Rjay Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Ugghh, that date pretty much induces massive nausea. A few miles.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 A few miles.... Craziest north south cutoff ever. 18" on the north shore 5" in long beach. I was at 8" I believe. 10" at my gf's 2 miles north. So it was about an inch a mile gradient down here tapering to about 1/4" north of the LIE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 GFS unloads the cold on us the 1st week of December. It also shows a coastal storm near the famous date ( 12/5 ). Really cold air comes down into the US during the first week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NYCSNOWMAN2020 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 GFS unloads the cold on us the 1st week of December. It also shows a coastal storm near the famous date ( 12/5 )That's music to my ears ; tired of this 65 degree weather .. ( I know it's in fantasy land as of now but can't hurt to hope .. ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 That's music to my ears ; tired of this 65 degree weather .. ( I know it's in fantasy land as of now but can't hurt to hope .. ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Craziest north south cutoff ever. 18" on the north shore 5" in long beach. I was at 8" I believe. 10" at my gf's 2 miles north. So it was about an inch a mile gradient down here tapering to about 1/4" north of the LIE Between the main event in the morning and the ULL later, I had maybe 7.5". The initial part was one of the most gutwrenching changeovers ever. It literally was snowing 3-4" per hour easy, and within a minute or two it changed to downpouring rain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HailMan06 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Snow on the oil platforms off the coast of TX and Mexican cacti? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Snow on the oil platforms off the coast of TX and Mexican cacti? That would be a nasty icestorm maybe even down here in Austin. Cold air can still build up at the surface here east of the Rockies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 GFS unloads the cold on us the 1st week of December. It also shows a coastal storm near the famous date ( 12/5 ). Really cold air comes down into the US during the first week. I wonder if that has anything to do with the soon-to-be typhoon in the Western Pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 The next couple weeks still look relatively above normal with a couple of seasonal cool shots. There's nothing that screams snow at all besides some LR model nonsense. Coldest airmass of the season likely later this weekend with probably the most negative departures of the month so far, which given this November isn't that difficult to do. So much for a cold Turkey week; early week cooler weather quickly turns above normal by midweek and extends into the weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 The next couple weeks still look relatively above normal with a couple of seasonal cool shots. There's nothing that screams snow at all besides some LR model nonsense. Coldest airmass of the season likely later this weekend with probably the most negative departures of the month so far, which given this November isn't that difficult to do. So much for a cold Turkey week; early week cooler weather quickly turns above normal by midweek and extends into the weekend. It's going to get cold after Turkey week. It looks like it will be transient though. Maybe we can sneak out a snow event in the 1st week of December. Come on NAO lol. This picture reminds me of the past 2 winters. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Nice to see the long range GFS dreaming of winter... maybe the recurving typhoon will assist in jump starting the pattern? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Do we know yet which November will show up? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 12Z gfs in the first week of December looks ripe for a storm in the east before the pattern possibly gets warmer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 only 12 days and 48 model runs to go Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I won't be surprised if we see more than a few record warm days before February...it might snow between mild periods...I hope February and March deliver otherwise it could get ugly... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I doubt December is going to be a torch. EPO might save us again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 8pm (western areas) Jan 26th to about 4-5am (eastern areas) Jan 27th. I had 2"-4" and hour with constant thunder in N. Queens from 9pm to 11pm and then again from midnight to 3am. Most on these weather forums were sound asleep when the best part of the storm was occurring, which is why this storm is very underrated and people were sleeping and missed an epic storm. At 2am, it was me, sundog and only 3-4 posters awake on this site while NYC and LI got pounded with 3"-6" an hour rates and constant thunder. We even official stations (ISP + LGA) confirm these snowfall rates. Not just a snow weenie's measurement. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted November 19, 2015 Author Share Posted November 19, 2015 I had 2"-4" and hour with constant thunder in N. Queens from 9pm to 11pm and then again from midnight to 3am. Most on these weather forums were sound asleep when the best part of the storm was occurring, which is why this storm is very underrated and people were sleeping and missed an epic storm. At 2am, it was me, sundog and only 3-4 posters awake on this site while NYC and LI got pounded with 3"-6" an hour rates and constant thunder. Yeah that second part was pretty good. I woke up right before it occured Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Feels weird not seeing any snow yet, and for awhile longer possibly. Last year many would have seen an event on the 13th/14th and then would of course get a nice thump right before Turkey Day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Feels weird not seeing any snow yet, and for awhile longer possibly. Last year many would have seen an event on the 13th/14th and then would of course get a nice thump right before Turkey Day. that was a cold November last year. Felt more like Dec or even early Jan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 that was a cold November last year. Felt more like Dec or even early Jan. Yes it was. Had days with highs stuck in the upper 20s and low 30s. One thing I remember well was a little burst of warmth about 4 maybe 5 days before Thanksgiving. Might have hit 70 or so. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 I doubt December is going to be a torch. EPO might save us again. Wishful thinking. I still think we see 70 this December. Could there be a random cold shot and storm? Possibly. I think the big show waits till the back end. Even 98 snowed late in the game Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Can we get that offshore storm on Euro on at 96hours to come more west Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Do we know yet which November will show up? The wrong one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Euro is cooking up something at 240 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 The wrong one. I'd rather have a warm Nov and cold Dec. More snow chances. We had a bitter cold Nov last year and all most of us got was a slop storm out of it. The same pattern would have been better in Dec which ended up warm but very wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Im tracking mondays storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 Im tracking mondays storm Lol. :weenie identified. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted November 19, 2015 Share Posted November 19, 2015 So how is this Nino behaving thus far in comparison to previous Ninos. Those favorable Feb-March analogs are textbook climo for a warm ENSO but there's a lot of differing factors with this one that haven't been seen in recorded history (record +PDO, blowtorch Pacific, record basin-wide event). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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