ouamber Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Wow...this winter sucks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Yeah the 12z Euro lost the 'big storm' around our region. Went to the GFS idea of being progressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Nice +7 to +10 temp departures showing up on the Euro ensemble mean the last week of Jan. Nice early Spring start. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I guess all of our indices have tanked or tanking the wrong direction. This winter will rival 97-98 the way it's going now. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I've read quite a few blogs/posts/articles about how the warm up should be very temporary Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Sometimes you just gotta dance with who brung ya. OUN has advisories up for a swath of southwest OK for 1" to 3" of snow. They just extended it a couple of counties eastward, though not quite to OKC. Eh, maybe we'll see enough to whiten the ground in these parts.... and I'd take it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I've read quite a few blogs/posts/articles about how the warm up should be very temporary We'll see, but I'm not getting my hopes up for anything. Some years are just stinkers and we've had a couple of good above normal snowfall years, so not surprising if we have a really bad year to average it out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Might as well take a long look at the 18ZGFS..it won't look like this next time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 I think mid Missouri could get a decent event Tuesday. It's been very consistent of the gfs and the gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 15, 2016 Share Posted January 15, 2016 Might as well take a long look at the 18ZGFS..it won't look like this next time. lol, we've been doing well fantasy snow wise.... it's just turning the fantasy snow into real snow that's the problem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 The winter is over! It will be 70 next week. Least snowiest winter ever. Bring on the heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 If the Euro MJO long range forecast is right and it does come back out in 4,5,6 for Feb, then winter really probably is over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 16, 2016 Author Share Posted January 16, 2016 +QBO plus ENSO+ in phase with each other = bad winter. I will try not to forget it. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 But it's not like phases 7/8 did us any good this yr, either. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 But it's not like phases 7/8 did us any good this yr, either. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk It brought the cold. Can't get snow when it's 65. Active El Nino flow was just mistimed. We could still get a couple snows if things do end up coming together through mid-March. But an all around great winter is kind of off the table at this point. Next winter could probably be anything, but I doubt it will be a strong El Nino or La Nina. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 I think mid Missouri could get a decent event Tuesday. It's been very consistent of the gfs and the gem. Yeah, it's looking more and more likely up there. The Euro last night and GFS this morning have similar positioning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 16, 2016 Share Posted January 16, 2016 And the GFS can pull stuff like this on ya....... Last nights 00z GFS run had a trough moving through, nothing precip wise here in the area, precip located down across central AR and points south. Not a big deal....... Today's 12z run has a closed low over NE OK and the system winding up... And now suddenly you've got snow in Kansas, Northern MO and it could wrap back into SE KS, SW MO, and far NW AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 17, 2016 Author Share Posted January 17, 2016 Ya'll have fun with winter. I'm over this ****. No snow is coming. Good luck all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 We got about an inch over night in Columbia. High of 12 today, forecast low of 1. I think we could go below zero with the snow cover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Doramo Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 We may not get any of the white stuff but at least it is now in the NOAA forecast is for a 50% chance of light snow / flurries this afternoon and then again on Tuesday night and again on Thursday per Wunderground they be forecasting a 90% chance Tues night with total 1" . This is the best news I've heard all winter... so far . Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Winter cancel until December 2019 at the earliest. Seriously though, keep an eye on the previous rainy overrunning parts of the pattern that are showing up toward the ends of the model runs. This will bring one of the best chances of a prolonged winter event if we are to have one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 12z Euro still running but still indicates snow across central and northern Missouri late Tuesday. Also, the system on Thursday needs to be watched as well as it's a bit farther south. Proud of the Chiefs for their run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 What do amounts look like on the euro for the Tuesday system in mid Missouri? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 What do amounts look like on the euro for the Tuesday system in mid Missouri? Generally 4-5" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Generally 4-5" The gfs isn't nearly as excited as the GEM and euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 17, 2016 Share Posted January 17, 2016 Follow the Euro. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Had some flurries here off and on for a bit lol....tulsa still saying 30 percent chance of snow up until midnight. After that the forecast is non stop changing, making my head spin actually! So darn confusing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The Thursday system has my interest for now. If it comes a bit father south like the GFS has it could see a transition to snow for awhile. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 The Thursday system has my interest for now. If it comes a bit father south like the GFS has it could see a transition to snow for awhile. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk The 12z Euro is farther east with the snow but the western extent of the band is just off to your east, so I'd say it needs watched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 18, 2016 Share Posted January 18, 2016 Little more snow farther south into central MO for the Tues system on the 00z GFS. This system is going to happen in 48 hours or so, and it's really cold right now... makes me wonder how far north the warmer air will make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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