Solak Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 18z NAM comes in with 1.4" for RDU this weekend. 18z GFS a more modest 0.9". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 18z NAM comes in with 1.4" for RDU this weekend. 18z GFS a more modest 0.9".How much for GSP ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 How much for GSP ? .43" or .34" You can change the station location by changing the reporting code after ?site= http://www.meteor.iastate.edu/~ckarsten/bufkit/image_loader.phtml?site=kgsp&nam=on&nam_mos=on&namm=on&gfs_mos=on&gfs=on&gfsm_mos=on&gfsm=on&nws=on&rap=on&obs=on&nam4km=on&con=on&ratio=11&max_t=on&cobb=on&compaction=on&mean_mt=on&max_mt=on&mean=on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Meteostar gives us (KJNX) 1.02" Saturday. Airport code can be changed there as well... http://wxweb.meteostar.com/sample/sample.shtml?text=KJNX Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 6z GFS still shows the rain. Heaviest looks to be from RDU north-eastward. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=063ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_063_precip_p36.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p36&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model 6z NAM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=063ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_063_precip_p36.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p36&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 6z GFS still shows the rain. Heaviest looks to be from RDU north-eastward. http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=063ℑ=data%2Fgfs%2F06%2Fgfs_namer_063_precip_p36.gif&model=gfs&area=namer¶m=precip_p36&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model 6z NAM http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?fhr=063ℑ=data%2Fnam%2F06%2Fnam_namer_063_precip_p36.gif&model=nam&area=namer¶m=precip_p36&group=Model+Guidance&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+06+UTC&imageSize=M&ps=model Euro has max QPF in southern NC into SC... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Euro has max QPF in southern NC into SC... I wonder which model will be right.....Only half joking because, somebody had stated that the GFS actually did better on the precipitation banding during the last event; whereas the euro had the better handle on the larger picture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 I wonder which model will be right.....Only half joking because, somebody had stated that the GFS actually did better on the precipitation banding during the last event; whereas the euro had the better handle on the larger picture. I was thinking the same thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 I wonder which model will be right.....Only half joking because, somebody had stated that the GFS actually did better on the precipitation banding during the last event; whereas the euro had the better handle on the larger picture. It did? This was the Friday run of the 12z GFS, it has the max QPF down the NC/SC line with CLT getting 20+". Yes, the Euro bounced around but it was consistently showing it in central SC, now maybe it didn't show CAE to Charleston as the hot spot but it wasn't showing CLT. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Let's track Euro v/s GFS...these are the 0z runs... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Let's track Euro v/s GFS...these are the 0z runs... It will be interesting to see which is more correct. Here's the 12 NAM: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_057_precip_p36.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=precip_p36&fhr=057&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+12+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 It will be interesting to see which is more correct. Here's the 12 NAM: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fnam%2F12%2Fnam_namer_057_precip_p36.gif&model=nam&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=precip_p36&fhr=057&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+12+UTC&ps=model&use_mins=no&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 It will. I was basing my opinion on what Isohume said after the event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 It will. I was basing my opinion on what Isohume said after the event. Yeah I'm not ready to jump with one single model right now. But I would say the euro did get a few points. The way things stand, we'll be favoring the euro more this winter for wintery events. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 **Drought is OVER** The catastrophic rain event has wiped out North Carolina's drought and the majority of South Carolina's drought. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Yeah I'm not ready to jump with one single model right now. But I would say the euro did get a few points. The way things stand, we'll be favoring the euro more this winter for wintery events. Yeah, I agree my previous comments not withstanding. Not smart to hug just one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FallsLake Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 12z GFS: http://mag.ncep.noaa.gov/Image.php?image=data%2Fgfs%2F12%2Fgfs_namer_060_precip_p36.gif&model=gfs&area=namer&storm=&cycle=12¶m=precip_p36&fhr=060&group=Model+Guidance&imageSize=M&ps=model&use_mins=no&preselected_formatted_cycle_date=20151008+12+UTC&scrollx=0&scrolly=0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 **Drought is OVER** The catastrophic rain event has wiped out North Carolina's drought and the majority of South Carolina's drought. Yep! Here is the updated map that came out today: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Not surprising to see the latest 12z GEFS and the 12z UK shift the heaviest QPF towards the NC/SC line and into central SC as the Euro has been showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Euro stalls another ULL/cutoff over southern SC and it's a washout Saturday into early Sunday for GSP, 2"+ QPF. Models have been stalling this out off shore but the Euro and to some extent the UK stall it a little further west today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Oh boy, an inch plus would indeed cause some problems. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
franklin NCwx Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Euro with a big rain event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 This would be a kick in the maracas to SC if this comes to fruition... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
frazdaddy Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 This would be a kick in the maracas to SC if this comes to fruition... That's a lot more water. I'm sure this is causing major concern in SC, esp. with it being the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 This would be a kick in the maracas to SC if this comes to fruition... That 4 inch dot is too close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 It did? This was the Friday run of the 12z GFS, it has the max QPF down the NC/SC line with CLT getting 20+". Yes, the Euro bounced around but it was consistently showing it in central SC, now maybe it didn't show CAE to Charleston as the hot spot but it wasn't showing CLT.You should look up Isohume comments in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Yep! Here is the updated map that came out today: Yep I was reading yesterday that the rain that the Carolinas had gotten would have pulled California out of their drought. Pretty amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 12z Euro is a major rain event in SC. Regardless of where the heavier amounts were, it'd downstream and still cause issues in the hard hit areas. Seeing a 3.9 inch bullseye right northeast of Richland County is worrying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 12z Euro is a major rain event in SC. Regardless of where the heavier amounts were, it'd downstream and still cause issues in the hard hit areas. Seeing a 3.9 inch bullseye right northeast of Richland County is worrying. Well, isn't that a fine kettle of fish. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 12z EPS very wet for SC, 0.8"+ across almost all of state with 1.2" plus down by the coast (CHS to ILM). 1" to CAE. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Shawn Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 12z EPS very wet for SC, 0.8"+ across almost all of state with 1.2" plus down by the coast (CHS to ILM). 1" to CAE. I believe the Euro was underdone on the flood event with totals overall. Not a good sign by any means with the 12z GFS ensemble mean creeping up to 1/2 - 3/4 for us. Our local mets here in Columbia have been mainly downplaying the event. Most were saying a passing/scattered shower. Nothing heavy. Seems the actual recovery efforts know there's a chance at something heavier at least. Richalnd Sheriff alluded to it a bit ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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