MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 NWS TUL map actually has fayetteville in the 2" range. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 NW AR can expect 1-2" with locally 4" in the higher terrain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 18z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 18z GFS ] That is starting to look like something interesting for quite a few of us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 You're in Washington county, AR right? You're under a WWA. Yep, just noticed the update. Says 1-3 with locally higher ammounts. Advisory in effect after 6 tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 The 12z Euro parallel run had more snow in SW MO.... New Euro had 5" near Monett and down SW into Benton county, AR. The Euro had 2" in Monett and 1" in Benton county. Also had more snow for the area starting just past Day 7. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Sounds like this one will be for all the MO and AR folks. I'm not impressed with this storm for Tulsa or OK that much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 About a dusting here is what I think is in the cards. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 Just hoping for an official inch here. Anything over that can be a pleasant surprise. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 8, 2016 Share Posted January 8, 2016 The HRRR has the sharp northern cutoff as well. So the NAM might be on to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 8, 2016 Author Share Posted January 8, 2016 Looks like a dusting for me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Does the HRRR update every hour or something else? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Does the HRRR update every hour or something else? Yep. http://ruc.noaa.gov/hrrr/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 00z NAM for our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 I like the NAM much better than some of the other models. Lock it in. HAHA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The models seems to be so spastic. The last 8-10 runs of the NAM is all over the place. Pivotalweather.com has a cool model trend animation function. If you look at that there is absolutely no run to run consistency. I would hate to be a met on this one. Some folks are going to get shut out while others cash in. And Lord only knows where that will be. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 SW MO and up the I-44 corridor seem to be the best spot for this one. Been a steady model signal for that area for some time. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The models seems to be so spastic. The last 8-10 runs of the NAM is all over the place. Pivotalweather.com has a cool model trend animation function. If you look at that there is absolutely no run to run consistency. I would hate to be a met on this one. Some folks are going to get shut out while others cash in. And Lord only knows where that will be. Well, it is the NAM... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 The NAM does seem to have a good placement and idea of current precip... its evolution over the next 12 hours looks reasonable to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 These marginal type systems are a pain. I do hope everyone at least sees some flakes, even if there isn't much/any accumulation. Maybe we can get an actual snowstorm in here in the next 2 months with the active southern storm track waking up finally. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 And the 00z GFS Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 This WWA for NW AR just doesn't look good to me. Models tonite not that impressive. Too many things to overcome - dry slotting, warm ground, etc. I'm ready to move on to the next threat with a little more punch to it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 9, 2016 Author Share Posted January 9, 2016 Good to see lots of improvements in the longer ranges over the last few model runs. Even if they're all over the place, definitely getting much better and snowier. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 El Nino pattern finally showing up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 9, 2016 Author Share Posted January 9, 2016 El Nino pattern finally showing up. Yeah. Just came a month too late. Lol. Made me worry too much. Doesn't look like cold will be as much of a problem in the next few storms either. Good lightning and thunder in these rain showers tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted January 9, 2016 Author Share Posted January 9, 2016 Cold air not pushing eastward fast enough IMO. Probably going to see no snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 We have transitioned to snow in Monett in the last twenty minutes or so. Ground is starting to get a bit of accumulation on it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Looks like Monett and points NE of there will see the most snow, not really a big deal for everyone else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NJ_Ken Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 About an hour ago, we started seeing some light snow. The ground is now white and side streets are snow covered. It's not the "big one" we all dream of, but I'll take it. :-) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted January 9, 2016 Share Posted January 9, 2016 Tulsa might be getting some heavier rates now. Cold, snowy.... Good day for football! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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