OKwx2K4 Posted December 28, 2015 Author Share Posted December 28, 2015 Last band down here falling apart as it rolls east. I'll be lucky if I see a flake. I don't think the Euro can really call this one a success with as far east and south as it made it as far as storm track goes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Ended up with 9.80" here, may end up with a bit more as the upper low moves through, but... that's a lot of rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 One of the biggest non-tropical systems I've seen. Sums up this winter so far. I sure hope the long range comes around soon. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 One of the biggest non-tropical systems I've seen. Sums up this winter so far. I sure hope the long range comes around soon. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A About 10-11 days or so until possible next system. You should have seen the 00z Euro ensemble last night. Looked fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 That's good to hear. I'm still holding out hope for later in Jan and Feb. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 That's good to hear. I'm still holding out hope for later in Jan and Feb. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A Looks good, as of now, of course it could change. But the 00z Euro ensemble brought the trough across the south around Jan 10th or so. None of that trough getting stuck in the west stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Yes that would b great. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Changed to snow here a bit ago. Hoping for the bigger flakes that are being reported south and west of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Awesome. It looked like you might get in on some of the frozen action. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cstrunk Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Starting to get stuck between snow to the north/west and with the low to the south/east. Dry air blues. Don't think we're going to hit 6" here in far southwest Iowa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted December 28, 2015 Author Share Posted December 28, 2015 About 10-11 days or so until possible next system. You should have seen the 00z Euro ensemble last night. Looked fun. Ridiculously fun. When you start throwing around January 1978 as an analog for the pattern, you're talking about epic winter stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Seen a few flakes mixes with drizzle. Good as it gets this year I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Had a round of big flake moderate snow. That should satisfy me for week or two. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Still drizzly here, it feels and looks like it wants to mix over though. The air feels different than it did yesterday. I just cant believe how bad the flooding is everywhere! One epic storm for sure, minus all the crappy rain lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 You all are going to hate me..... Absolutely perfect snowfall a bit ago. Huge huge flakes, at least half dollar size. Coming perfectly straight down. It was snowing snowballs!!! Haven't seen flakes that big in years, if ever. It was amazing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Wow man that sounds like fun! I saw that on radar so you confirmed it. Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Nope dont hate you JoMo but I am jelous haha..send some down here! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 It's gone back to the light snowfall now. It was great. Looks like maybe 1/2" of slush accumulation at most, but the huge flakes are always on my winter "ToDo" list and I can't remember the last year that they happened. If you looked up, you could see these giant snowflakes floating down. It was something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted December 28, 2015 Author Share Posted December 28, 2015 I don't hate you either buddy. Just glad someone is getting to have some fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 12z Euro ensemble still looks good in the extended. Ridge is going to build into Alaska and the Arctic. Trough stays over the SW until around the 10th, and then pushes east across the southern US and builds into the south/east through the end of the run which is the 12th. The control looks to have storm systems lining up under the ridge in the Pacific. Weeklies in a bit..... (which will have changed a lot since the last weeklies) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Got some very light fine snow falling here now, as well as falling temps! Nice to see some white stuff finally lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted December 28, 2015 Author Share Posted December 28, 2015 I'm in Fayetteville with family right now and I must've missed the snow inside of a restaurant. :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 28, 2015 Share Posted December 28, 2015 Euro Weeklies: Go out to Jan 28th this evening. We'll start off around the 10th when it has the troughing coming across the southern US. The entire US then has lower than normal heights with an emphasis on more trough developing across the western US around the 18th or so. Appears the ridging near Alaska will break down and be replaced by a trough, so the Weeklies don't think the upcoming 'pattern change' locks in and we go back to a somewhat similar Dec look. -AO that eventually goes back positive. +PNA that goes to neutral. EDIT: Temps look generally around normal on average. Maybe warming up at the end of the run towards the later part of the month. Temps are probably influenced heavily by snowcover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 I'm in Fayetteville with family right now and I must've missed the snow inside of a restaurant. :-( It was extremely brief, maybe 5 minutes worth of light flurries. It was nice but nothing major Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 So according to the weeklies there is no sustained pattern change coming? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 So according to the weeklies there is no sustained pattern change coming? Sent from my SAMSUNG-SM-G900A For a couple weeks, then it wants to revert back to GoA trough with a ridge over or east of Hudson Bay. We'll see though since it was a dramatic change from the weeklies on Thurs anyway. The change back is in week 4 or so anyway. The weeklies just don't think the upcoming -EPO/-AO sticks around more than a couple weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 I just noticed the new Euro parallel run has updated. This run goes out to 46 days. It breaks down the ridging over Alaska towards the end of Jan due to the trough moving east into the GOA, but the trough in the GOA backs to the west again and the ridge builds again over Alaska at the end of the first week of Feb. Troughing pretty much stays over the southern US the entire run though after the first week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted December 29, 2015 Author Share Posted December 29, 2015 00z GFS now showing another storm in the day 10 range with good solid cold air hanging around. Looks to be ejecting out of SW TX and laying a hefty band of snow on days 11 and 12 through our area. This was on twisterdata so not too sure about it but I think it's worth noting for sure given all the models agreeing on something big around this timeframe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OKwx2K4 Posted December 29, 2015 Author Share Posted December 29, 2015 I just noticed the new Euro parallel run has updated. This run goes out to 46 days. It breaks down the ridging over Alaska towards the end of Jan due to the trough moving east into the GOA, but the trough in the GOA backs to the west again and the ridge builds again over Alaska at the end of the first week of Feb. Troughing pretty much stays over the southern US the entire run though after the first week. The ensemble mean on that for snow looks pretty tasty for our area considering it is likely north and west biased. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 29, 2015 Share Posted December 29, 2015 Looks like another warm up coming to me by the weekend, close to 50 again lol. Too far out on models to trust anything at this point and the way things have been, just one big storm! Just one is all we need, last season was crap at just average. You guys buy into the 150 to 300 percent above normal snowfall mets and long range forecasters were thinking lol? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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