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October 2015 Discussion


snowlover2

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Anyone see the tropical system toward the end of the month on the fantasy land 6z GFS?  Makes landfall in south TX and then moves toward us.  Would be pretty late in the season to get a landfalling system that far west so that combined with the long range = low chance of it happening

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Anyone see the tropical system toward the end of the month on the fantasy land 6z GFS?  Makes landfall in south TX and then moves toward us.  Would be pretty late in the season to get a landfalling system that far west so that combined with the long range = low chance of it happening

I saw that as well. Will be interested to see how that evolves. Especially with that trough progged to dig out of the Rockies at the same time.

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Hahaha...welcome aboard brother. I enjoyed your shared experiences with that last storm chase that took you into the neighborhood. Thanks for sharing

  

Welcome Danny. Looking forward to tracking winter storms with everyone soon!

Thanks a lot! Should be a fun dialogue, especially after the uncertainty with El Nino/Western Ridge. Ready for a wild ride.

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Dipped down to 42 last night, our coldest of the 2015 fall season. Gonna bundle up, grab some coffee, and go take a fall foliage walk, the best.

Looks like frost, to the possible first freeze, then warming back in the lower 70s to begin the week. Models hinting at some meaningful rain in the middle of next week. We'll see.

This has to be one of the driest first 15 days on October. Yeah?

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Anyone see the tropical system toward the end of the month on the fantasy land 6z GFS?  Makes landfall in south TX and then moves toward us.  Would be pretty late in the season to get a landfalling system that far west so that combined with the long range = low chance of it happening

 

 

 

00z GGEM solution regarding this.  heh

 

 

post-14-0-67094900-1444926403_thumb.gif

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There's actually pretty good model agreement (for now) on a tropical system making landfall along the Gulf coast sometime around next weekend.  The question is where it goes and whether the timing will be right with the incoming trough to bring it into our area.  The 12z GFS looks similar to the 00z GGEM.

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