ag3 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 I'm over an inch already as well. That means nothing. In my opinion, someone on LI/SCT receives the most rain with this entire 2 day event. 3"+. Right now, I would say Western LI to NYC/SWCT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 In my opinion, someone on LI/SCT receives the most rain with this entire 2 day event. 3"+. Right now, I would say Western LI to NYC/SWCT. I guess we're going to find out then aren't we? The RGEM indicated 2-4" almost areawide with pockets up to 5" locally. This will be the big test to see how accurate that model is. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 It seems the biggest differences in the modeling is just how well defined that surface low becomes later today. Obviously the RGEM goes nuts while the NAM looks weak and disorganized. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Really turning in to a bad joke here. All the rain missed. Next batch looks to be east of here. Not throwing in the to yet though as the evening batch should deliver Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Over 2 inches in Holmdel already Monmouth county. Parents said they never seen in Rain that hard the way it did yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 About an inch here per nws radar....and now the sun is poking out..quite soupy out Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Putting this here just for the lmao factor. That bullseye is 14.5" according to SV Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Looks like incoming for Central and E Long Island for the next 2-3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 The RGEM looks remarkably accurate so far with the developing low pressure system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Nice comma head Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Really turning in to a bad joke here. All the rain missed. Next batch looks to be east of here. Not throwing in the to yet though as the evening batch should deliver Are you getting this current burst? In seaford and its pouring. Letting up now but it rained. It actually rained! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Are you getting this current burst? In seaford and its pouring. Letting up now but it rained. It actually rained! Lol No missed all that. BUT RIGHT NOW ITS RIPPING. Streets flooded. Hardest rain of the year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Looks like incoming for Central and E Long Island for the next 2-3 hours. Basically your dream come true here right now. Loud loud on the roof. Haven't seen this since the August rain two years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Basically your dream come true here right now. Loud loud on the roof. Haven't seen this since the August rain two years ago. It did that by my house last night, only lasted 5-7 minutes but picked up close to an inch during a very short period of time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 It did that by my house last night, only lasted 5-7 minutes but picked up close to an inch during a very short period of time. We need a warning, doing about 2=3": an hour right now. Thunder. Streets flooded from one side to the other. Have only seen that 2 other times. in 30 years!!!Also basement is flooding too. 3rd time for that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 The latest HRRR really wants to dry slot Long Island once this current batch passes before the next round arrives after 00z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 We need a warning, doing about 2=3": an hour right now. Thunder. Streets flooded from one side to the other. Have only seen that 2 other times. in 30 years!!!Also basement is flooding too. 3rd time for that Just got the flash flood alert! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 We need a warning, doing about 2=3": an hour right now. Thunder. Streets flooded from one side to the other. Have only seen that 2 other times. in 30 years!!!Also basement is flooding too. 3rd time for that I really am shocked that they didn't hoist any flash flood watches. I know it has been dry but PWAT's are >2" for a large chunk of the area and a lot of rain in a short period will cause flooding no matter the preceding conditions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 We need a warning, doing about 2=3": an hour right now. Thunder. Streets flooded from one side to the other. Have only seen that 2 other times. in 30 years!!!Also basement is flooding too. 3rd time for that Post some pics if you can! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Really turning in to a bad joke here. All the rain missed. Next batch looks to be east of here. Not throwing in the to yet though as the evening batch should deliver Your area is getting crushed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Just got the loud Flash Flood Warning alert on my phone. The rain looks to be training to my west though, no rain here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 We need a warning, doing about 2=3": an hour right now. Thunder. Streets flooded from one side to the other. Have only seen that 2 other times. in 30 years!!!Also basement is flooding too. 3rd time for that Well you got a warning lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Just got the flash flood alert! this is just unreal. My dads freaking out. Good thing we are both home. Water is pouring in to the basement Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Post some pics if you can! I will later. Gonna take my truck out soon. This is a serious situation here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 I will later. Gonna take my truck out soon. This is a serious situation here. Shows the potential with this later. PWATS are 2+ for much of the area. Some of those 4 inch amounts are likely to verify Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Such a great short term model eh? We should look at the RGEM and no other model correct? What a massive run to run shift. This after the RGEM was locked in for over a day. From the 06z run To the new 12z run Now that is what you call a fail. FAIL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 Shows the potential with this later. PWATS are 2+ for much of the area. Some of those 4 inch amounts are likely to verify We are gonna do it here in 2 hours. More lightning and loud thunder. I am under the heaviest axis here. Its raining so hard it looks like snow. Based on the visibility I would call this legit SN+. We are about 1/16 of a mile Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 what's the total event QPF on the RGEM though. 6z had 2-4 area wide, that's only 3 hour total there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 10, 2015 Author Share Posted September 10, 2015 We are gonna do it here in 2 hours. More lightning and loud thunder. I am under the heaviest axis here. Its raining so hard it looks like snow. Based on the visibility I would call this legit SN+. We are about 1/16 of a mile get video too. Wow. Nothing here on the CT shore-looking like that big batch might miss me to the east... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 10, 2015 Share Posted September 10, 2015 what's the total event QPF on the RGEM though. 6z had 2-4 area wide, that's only 3 hour total there. All of this rain is from the current batch moving through Long Island, after this it's over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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