RevDodd Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Since Alan already posted this on Twitter, I'm hoping he won't mind it here ... GFS for the next 3 days. That would make the NC State-Louisville game more of a water polo match. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Since Alan already posted this on Twitter, I'm hoping he won't mind it here ... GFS for the next 3 days. That would make the NC State-Louisville game more of a water polo match. Is that before the potential rain from Joaquin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Is that before the potential rain from Joaquin? Naw, that's got to include Joaquin's moisture. I'm guessing the GFS pulls the storm's energy along a negative tilt on the front. That probably leaves a weakened Joaquin, sparing the northeast from a big hit later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 It's Wednesday evening through Saturday evening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RevDodd Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 UKMET (FWIW) appears to go whole hog and drags Joaquin ashore in NC ... with the same sort of rainfall results. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 The Gem rides right along the cost from the MA to the NE. Still drops plenty of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 wow That's redundant, Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 That even has 3 inches for my area. The mid Atlantic and the eastern half of NC will turn into one big lake with those totals. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Looking like a classic PRE event possibly setting up, weird how the models insist on it even with Joaquin going OTS....guess we shall see how it evolves fver the next few days......the worrisome part is those rain totals are not really 7 day totals more like 24-36 hr totals and if we get 8-10" widespread over NC in that time frame it would produce widespread flash flooding with the ground already soaked.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 18z GFS - GSO is sweet spotted = 22" of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 18z GFS - GSO is sweet spotted = 22" of rain We all know those crazy numbers rarely come to fruition! But I think a 1/3 of that is possible in many areas , with a bullseye or two of 10". Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted September 29, 2015 Author Share Posted September 29, 2015 So where is all of that rain coming from if Joaquin is forecast to stay well off the coast ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AJF0602 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 @snowstorm from what I'm reading it's the 850 setup channeling the moisture right into NC even with the out to sea solutions. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wow Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 So where is all of that rain coming from if Joaquin is forecast to stay well off the coast ? ULL drawing in its energy/moisture Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
metalicwx366 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 So where is all of that rain coming from if Joaquin is forecast to stay well off the coast ?The storm was captured with the 18z GFS. It wasn't offshore that run. It basically showed Sandy part 2 further south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 It feels like we are talking about the same thing with the rain coming up in three different threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Our local mets on Foxcarolina , are going with full sun for Sat and Sun, lol! TWC has 60% chance Sat/Sun, who will be correct?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Our local mets on Foxcarolina , are going with full sun for Sat and Sun, lol! TWC has 60% chance Sat/Sun, who will be correct?? I've never understood why on the weekend of all times you don't err on the side of caution. While I'm not sure I buy the double-digit rainfall totals for Charlotte, I do think the public should be aware of what could happen. To call for sunny conditions on Saturday without even mentioning the fact that parts of the upstate could be in flood conditions is absurd. I get the reason why they do it, but I don't think it's right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I've never understood why on the weekend of all times you don't err on the side of caution. While I'm not sure I buy the double-digit rainfall totals for Charlotte, I do think the public should be aware of what could happen. To call for sunny conditions on Saturday without even mentioning the fact that parts of the upstate could be in flood conditions is absurd. I get the reason why they do it, but I don't think it's right.Surprise! Due to " model changes" , Saturday and Sunday look like a washout! From the same channel! Saying it could still be sunny, they will keep an eye on it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
burgertime Posted October 1, 2015 Share Posted October 1, 2015 Ya'll gotta stop making weenie posts in the hurricane thread. Normally I wouldn't care but my brother is lurking on that thread and keeps asking me why it's going west and why it isn't going to hit Charlotte. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 2, 2015 Share Posted October 2, 2015 Ya'll gotta stop making weenie posts in the hurricane thread. Normally I wouldn't care but my brother is lurking on that thread and keeps asking me why it's going west and why it isn't going to hit Charlotte.Lol weenies going to be weenies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Latest Drought Monitor image for the SE shows the retreating drought: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 Latest Drought Monitor image for the SE shows the retreating drought: This rain this weekend should erode a lot of that I would think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 3, 2015 Share Posted October 3, 2015 First time this season I've noticed wide spread snow on radar in the lower 48. Love to be in Montana today. Heck I'd love be in Montana anytime, bet it's a beatiful place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 GFS has lows in the upper 30's Oct 17th, which would be awesome since its first weekend of rifle season on deer...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Best stretch of weather all year, excluding winter snow storms is from mid October to mid November every year. Highs avg low 60s low upper 30s low 40s. Usually dry sunny days as well. Makes the outdoors awesome. Course I love dead of winter cold just as much but my golfing and fishing love mid Oct to mid Nov. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Superensemble is on the cool and dry side for both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecast periods Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 Superensemble is on the cool and dry side for both the 6-10 day and 8-14 day forecast periods We need it after the last two weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted October 5, 2015 Share Posted October 5, 2015 We need it after the last two weeks. Thats the truth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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