Rtd208 Posted September 3, 2015 Share Posted September 3, 2015 Every year around this time I like to get things started for the upcoming fall and winter season with the "Predict the Date" of the first bonafide nor'easter of the season be it rain and or snow. I think this year we may start things off a bit earlier then usual and with El Nino hopefully bringing an active STJ up along the east coast I think it will be an active nor'easter season heading into the fall and winter months. Post your dates here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 3, 2015 Author Share Posted September 3, 2015 September 30th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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Rittenhouse Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 I think this year we may start things off a bit earlier then usual and with El Nino hopefully bringing an active STJ up along the east coast I think it will be an active nor'easter season heading into the fall and winter months. Post your dates here. The CPC's long-term forecasts seem to favor a zonal pattern with a warm and dry weather for the fall and early weather. I'm not thinking that there much in the way of storms till after Christmas. That's when things will probably ramp up. I'll say November 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 October 11th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
denvillenj Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 November 14th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ALEXA Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 oct 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 October 1st Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 I know it looks more frontal at the moment but it does have decent upper level support, this could be the time frame to focus on. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 Nov 1st. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 October 30th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rsteff Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 Nov 4th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 Halloween Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 And I hope it's understood that if you have to pore over mesoscale surface obs from the CT shoreline to verify a "nor'easter", it doesn't count. That seemed to be a point of contention last year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 October 13 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 November 6th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 October 10. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 January 18th, 2047. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 4, 2015 Share Posted September 4, 2015 January 18th, 2047. Ugh im busy that day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
hudsonvalley21 Posted September 5, 2015 Share Posted September 5, 2015 Oct 24th (weekend rule) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted September 7, 2015 Author Share Posted September 7, 2015 *Bump* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 And I hope it's understood that if you have to pore over mesoscale surface obs from the CT shoreline to verify a "nor'easter", it doesn't count. That seemed to be a point of contention last year. yes. every asos in the region must have strong northeasterly sfc winds relative to topography at some point in the storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 7, 2015 Share Posted September 7, 2015 oct 19th Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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