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2015 Mid-Atlantic First Freeze Contest


WxUSAF

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Happy Fall!  Time for one of our sub-region's favorite traditions:  the first freeze contest!

 

As before:

 

Rules are the same as before...minimum cumulative departure wins.  So, a forecast of November 5th for DCA's first freeze would have a departure of 5 if the first freeze is actually on November 10th.  This departure is added to that for RIC, IAD and BWI for a contestant's total departure.  

 

You are forecasting the first day the temperature reaches 32F or lower at the following 4 stations:

 

RIC:

DCA:

IAD:

BWI:

 

Tiebreaker:  October rainfall at DCA

 

Contest closes at the end of the month (11:59pm September 30th).

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RIC - Oct 21

DCA - Nov 12
IAD - Oct 15
BWI - Oct 21

Precip: 4.0"

 

Basically an earlier than normal and wetter (slightly on each) than normal projection but imagine first week-2 of Oct are quite warm so who knows.

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