snowlover2 Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 October is right around the corner and could start out on the colder side. GFS the last couple of days has shown some decent quick shots of colder air but has since backed off a bit and now Euro is on board as seen in the image. Tis the time for it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 That's sexy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 24, 2015 Share Posted September 24, 2015 That's sexy. ...but short-lived: Full disclosure: The GFS does dump an Eastern trough in after this with consistently fall-like temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted September 25, 2015 Share Posted September 25, 2015 The first month when snow becomes at least remotely possible for most of us. I was worried September would never end (although granted, it'll probably be the nicest month of the year). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 26, 2015 Author Share Posted September 26, 2015 Still looking like a chilly start especially on the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 26, 2015 Share Posted September 26, 2015 CFS still advertising a warmer than average month overall and it's been pretty consistent with that theme. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dan123 Posted September 26, 2015 Share Posted September 26, 2015 CFS still advertising a warmer than average month overall and it's been pretty consistent with that theme. But it's slowly changing and laying off the gas pedal wrt the warmth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 26, 2015 Share Posted September 26, 2015 But it's slowly changing and laying off the gas pedal wrt the warmth. True, anomalies aren't as torchy on the last couple runs. Still a few more runs before the end of September so will be watching it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 26, 2015 Share Posted September 26, 2015 True, anomalies aren't as torchy on the last couple runs. Still a few more runs before the end of September so will be watching it.It is still pretty warm north of the river, any near normal areas are south of the river. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tanner_Verstegen Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 The GFS has been showing similar shots of cold in the Midwest, but washed them out in the next few runs. Would not buy into any solution with a trough for a couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 First time I think that the CFS has shown cool anomalies anywhere in our area Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stebo Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 First time I think that the CFS has shown cool anomalies anywhere in our area I would be leery of that considering the previous 8 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 I would be leery of that considering the previous 8 days. Perhaps, though the runs right before the end of the month seem to do the best. I guess we'll see what the 29th and 30th bring. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
csnavywx Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Monster WWB event getting underway in the WPAC soon might be partially to blame for the dramatic uptick in volatilty. There's undoubtedly going to be a lot of tropical activity in the Pacific (read: recurving typhoons) and a wave-breaking pattern which tend to disrupt mid-latitude weather patterns. Remember last November! Of course, this also means further entrenchment of Nino conditions for the winter-time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Sweet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 I'm ready for average temps. Upper 60's and sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jonger Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Thursday looks beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted September 28, 2015 Share Posted September 28, 2015 Point has highs sub 70 starting tomorrow for the next 7+ days. Bring it. I'm ready for cooler temps now that Oct is pretty much here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 Possibly some decent rain on tap for the weekend for MI/OH. Only a little bit of the QPF in southern OH is from the rest of todays rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Possibly some decent rain on tap for the weekend for MI/OH. Only a little bit of the QPF in southern OH is from the rest of todays rain. Was just going to post about this. The upper air pattern evolution is a bit complex/uncertain, which results in relatively low confidence in details, but looks like some Atlantic moisture could get pulled westward into the region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Was just going to post about this. The upper air pattern evolution is a bit complex/uncertain, which results in relatively low confidence in details, but looks like some Atlantic moisture could get pulled westward into the region. IWX and IND both mentioned that a few of the ensembles are pulling the Atlantic moisture into Eastern IN, but not enough to throw rain into the forecast. To me, the time of the year says I'm going to get wet this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 IWX and IND both mentioned that a few of the ensembles are pulling the Atlantic moisture into Eastern IN, but not enough to throw rain into the forecast. To me, the time of the year says I'm going to get wet this weekend. Yeah we'll see. Variety of solutions on the table. Honestly, when looking at some of the progs, can't help but have flashbacks to Sandy (the ones that advertise that relatively sharp turn into the mid Atlantic/northeast). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover2 Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 12z GGEM keeps it as a bomb along the east coast. 12z Ukie has a 983mb low over WV/VA more like the GFS. GFS took it to Ohio but you get the point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
michsnowfreak Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Perhaps, though the runs right before the end of the month seem to do the best. I guess we'll see what the 29th and 30th bring.That is classic cfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brewers Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Days on days of low 60s and sun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 12z GGEM keeps it as a bomb along the east coast. 12z Ukie has a 983mb low over WV/VA more like the GFS. GFS took it to Ohio but you get the point. A lot of the central/eastern region offices will be launching extra/off hour soundings starting tomorrow, so hopefully that helps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Days and days of rain. Lame Might need an ark for the Northeast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 honestly, just a few weeks later and Joaquin might have been a decent LE threat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chitown Storm Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Upper 50s to lower 60s and sun til the end of time. Killer first weekend in October coming up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 honestly, just a few weeks later and Joaquin might have been a decent LE threat I'd take something like Sandy...went to Indiana Dunes for that and the wind/waves were pretty wild. Probably wishful thinking though as even if we get a track like that, the wind field likely won't be like Sandy's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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