Morris Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Many of this month's departures would get us to 80 in early October. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 The 11 am temperature of 80° has made today, NYC's 110th day on which the temperature reached 80° or higher. The previous record was 108 days (Central Park record: 107 days). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 LGA racks up 2 more 70 degree lows yesterday and today. Meanwhile outside of the UHI, lows have been in the 50"s here past six days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 High of 87 in the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 18, 2015 Share Posted September 18, 2015 Even as the temperature soared to 87°, the Monarch migration is beginning to gather momentum in and around the New York City area: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Highs; 9/16: HPN: 85 TEB: 91 NYC: 86 EWR: 88 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 85 New Brunswick: 86 BLM: 82 TTN: 86 PHL: 87 ACY: 87 9/17 HPN: 86 TEB: 92 NYC: 89 EWR: 89 LGA: 87 JFK: 84 ISP: 83 New Brunswick: 88 BLM: 84 TTN: 86 PHL: 86 ACY: 85 9/18: HPN: 83 TEB: 88 NYC: 87 EWR: 85 LGA: 85 JFK: 83 ISP: 81 New Brunswick: 87 BLM: 82 TTN: 84 PHL: 84 ACY: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 NYC 80 (+) days 76 of 81 (7/4: 75, 7/9: 79, 9/9: 79; 9/12: 79) EWR 80 (+) days 78 of 81 (7/4: 79; 9/12: 79) NYC TOP 5 80's streak 1. 62 (7/10-9/9/2015) 2. 59 (6/26-8/23/1944) 3. 41 (7/8-8/17/1943 and 7/4-8/13/2011) 4. 40 (6/20-7/29/1966) EWR 1. 69 straight 80 (+) days (7/5 - 9/11) NYC 80 (+) Days 2015 April: 1 May: 18 Jun: 16 Jul: 29 Aug: 31 Sep: 15 Top 5 for Central Park: 1. 108, 1944 2. 106, 1991 3. 104, 1959 4. 100, 1949 and 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Same pattern until further notice as that West Coast vortex SE Canada ridge pattern has locked in this month. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Well the gfs continues to show an impressive albeit brief cool shot to end the month with one of those large highs. It also shows some rain though it could be blocked to our S&E as you've stated. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
donsutherland1 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Start of the last weekend of astronomical summer: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 Very cloudy here. Is the cold front near by? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 19, 2015 Share Posted September 19, 2015 The coming week will be a nice start. Yeah that's true, Wednesday and Thursday look especially nice. Very cloudy here. Is the cold front near by? I think it's way out on the PA border (Ohio) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Today's Highs: HPN: 80 TEB: 83 NYC: 83 EWR: 83 LGA: 80 JFK: 80 ISP: 80 New Brunswick: 87 BLM: 79 TTN: 83 PHL: 85 ACY: 82 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 NYC 80 (+) days 77 of 82 (7/4: 75, 7/9: 79, 9/9: 79; 9/12: 79) EWR 80 (+) days 79 of 82 (7/4: 79; 9/12: 79) NYC TOP 5 80's streak 1. 62 (7/10-9/9/2015) 2. 59 (6/26-8/23/1944) 3. 41 (7/8-8/17/1943 and 7/4-8/13/2011) 4. 40 (6/20-7/29/1966) EWR 1. 69 straight 80 (+) days (7/5 - 9/11) NYC 80 (+) Days 2015 April: 1 May: 18 Jun: 16 Jul: 29 Aug: 31 Sep: 16 Top 5 for Central Park: 1. 108, 1944 2. 106, 1991 3. 104, 1959 4. 100, 1949 and 2005 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Ridging continues in the east Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 That ridge retrogrades west a little bit, which could allow for something to sneak up the coast either in the middle of this week or after next weekend's cold shot. 18z GFS still holding strong on the cold shot around Day 7/8, which could bring frost to the interior elevated areas. Should be the first 40s for the coastal plain. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 That ridge retrogrades west a little bit, which could allow for something to sneak up the coast either in the middle of this week or after next weekend's cold shot. 18z GFS still holding strong on the cold shot around Day 7/8, which could bring frost to the interior elevated areas. Should be the first 40s for the coastal plain. I think the frost potential might be a tad overdone by the models, but that's just my opinion. Tomorrow night should have some 40s in the 'burbs, and I think next week will probably be lower to mid 40s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Bone dry 0z gfs for the entire 16 day run and above to well above normal at times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Bone dry 0z gfs for the entire 16 day run and above to well above normal at times. I doubt it. GFS has gone crazy with changes in the last several days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Cold front taking its grand time. Convection has died out as usual. Front approaching the city now. The DP is dropping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AvantHiatus Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Cold front taking its grand time. Convection has died out as usual. Front approaching the city now. The DP is dropping. Front is going to wash out. 06z GFS back to showing a nutty lifting event over the Atlantic. 