Brick Tamland Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 It has been a lot of rain. I think WRAL said the 48 hour total at RDU was close to 2 inches. But weren't the models showing a lot more than that? Like 6 inches for Wake County? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 It has been a lot of rain. I think WRAL said the 48 hour total at RDU was close to 2 inches. But weren't the models showing a lot more than that? Like 6 inches for Wake County? Totals like that never ever pan out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Totals like that never ever pan out. It does seem that way when the models put out extreme amounts, be it rain or snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Totals like that never ever pan out. Yep, 2-3" was always reasonable and its what will happen. We should get another 0.5" or so tomorrow. I bet there is a couple of small pockets of 3-4" in central NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Yep, 2-3" was always reasonable and its what will happen. We should get another 0.5" or so tomorrow. I bet there is a couple of small pockets of 3-4" in central NC. you know it has really surprised me here in Georgia, our house was one of those small pockets with 3.93" of rain since the event started, expecting a couple of more inches next week from that low being picked up by the upper low over Texas, I wonder who will be under the vector for most precip, pwat values seem pretty high next week GFS showing widespread 2+ inches PWAT, euro showing it vectoring not as much north. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Yep, 2-3" was always reasonable and its what will happen. We should get another 0.5" or so tomorrow. I bet there is a couple of small pockets of 3-4" in central NC. I was wrong. I was thinking that there wouldn't be as much rain as officially forecast (never mind the modeled QPF), just looking at the radar. But the rain production efficienciey has been, well, efficient! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 I guess the escarpment took all the moisture from you guys down east. 6.5 inches here since Thursday and still raining. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 0.54" so far since 7am. 3.05" total. I'm up in Maggie valley area, definitely showery this evening. Saw some blue sky/sun during heavy drizzle around 5pm in Asheville. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Blue_Ridge_Escarpment Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 I guess the escarpment took all the moisture from you guys down east. 6.5 inches here since Thursday and still raining. Yes it has been socked in here in the Blue Ridge. And if the models are to be believed, we could have just as much during the midweek Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 27, 2015 Author Share Posted September 27, 2015 I was wrong. I was thinking that there wouldn't be as much rain as officially forecast (never mind the modeled QPF), just looking at the radar. But the rain production efficienciey has been, well, efficient! That's how its been here most of the day, radar looks meh but we have had a very heavy rain with really small drops almost mist like but its coming down hard enough its running down the driveway and the gutters are gushing......add the 15-20 mph wind we have had all day and its been nasty out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 That's how its been here most of the day, radar looks meh but we have had a very heavy rain with really small drops almost mist like but its coming down hard enough its running down the driveway and the gutters are gushing......add the 15-20 mph wind we have had all day and its been nasty out.you could see it coming down in sheets while driving up to the blue ridge. Not a fun drive.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Despite having nothing on the radar, its been misting so hard that it looked like we had a downpour tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Despite having nothing on the radar, its been misting so hard that it looked like we had a downpour tonight. This has been the weather here the past three days. Basically a very soaking rain, never much on radar but lots of low level moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 .30" Saturday. Event total 1.99". Light drizzle this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 .62" overnight bumping our event total up to 2.50" and it's raining again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNC_Fort Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 picked up little more than an inch last night. Up to 7.5 inches and I've heard some Black Mountain folks have similar totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 3 Day Totals from NWS RAH... https://mesonet.agron.iastate.edu/wx/afos/p.php?pil=PNSRAH&e=201509271257 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 .70" yesterday. 3.21" to a so far Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 .22 in the bucket this morning. 2.68 total at the Chateau for the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Moisture building off the coast and moving westward again. The sun is popping in and out here and the wind is gusting stronger in the last half hour. Overall I think we are coming in under the forecast amount but its hard to tell because its been such a misty wind driven rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chinook Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 This is a 7-day total precip from the NWS 4-km precip analysis. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 This is a 7-day total precip from the NWS 4-km precip analysis. That has me in the 6-8 inch catagory. Yikes, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 We should get an easy inch or two of rain with how the radar is looking now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 We should get an easy inch or two of rain with how the radar is looking now.But wait, this was gonna miss you!??? You said the other day??? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 This is a 7-day total precip from the NWS 4-km precip analysis. Looks like sections of metro Atl racked up More than NC where the event was supposed to have been focused. SC was clearly the winner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 I saw the sun for 10 seconds! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 But wait, this was gonna miss you!??? You said the other day???This isn't even the same thing. I dont know what this is. Radar is your best friend on these days. Better to go by radar trends than models for today.None of the models showed this. The tropical disturbance that the models had been developing is still near the Yucatan(Invest99L). That's what I was referring to. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Definitely an over performer looking at what's happening to the east of here with all the flash flood warnings. Over 5 inches of rain in some spots. 1.42 here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 2.11 total from the first event! Waiting on a number 2! Think this next event could out perform the last one imby! Haven't seen the sun since Thursday and that's awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 27, 2015 Share Posted September 27, 2015 Significant flash flooding ongoing in the Mobile Metro vicinity. The complex of storms has produced 4-8 inches of rain over there and still going with severe thunderstorm warnings as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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