Mallow Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 After a lot of deliberation, 72/49/18/0. Tonight has another decent shot at good radiational cooling. The HRRR/HRDPS both show winds weakening significantly and the HRRR drops them to the upper 40s. Cloud cover becomes an issue again so it will likely be another 2-3 hour window to work with. Dew points are running a little warmer today but should lower several degrees overnight. Winds will likely die down a little earlier, and if clouds can clear out I think we'll see another 48 or so low. Again, it depends on a lot of factors and a 54 like OHWeather has may end up working out too. Max temps are going to likely be a little cooler than today's.... I'm not exactly sure how a stronger southerly wind will effect high temperatures but even so mixing looks just as weak and potential temps are a degree celsius or so lower, so a low 70s seems fine. Precip was a question mark but the difference between 0.01 and 0" wasn't worth a gamble for me. We'll see how it goes, at 59F currently so I need another 10F! I like your numbers. Hope you're right! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 I like your numbers. Hope you're right! It seems like every time we have similar numbers it never worked out for this city! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2015 Author Share Posted October 22, 2015 73/54/19/0 I may not finish above consensus and didn't have much time to forecast today. If it works it works, if not then we're on to Durango! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 71/52/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Cold low isn't looking too good right now... sitting at 55 right now after a spike up from 53. Although ISP tanked between 4-5AM yesterday, I doubt we'll drop more than a few degrees from now. If I had 51-52 I'd feel pretty good. Edit: Back down to 52F and calm winds at 9z so maybe I jumped the gun a tad early. Maybe I should stop worrying about a low temp and focus on my exam. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Hrm, wishing I went lower with my high. Given the strong southerlies, I doubt the high will get much above 69-70 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 final day 6 is listed as 75/48/8/0 ... but the climo report has 10 mph (9 knots) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 final day 6 is listed as 75/48/8/0 ... but the climo report has 10 mph (9 knots) Yep, noticed that as well. They need to fix that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 final day 6 is listed as 75/48/8/0 ... but the climo report has 10 mph (9 knots) This happened last year many of times. Alabama was quite the trial lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 22, 2015 Author Share Posted October 22, 2015 Yeah I'll finish well below consensus for this city. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Hrm, wishing I went lower with my high. Given the strong southerlies, I doubt the high will get much above 69-70 today. Annoyed because there was a day like this last week, and I discounted it because of yesterday's high. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 Annoyed because there was a day like this last week, and I discounted it because of yesterday's high. I'm annoyed by that 4kt wind in between 2 calm/clear observations this morning. Durango will be more fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 This happened last year many of times. Alabama was quite the trial lol Alabama fiasco last year cost me Top 3 trophy for Cat. 4, although my performance in the final city didn't help either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 22, 2015 Share Posted October 22, 2015 70F for the high, and a surprising 17kts for the wind. I'll take those numbers over the 69F and 15kts I was expecting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 Sort of a "I don't care" forecast, but possible if the front tonight is slow enough: 61/43/20 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 23, 2015 Author Share Posted October 23, 2015 Looks like a good 150 or so people didn't pick up on the 6z low tomorrow night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 60/39/18 Saw a burst of clouds to west of ISP so I decided to gamble. Temperature only dropped 5 degrees between 0z and 6z last night so I'm betting on the same result pre-frontal. I have no idea on the low so I went with USL and call it day. Looks like a good 150 or so people didn't pick up on the 6z low tomorrow night. Good Gimme some points against the consensus. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 61/38/20/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 59/36/17/0 Treading water right around consensus...figured I would throw in a plunge tomorrow night since the surface high gets close by 06 UTC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 57/39/14 (I think...forget if I went 13 on wind) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 60/40/18 I could definitely see a lower low like 37 or 38 but I got nervous about the wind not dying off in time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 58/36/18 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Tonight is bringing back flashbacks to Abilene's 6z cold front from last year. Gonna be close for those who went 60-61. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 I went 58/37/16 thinking I needed a major comeback to place first or second... Only two Cat Threes are ahead of me after day seven. So yet again, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 60 maximum to start D8. EDIT: got to wait on 6 hours maximum first, I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted October 23, 2015 Share Posted October 23, 2015 Had a feeling that front would be just a little too slow. Oh well went 56/40/17 off to colorado for some fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Final numbers from yesterday were 60/38/21/0.00. I finished the city off in 110th place, which makes back to back cities of top 125. Durango should be much more fun, and hopefully I'll make a better run at a trophy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 24, 2015 Share Posted October 24, 2015 Beat consensus, but not much else positive to say about KISP. Next... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 25, 2015 Share Posted October 25, 2015 Final numbers from yesterday were 60/38/21/0.00. I finished the city off in 110th place, which makes back to back cities of top 125. Durango should be much more fun, and hopefully I'll make a better run at a trophy! Back to back top 90 for me. Had I not screw up misdating USL that cost me 3.5 error points in winds, I probably would've finished in Top 15. I'm still bummed about that... but Durango is lot more challenging so hopefully all of us can kill it there to pad on our yearly score. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 27, 2015 Author Share Posted October 27, 2015 Went 60/29/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.