Hoosier Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Did get a freeze here but not a hard one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 2nd hard freeze in a row. Looking forward to this brief warmup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 2nd morning in a row with a hard freeze. Hit 26 this morning. You must be in a sheltered area with no wind. Some air movement was present most of the night here - hit 29° again. So a basic freeze so far. Still acted to kill off most of the bugs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Social media was dead silent after that heartbreaker. The expressions of everyone at the big house said it all. Needless to say, that guy who ****ed up the punt is probably the #1 enemy on campus right now. https://www.facebook.com/CBSSports/videos/10153467552601773/?fref=nf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hm8 Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 So any Michigan fans here? yeah tough loss Social media was dead silent after that heartbreaker. The expressions of everyone at the big house said it all. Needless to say, that guy who ****ed up the punt is probably the #1 enemy on campus right now. Can you imagine having to walk into the locker room after that? Also I read the guy who recovered it broke his hip during the run back. no words Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Looks like the 12z ECMWF lost the tropical development, or squashes it at least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Torch city to start the work week. Gusts up to 40MPH in the forecast for tomorrow. Pushing 80 on Tuesday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Some differences in model mixing depth tomorrow. The NAM is warmer aloft with a lower inversion height around 950 mb while the GFS has better mixing. Going to be windy either way but the GFS scenario would be windier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Pretty impressive temp rebound today. Up to 61. Tomorrow's windy/fire conditions look to be the most impressive weather feature in the near future. Exceptionally benign weather as far as the eye can see looks to continue. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Good chance at a Red Flag Warning for a good chunk of the area tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
harrisale Posted October 18, 2015 Share Posted October 18, 2015 Missed out on any LE flakes this weekend. Still waiting for the first of the season. Seems with that particular wind alignment I always end up between two snow bands, sheltered in effect by Bruce Peninsula. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Celebrated my 8th wedding anniversary with the wife in Shipshewana, Indiana this weekend. Saw a show in Valpo on Friday night, visited Wellfield Gardens and walked around the Riverwalk in Elkhart, went on the quilt tour, and ate way too much. We both agreed that Middlebury was our favorite town in the area. The weather was chilly, but beautiful. Brief hail/graupel shower on Saturday and a heavy frost this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Celebrated my 8th wedding anniversary with the wife in Shipshewana, Indiana this weekend. Saw a show in Valpo on Friday night, visited Wellfield Gardens and walked around the Riverwalk in Elkhart, went on the quilt tour, and ate way too much. We both agreed that Middlebury was our favorite town in the area. The weather was chilly, but beautiful. Brief hail/graupel shower on Saturday and a heavy frost this morning. Cool and congrats. Did you eat at the Essenhaus in Middlebury? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TugHillMatt Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Cool and congrats. Did you eat at the Essenhaus in Middlebury? Thanks! We didn't. We walked around their property today though. Very beautiful. I forgot they would be closed on a Sunday. We went to E and S market yesterday...crazy busy, but awesome place! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 19, 2015 Author Share Posted October 19, 2015 Looks like the 12z ECMWF lost the tropical development, or squashes it at least. Might not be done with this yet. 0z GFS does still get to the TX coast but then heads back south. 0z GGEM however does bring it through the OV bringing a decent soaker to most of MO/IL/IN/OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 IWX: .FIRE WEATHER...ISSUED AT 436 AM EDT MON OCT 19 2015ELEVATED CONCERN FOR POTENTIAL FOR DIFFICULT CONTROL OF ANY GRASSFIRES WITH 10 HOUR DEAD FUEL MOISTURE LEVELS DOWN TO 7 TO 8 PERCENTFOR FINE/0.5 INCH DIAMETER FUELS...IN THE WESTERN HALF OF INDIANACOUNTIES. STRENGTHENING SWRLY SUSTAINED WINDS 15 TO 20 KNOTS AND MINRH IN MID/UPPER 20 PERCENTILE TO FURTHER DEGRADE CONDITIONS. WILLMENTION IN SPS AND HWO FOR NOW...HOLDING JUST SHY OF FULLY METCRITERIA. SHOULD LOWER RH LEVELS/HIR T/TD SPREADS THAN PRESENTLYFORECASTED BECOME REALIZED SUSPECT A RED FLAG WARNING WILL BECOMEWARRANTED. