NycStormChaser Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 I guess it depends on your model of choice. I see the 18z GFS does landfall Sunday morning. Gotcha. Thanks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 LOL at the M ATL hoping the GFS is right...they can have it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 Whoever said that it was only a matter of time before the El Nino firehose showed up... go ahead and put a feather in your cap. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 29, 2015 Share Posted September 29, 2015 LOL at the M ATL hoping the GFS is right...they can have it. Fortunately most of the models that show the hook back towards the coast have a landfall well south of our area....between NC and the Delmarva. Obviously a Delmarva landfall has big impacts even up this way but a NC landfall significantly lowers the risk of damage in our area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Didn't even have it as bad as some parts of LI. Still had 2 weeks of no power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SmokeEater Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Congrats, know the feeling, getting married next August. At least by Sunday the worst should be over.Thanks guys, usually I'd be highly excited about what's coming, but not with this on Sunday. It could totally screw things up, with half the people at the wedding being my FD family. It's all inside, but it would screw my pictures up. And if it's bad enough, who knows what else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Whoever said that it was only a matter of time before the El Nino firehose showed up... go ahead and put a feather in your cap. I wouldn't quite term it the firehose yet, but there's definitely some contribution into the front from the tropical Pacific. More is coming from a tropical disturbance that made landfall over the FL Panhandle. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jm1220 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Fortunately most of the models that show the hook back towards the coast have a landfall well south of our area....between NC and the Delmarva. Obviously a Delmarva landfall has big impacts even up this way but a NC landfall significantly lowers the risk of damage in our area. That could change... this is a hugely volatile setup. I'm definitely not on board with a cat 2-3 hitting the coast, but I could see it being hurricane strength especially if it becomes more of a Perfect Storm/Sandy-like hybrid. I could see it being hooked out to sea by a weakness in the ridge and little interaction with the trough, or what you described. It could also go back to a more northward-tracking storm that hits NJ or LI. Just way too early to say. I think the greatest likelihood is that the moderate drought's gone. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 This is a color scheme I can get behind. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 30, 2015 Author Share Posted September 30, 2015 Cat 1 for Joaquin next update? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 I sign out for the first two days of Sukkos and the forum goes bonkers. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SRRTA22 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 GFS makes me feel uneasy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Your wink smiley is an obvious effort to quietly & inappropriately insert posts that clearly belong in the climate change forum. You sense of humor needs a tune up...did you notice the palm trees put in front of the LB House for the HBO movie shoot? You can't be serious about the climate change remark..And yes that is Michelle Pfeiffer coming out of what is supposed to be a Florida house.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 You sense of humor needs a tune up...did you notice the palm trees put in front of the LB House for the HBO movie shoot? You can't be serious about the climate change remark..And yes that is Michelle Pfeiffer coming out of what is supposed to be a Florida house.. 12042817_846090542154337_4070720530610489862_n.jpg she was awful yesterday. Claiming a 80mph cane that caused well documented destruction was a 47mph tropical storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NycStormChaser Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Who ever the woman holding the camera for the weather channels live periscope right now is an idiot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 And I'm getting married Sunday... Can it not rain at all? lol Congrats and best wishes! I know they say that rain on your wedding day is good luck, but hopefully it isn't anything more than a shower or two! Congrats. Sorry man. This has got to suck for you guys. Whoa, moderator? Have I been gone THAT long? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rjay Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Congrats and best wishes! I know they say that rain on your wedding day is good luck, but hopefully it isn't anything more than a shower or two! Whoa, moderator? Have I been gone THAT long? You disappeared! Welcome back! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 You sense of humor needs a tune up...did you notice the palm trees put in front of the LB House for the HBO movie shoot? You can't be serious about the climate change remark..And yes that is Michelle Pfeiffer coming out of what is supposed to be a Florida house.. 12042817_846090542154337_4070720530610489862_n.jpg she was awful yesterday. Claiming a 80mph cane that caused well documented destruction was a 47mph tropical storm. The South Shore always sticks together...or sticks to something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Good god the sun came out and it was instantly disgusting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 If trends continue we probably need storm mode soon. You have five major sub-forums affected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Good god the sun came out and it was instantly disgusting. Yea, it feels like the Gulf Coast this morning. Pretty incredible for late Sept. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Yea, it feels like the Gulf Coast this morning. Pretty incredible for late Sept. Dew points in the lower to mid-70's will do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Disgusting and up to 77. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
masomenos Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Summer started in the early days of May and never really looked back. It has been a nearly unthinkable stretch of warmth...you'd be hard-pressed to find one solidly cold air mass in the northern hemisphere the past 4 months. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WaPo Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Man. Between the Bust earlier this year and this, it's gotta be an extremely difficult year to be a forecaster at the NWS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Seems the humidity dropped/wind shift. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 Down to 68/60. What a difference from the disgusting morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AmyB Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 You disappeared! Welcome back! i did, was busy doing summer stuff, back to school and enjoying the last few days of summer/begging for fall! Good god the sun came out and it was instantly disgusting. we had sun here for about 15 minutes.. then it vanished.. Seems the humidity dropped/wind shift. we still have humidity but not as warm as it was.. been a while since I went out, have to check again in a little while Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 omg check out this photo of joaquin approaching ocean city please share i swear it's real Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pazzo83 Posted September 30, 2015 Share Posted September 30, 2015 isabel.jpg..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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