LMA1973 Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 Just saw the news...apparently remnants of Erika are strengthening and the NWS said if confirmed will be Fred. This one isnt over yet folks-just a new rendition. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 I have been wondering if it could remain a tropical wave and go further west into the Gulf if there was a chance it could reform into something bigger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 ef - ing NHC Atlantic Ops @NHC_Atlantic Kendall, FLBecause a few folks are asking - if the remnants of Erika become a tropical cyclone again, they’d get the name Erika. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Modfan Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 Seems like bands of remnants of Erika are moving over S Fl Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 Too bad. I was looking forward to Drop Dead Fred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 Too bad. I was looking forward to Drop Dead Fred. Just wait a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 (Erika-)Fred's dead, man Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 Just saw the news...apparently remnants of Erika are strengthening and the NWS said if confirmed will be Fred. This one isnt over yet folks-just a new rendition. I think it would still be Erika. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 29, 2015 Share Posted August 29, 2015 Just wait a week.Wiiillllllmaaaaas!? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormsfury Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 probably going to have Fred out off the coaat of Africa at any time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 We now have Fred... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Forget (Fred the Fish) it will remain a fish storm!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Bye Freddie. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Fred should weaken some and then bend back towards the West beyond day 4. Granted the odds still favor eventual recurve but that's not a guarantee. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 3 category 4's currently churning in the Pacific! 1st time it's happened in recorded histor, in any basin! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 3 category 4's currently churning in the Pacific! 1st time it's happened in recorded histor, in any basin! Is the strong el nino to blame ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Is the strong el nino to blame ?Yes. Ninos always make for a busy Pacific hurricane season. I guess the Godzilla niño is the reasoning for the record for cat 4s at the same time! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
shaggy Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 So when was the last time the cape verdes actually got hit by a hurricane? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supercane Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 So when was the last time the cape verdes actually got hit by a hurricane? 1892. The hurricane that year went through the gap between the islands. Debbie in 1961 also became a hurricane shortly after clearing the southernmost islands as a moderate TS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Fred is the Coldrain storm , right? Or was it the next after Fred and Fred is just the appetizer ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
superjames1992 Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Fred should weaken some and then bend back towards the West beyond day 4. Granted the odds still favor eventual recurve but that's not a guarantee. Weaker will be better to prevent a recurve, right? I'm still learning about this tropical stuff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yotaman Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Any model runs on this yet, I cannot seem to find any? Never mind, I just found some. Looks like most are keeping it a TS for the next 7 days and it's direction is all over the place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Any model runs on this yet, I cannot seem to find any?12z Euro dissipates the system by day 6. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supercane Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Weaker will be better to prevent a recurve, right? I'm still learning about this tropical stuff. That is the general rule, although there are exceptions when a deeper storm is steered more westward (Ike during its Atlantic days comes to mind). In this case, the models are bending Fred back west because they weaken it into either a remnant low or an open wave. I highly doubt it'll ever be anything to worry about after the Cape Verde impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 According to the official Atlantic tropical cyclone record, which begins in 1851, Fred is the first hurricane to pass through the Cape Verde Islands since 1892. We caution, however, that the database is less reliable prior to the satellite era (mid 1960s onward). Please note that the track/cone graphic, an automatically generated product, does not have the capability of displaying warnings for the Cape Verde Islands. FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 31/1500Z 16.4N 23.7W 75 KT 85 MPH 12H 01/0000Z 17.3N 25.1W 70 KT 80 MPH 24H 01/1200Z 18.6N 26.9W 65 KT 75 MPH 36H 02/0000Z 19.6N 28.8W 60 KT 70 MPH 48H 02/1200Z 20.3N 30.6W 50 KT 60 MPH 72H 03/1200Z 21.4N 33.8W 40 KT 45 MPH 96H 04/1200Z 22.5N 37.5W 30 KT 35 MPH 120H 05/1200Z 24.0N 41.0W 25 KT 30 MPH...POST-TROP/REMNT LOW Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted September 6, 2015 Share Posted September 6, 2015 Fred's not dead, baby, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowacane Posted September 9, 2015 Share Posted September 9, 2015 Right said Fred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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