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hawkeye_wx Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 The models have backed away from any significant moisture getting up into Iowa over the next 7-10 days. 99% of the state hasn't seen a drop of rain all month. I hope this isn't an indication of what winter will be like. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 The models have backed away from any significant moisture getting up into Iowa over the next 7-10 days. 99% of the state hasn't seen a drop of rain all month. I hope this isn't an indication of what winter will be like. Same here hawkeye. We have recorded 0.03" of rain for the month, with no precip in the next 5 days, we could be looking at a record dry October. If this is the winter pattern shaping up, then yuck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 The models have backed away from any significant moisture getting up into Iowa over the next 7-10 days. 99% of the state hasn't seen a drop of rain all month. I hope this isn't an indication of what winter will be like. strong nino climo says it is Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Don't know if this is the case elsewhere but looking at the strong Nino Octobers for Chicago, 8 of them had below average precip. 6 out of those 8 rebounded to produce above average precip for the following DJF. In some cases, it was one very wet month that did the trick. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 19, 2015 Author Share Posted October 19, 2015 Might not be done with this yet. 0z GFS does still get to the TX coast but then heads back south. 0z GGEM however does bring it through the OV bringing a decent soaker to most of MO/IL/IN/OH. Looks like 12z GFS is back on board kind of. The low stays along the N Gulf coast but sends rain up to southern parts of IL/IN/OH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted October 19, 2015 Author Share Posted October 19, 2015 Looks like 12z GFS is back on board kind of. The low stays along the N Gulf coast but sends rain up to southern parts of IL/IN/OH. 12z GGEM holds its ground from its 0z run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Looks like 12z GFS is back on board kind of. The low stays along the N Gulf coast but sends rain up to southern parts of IL/IN/OH. If we miss this chance of precip, its a good chance that I will not have to mow the lawn again until spring. Grass already headed towards dormancy with the low temps and near zero precip we have received over the past two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 FWIW, top 20 driest Octobers on record for Chicago. There's one strong El Nino on this list, 1965 1897: 0.18" 1964: 0.20" 1956: 0.25" 1891: 0.36" 1915: 0.40" 1895: 0.51" 1944: 0.59" 1948: 0.62" 1963: 0.62" 1872: 0.65" 1968: 0.71" 1938: 0.77" 1908: 0.81" 1894: 0.84" 1924: 0.84" 1971: 0.85" 1952: 0.90 1907: 0.93" 2010: 0.93" 1965: 1.06" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago Storm Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Several brush fires across the area this afternoon. Witnessed one in South Elgin a few hours ago, and now there's one in Schaumburg. A few have shown up on KLOT throughout the day as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HillsdaleMIWeather Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 A 'wildfire' has been reported in Kosciusko County, IN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chambana Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 Wow, Hoosier those top 5 driest Octobers are pretty incredible. 1897 actually ended being a colder than normal winter, for having such a dry autumn. Today we soared to 73, with howling southerly winds, and a red flag warning. The rest of the week is mighty warm, especially Wednesday. Local met said this morning less than 0.50" of rain in the next 7 days, so a top 10 driest October is definetely going to come into play. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 It's windy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted October 19, 2015 Share Posted October 19, 2015 This has gotta be one of the drier starts to October that has occurred in this region. The only area with above average precip is southeast Kentucky and many areas have not only been drier than average, but very dry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gilbertfly Posted October 20, 2015 Share Posted October 20, 2015 Wow...can't get much dryer than 0% of mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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