Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,606
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    ArlyDude
    Newest Member
    ArlyDude
    Joined

OK/AR/KS/MO Winter 2015-16 Discussion


OKwx2K4

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1.5k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Anything after hour 108 on the 12z GFS is going to be suspect. That's when all the energy pours into the west and things get confusing as there's multiple streams, and multiple systems interacting. 

 

500mbrelvortconus.png

 

 

With that being said. I like this run.... lol

 

 

acc10_1snowc.png

 

It will more than likely change.......

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z GEM also has a couple systems around the same time(s). A system around next weekend, and then a couple of days after that. So it looks like it could be active, just not sure where.

 

-6 in Minnesota currently for the Vikings game. That sounds painful.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Yikes. I guess the Vikings play outdoors now? I haven't paid much attention to them.

Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk

 

Yes, until their new stadium is finished in July, they are playing at the Univ of Minnesota stadium which is outside.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z Euro has a storm of interest Fri/Sat as well. But it's upper air is messy and needs sorted out still. Looks similar to the system that just went through though.

 

It's going to bring the Arctic down this run after the weekend. And then next Mon/Tues there's another system, this one looks to be down in Texas like the GFS was this run.

 

So, plenty to watch.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

12z Euro has a storm of interest Fri/Sat as well. But it's upper air is messy and needs sorted out still. Looks similar to the system that just went through though.

It's going to bring the Arctic down this run after the weekend. And then next Mon/Tues there's another system, this one looks to be down in Texas like the GFS was this run.

So, plenty to watch.

Really don't think that storm in TX will verify that far south. As you said, the models will be all over the place.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Anything after hour 108 on the 12z GFS is going to be suspect. That's when all the energy pours into the west and things get confusing as there's multiple streams, and multiple systems interacting. 

 

500mbrelvortconus.png

 

 

With that being said. I like this run.... lol

 

 

acc10_1snowc.png

 

It will more than likely change.......

 

Wow ! I really like that run as it has the 8" snow area right over me place...if only this would hold out . :snowman:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

It's quite a mess for the models to sort out. They are all out of sync with each other, and differ quite a bit from run to run. Expected when you have split flow and a lot of energy though. The Euro control and ensemble is deeply out of sync when it comes to the end of the 15 days. The individual ensemble members differ quite a bit when it comes to frozen precip as well. The issue right now is the northern stream being a bully and crushing anything coming underneath. The timing just isn't right, and it's hard for the models to time two different streams full of energy and their interaction with each other. 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...