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The Last Days Of Summer: September 2015 DISCUSSION/OBS


UnionWeatherWx

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The park down to 72. Mid 50s tonight?

Probably will be mid to high 50s if you radiate well. 40s up this way.

Dew point down to 41.

When did we see this last?

Will any of the outlying areas crack 40?

I think that some areas of the Catskills might, and maybe the very far areas and valleys in Northwest NJ. I know the Adirondack's have frost advisories as well as parts of Vermont.

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NYC  80 (+) days  76 of 82   (7/4: 75, 7/9: 79, 9/9: 79; 9/12: 79; 9/14: 77; 9/20: 79)

EWR 80 (+) days  79 of 82 (7/4: 79; 9/12: 79; 9/14: 78)

 

NYC TOP 5 80's streak

1. 62 (7/10-9/9/2015)

2. 59 (6/26-8/23/1944)

3. 41 (7/8-8/17/1943 and 7/4-8/13/2011)

4. 40 (6/20-7/29/1966)

 

EWR

1. 69 straight 80 (+) days  (7/5 - 9/11)

 

NYC 80 (+) Days 2015
 
April: 1
May: 18
Jun: 16
Jul: 29
Aug:  31 
Sep: 15
 
Top 5 for Central Park:

 

1. 108, 1944

2. 106, 1991

3. 104, 1959

4. 100, 1949 and 2005

 

 

EWR 80 (+) Days

 

APR: 1

May: 16

Jun: 17

Jul: 30

Aug: 31

Sep: 18

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The 18z GFS was quite warm to close out September and begin October. That fits with some of the ensemble guidance and persistence of the recent pattern. It will be interesting to see how things turn out. IMO, NYC is has not yet had its last 80° day. Wednesday and/or Thursday offer prospects for 80° days, and the 18z GFS suggests that others might occur afterward.

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