lost 116 spots (12th to 128th) same exact number of spots as the USL, coincidentally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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