NwWhiteOut Posted June 12, 2016 Share Posted June 12, 2016 Just wanted to pop in and say hello to all u guys/gals. Hope everyone is enjoying their spring/summer. Haven't posted much I have been going through a lot of bad medical issues. Hope to see you all in the fall/winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted June 14, 2016 Author Share Posted June 14, 2016 Hope all gets better, NwWhiteOut. Gotta love the CFS showing below normal temps over the north Central US and above normal precip for us in DJF 16'-17'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted June 14, 2016 Share Posted June 14, 2016 Just wanted to pop in and say hello to all u guys/gals. Hope everyone is enjoying their spring/summer. Haven't posted much I have been going through a lot of bad medical issues. Hope to see you all in the fall/winter Hope you are doing better WhiteOut! Good to hear from you, get ready for a long and hot summer! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted June 21, 2016 Share Posted June 21, 2016 Thanks guys appreciate the kind words! I agree I think this summer is going to be brutal, it's reminding me of 06/07 all over again so far...those 2 winters were awesome when I lived in missouri though, hope this upcoming winter won't be a dud like last season lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted June 21, 2016 Author Share Posted June 21, 2016 [quote name="NwWhiteOut" post="4152051" "Hope this upcoming winter won't be a dud like last season lol." In the spirit of keeping a positive attitude, couldn't be much worse than last winter. Literally. :-) lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted June 23, 2016 Share Posted June 23, 2016 In the spirit of keeping a positive attitude, couldn't be much worse than last winter. Literally. :-) lol So true man, that was the worst and most pathetic winter I ever witnessed hands down lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ozarkwx Posted July 3, 2016 Share Posted July 3, 2016 Serious soaker this morning in Holiday Island. Already up to 1.65" in 90 minutes, ending a long series of near misses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted July 3, 2016 Author Share Posted July 3, 2016 I just wanted to stop by and wish my friends here a happy 4th tomorrow and hopefully a dry one. I'm currently on Dauphin Island, Alabama but fixing to start my 11 hour drive home. Pretty sure I'm going to run into some rain on the way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 Mid-Summer check in. Looks like we're headed for a weak La Nina winter as of right now. JAMSTEC is cold for Dec-Feb Latest CFSv2 is cold from Dec through April. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted July 29, 2016 Share Posted July 29, 2016 8 hours ago, JoMo said: Mid-Summer check in. Looks like we're headed for a weak La Nina winter as of right now. JAMSTEC is cold for Dec-Feb Latest CFSv2 is cold from Dec through April. Looking good so far. I've read articles/blogs from a couple of other mets who think the weak nina could provide for some interesting winter in these parts as well. I know I'm ready for the change, hating this summer heat! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted August 1, 2016 Share Posted August 1, 2016 I noticed that Doug Head (heady pattern) is calling for below average temps and above average precipitation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted August 19, 2016 Share Posted August 19, 2016 JoMo - Any new updates on JAMSTEC and CFS2 for the winter months? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted August 22, 2016 Share Posted August 22, 2016 On 8/19/2016 at 11:52 AM, MoWeatherguy said: JoMo - Any new updates on JAMSTEC and CFS2 for the winter months? The Aug JAMSTEC went warm. Seems a bit off. CFS v2 fluctuates a lot. The interesting thing appears to be that the models are showing just a weak Nina or possibly even just a cool neutral. We do pretty well in this area during neutral years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted August 28, 2016 Share Posted August 28, 2016 Weak La-Nina or neutral conditions still look probable this winter according to the latest models. Neutral or weak Nina's after a strong El Nino happened in 1983-1984, 1966-67. 1983-1984 was cold and snowy in Joplin. 1966-1967 looks like it had a couple big storms towards the end of Dec, but temps were up and down the rest of the winter. The ocean SST's look somewhat like 2013 at this point. That ended up being a good winter for our area. But it's still early, and we'll have to see what happens between now and Oct/Nov when the GOA will become more active with storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cerakoter1984 Posted August 28, 2016 Share Posted August 28, 2016 1 hour ago, JoMo said: Weak La-Nina or neutral conditions still look probable this winter according to the latest models. Neutral or weak Nina's after a strong El Nino happened in 1983-1984, 1966-67. 1983-1984 was cold and snowy in Joplin. 1966-1967 looks like it had a couple big storms towards the end of Dec, but temps were up and down the rest of the winter. The ocean SST's look somewhat like 2013 at this point. That ended up being a good winter for our area. But it's still early, and we'll have to see what happens between now and Oct/Nov when the GOA will become more active with storms. I don't know if my image uploaded but if you combine those 2 seasons with 1978-79, (enso went neutral in late autumn with warm N PAC) 59-60 (cool neutral) 2013-14 and 2014-15 (N PAC matches) you have a lot of pretty cold options on the table for us in the center of the nation. I like it. December 83 and January 84 had some pretty historic cold in them. I was born in October of 84 most likely due to the cold outbreak in January that year. Lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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