8 days of gale force NE winds.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Monday and Tuesday should actually be closer to normal for this time of year before the temps go back above normal again in NYC. Even when the daily highs are closer to normal you can see the mins running warm. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 9/20/2015 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SUN 20| MON 21| TUE 22| WED 23| THU 24| FRI 25| SAT 26| SUN 27 CLIMO X/N 78| 57 72| 59 72| 58 78| 62 75| 61 73| 59 74| 60 72 56 72 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Monday and Tuesday should actually be closer to normal for this time of year before the temps go back above normal again in NYC. Even when the daily highs are closer to normal you can see the mins running warm. NEW YORK CITY-CENTRAL PARK KNYC GFSX MOS GUIDANCE 9/20/2015 0000 UTC FHR 24| 36 48| 60 72| 84 96|108 120|132 144|156 168|180 192 SUN 20| MON 21| TUE 22| WED 23| THU 24| FRI 25| SAT 26| SUN 27 CLIMO X/N 78| 57 72| 59 72| 58 78| 62 75| 61 73| 59 74| 60 72 56 72 No 80's for a while. Yay! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Average is already 74/59. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 65 and beautiful for an early morning CHD walk in Mahwah, NJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Cool morning over here. Beautiful =) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 I still think we will see another warm spell with at least three straight 80 degree days...If that happens it will make the following list... following is a list of years with at least three straight days 80 or better for late Sept. and on...2005 had three form the 21st-23rd but it was the end of a long warm spell that started earlier in the month...Year..consecutive 80+ Max.1881..9/23-9/28......6...911891..10/3-10/5......3...861895..9/20-9/23......4...971898..10/3-10/5......3...811905..9/28-9/30......3...881914..9/20-9/24......5...951920..9/23-9/26......4...881921..9/28-9/30......3...871922..9/30-10/3......4...881927..9/30-10/2......3...901930..9/20-9/26......7...871934..9/23-9/27......5...831941..9/21-9/23......3...911941..10/4-10/6......3...941946..9/25-9/27......3...831946..10/4-10/7......4...871948..9/27-9/29......3...841949..10/9-10/12....4...881950..10/1-10/3......3...861951..9/19-9/23......5...851954..10/1-10/4......4...861954..10/11-10/14..4...871959..9/21-9/24......4...901959..9/27-9/30......4...831959..10/4-10/6......3...881961..9/22-9/25......4...901965..9/21-9/23......3...881968..9/17-9/26....10...871968..10/1-10/3......3...851970..9/21-9/26......6...941972..9/25-9/27......3...861980..9/21-9/23......3...941984..9/23-9/25......3...862004..9/21-9/23......3...822007..9/25-9/27......3...872007..10/4-10/8......5...872010..9/22-9/25......4...891959 had three periods three days or more above 80.1968 had two but it also had the longest streak for late September with 10.I could have missed a few warm spells but there have not been many in recent years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Departures thru NYC: +7.3 EWR: +5.9 LGA: +6.1 JFK: +5.4 ISP: +5.6 TTN: +5.3 PHL: +5.6 ACY: +6.0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 That ridge retrogrades west a little bit, which could allow for something to sneak up the coast either in the middle of this week or after next weekend's cold shot. 18z GFS still holding strong on the cold shot around Day 7/8, which could bring frost to the interior elevated areas. Should be the first 40s for the coastal plain.Where do you consider the coastal plain to begin. Out here I doubt we see 40s at all. Pretty solid layer of insulation will keep it warmer. I was in the ocean yesterday and couldn't believe how warm it still was. I think it's a combination of consistently warm weather (especially the positive departures on low temps) and then no hurricane swells this year to upwell any cooler water. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted September 20, 2015 Share Posted September 20, 2015 Sun poking out in NNJ wirh some clearing should net us another great weekend Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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