JoMo Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 What day? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk It was on Day 10. Been kind of stuck there a few runs. Both the GFS/Euro have a big day 10ish system. There's some snow or something around day 6-7 or so with a system that gets the phase wrong but enough moisture to wring out some snow across OK and maybe into AR. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 12, 2016 Share Posted January 12, 2016 12z Euro control run was very snowy (or frozen precip) especially Days 11-15. Still a considerable spread on the ensemble members 'snow' location over the next 15 days though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Pretty boring 12z Euro run again until around Day 8 when it starts to crank the beast storm up. Doesn't really know what to do with it so it just meanders NE. Probably be big snows in the western 1/2 of OK up into central KS this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jojo762 Posted January 13, 2016 Share Posted January 13, 2016 Both 12Z and 18Z GFS pointed to an impressive storm system--likely with impressive wintry/snow accumulations-- mid/late next week across the central and southern plains. As has been discussed in here recently, I believe... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 13, 2016 Author Share Posted January 13, 2016 Both 12Z and 18Z GFS pointed to an impressive storm system--likely with impressive wintry/snow accumulations-- mid/late next week across the central and southern plains. As has been discussed in here recently, I believe... Yeah. Keeps showing something brewing but not going to get my hopes up just yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I like Springfields AFD this afternoon: "model solutions have bordered on random at times beyond about the day 5 timeframe." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Is there any support from the euro on that system? Doug heady mentioned it in his blog tonight, fits his "pattern" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 0z gfs is a blockbuster storm for mid missouri and central ks! 10-20 inches with the day 8 storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yeah. Congrats folks to the north. I'm never going to get snow down here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MUWX Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 0z GEM is on board. A touch further north but, at this range that doesn't matter at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 00z Euro still has the big storm, but still doesn't know what to do with it. Any snow/frozen is still back in central/western KS to NW OK. Prior to that, has a couple of light events in different parts of the Plains. None of those really look like that big of a deal though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yeah. Congrats folks to the north. I'm never going to get snow down here. Same here.. This has been such a boring winter so far. If its not going to snow bring on the warmer temps I say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'll take the 12z GFS at 162 please, Alex. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'll take it at both 126 and 168-180! Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 I'll take it at both 126 and 168-180! Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Couple NW flow type events.. Not sure about that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yah those have been disappearing as we get closer in. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 We're usually too far SW of the path of those type systems, but you never know. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z GEM remained pretty unexciting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Yah and GEM hasn't been biting off on these little ripples as hard as the GFS has. So prolly no snow for the next week or so. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 12z Euro again pretty unexciting for this area until the big storm arrives. May start feeling the effects of that next Wed/Thurs. Still doesn't know what to do with it, and another big storm is beaching itself in CA so it looks suspicious having it cutoff over the ARKLATEX. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 So the Euro next Wednesday is not the same system as the NW flow action the GFS has? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 So the Euro next Wednesday is not the same system as the NW flow action the GFS has? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Does something different with it. The GFS brings it through as an open trough, while the Euro has more energy farther south down into Mexico and uses it to form a closed cutoff low down in Texas. It's pretty much all rain in our area though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Ok thanks. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 So it seems everything gets lost as we get closer to something that showed up on earlier runs lol, no shocker there. We are starting to run out of time, not for it to snow really but for stuff to stick around very long cause of that blazing fireball in the sky. I just don't think we are going to see anything or much at all this winter guys/gals. Its just a dud warm weird winter season, I agree with spot...if it's not going to do anything bring on the warmth. So depressing really as I love winter! Will we even hit our normal of 9 inches or whatever it is here lol? Probly not who knows for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 So it seems everything gets lost as we get closer to something that showed up on earlier runs lol, no shocker there. We are starting to run out of time, not for it to snow really but for stuff to stick around very long cause of that blazing fireball in the sky. I just don't think we are going to see anything or much at all this winter guys/gals. Its just a dud warm weird winter season, I agree with spot...if it's not going to do anything bring on the warmth. So depressing really as I love winter! Will we even hit our normal of 9 inches or whatever it is here lol? Probly not who knows for sure. Lol. I agree with you. It's 62 and not a cloud in the sky. This weather blows....for January. Lol. Our odds of making it to 8 inches start going downhill pretty fast after the next week or so. Unless February is a totally new and improved pattern, we aren't looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 The 12z Euro control was more interesting, especially for the AR and OK folks. The individual ensemble members are all over the place with frozen chances over the next 10 days though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 14, 2016 Author Share Posted January 14, 2016 The 12z Euro control was more interesting, especially for the AR and OK folks. The individual ensemble members are all over the place with frozen chances over the next 10 days though. Really really inconsistent from run to run though. Might as well call it the EFS. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 14, 2016 Share Posted January 14, 2016 Lol. I agree with you. It's 62 and not a cloud in the sky. This weather blows....for January. Lol. Our odds of making it to 8 inches start going downhill pretty fast after the next week or so. Unless February is a totally new and improved pattern, we aren't looking good. I'm kind of seeing December redux in the weeklies. Eh, who knows at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 15, 2016 Author Share Posted January 15, 2016 I'm kind of seeing December redux in the weeklies. Eh, who knows at this point. Yeah. It's crap. Those folks who peddle the recurring weather patterns and cycles really have a year to put their stamp on this year. Been the same thing over and over since November. Winter fail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 15, 2016 Author Share Posted January 15, 2016 Good stuff on fantasy land GFS again today. I may as well enjoy the digital snow. Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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