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The Last Days Of Summer: September 2015 DISCUSSION/OBS


UnionWeatherWx

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We're probably gonna go from one extreme to the next once that Nino subtropical jet kicks in.

However right now it's nothing but hot air and burnt out vegetation.

Vegetation is getting totally crisped in Westchester. I imagine fall foliage will be muted with early leaf drop and a prolonged summer. We really need a couple of cool, rainy days for the flora and fauna of the region.
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We do warm back up after a few days in the 60's to lower 70's but this time of year the really warm streaks are usually short lived.

I still don't see the Euro having any negative departures let alone normal departures. It's wall to wall above normal.

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It's September. Summer is rapidly coming to a close. It may stay hot for a few more days but eventually Autumn always wins. We go through this every year. It's the same as people hoping for snow in April.

Would not be surprised at all to see 70's well into December as far north as Central Park. Our seasons have been bizarre lately, definitely since 2009 with the cold summer and anomalous warmth in 2011-2012.

 

We seem to either be really hot or really cold relative to average. Except for brief intervals in fall or spring helped along by ocean moderation.

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Would not be surprised at all to see 70's well into December as far north as Central Park. Our seasons have been bizarre lately, definitely since 2009 with the cold summer and anomalous warmth in 2011-2012.

 

We seem to either be really hot or really cold relative to average. Except for brief intervals in fall or spring helped along by ocean moderation.

That's a bit extreme. The NAO continues in negative territory and that will be becoming more and more important as we turn the page into Fall. With the super Nino we should see a progression towards a very active, stormy, wet next couple of months. Winter is still up in the air but a strong Nino typically means warmer than average and wet.

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Would not be surprised at all to see 70's well into December as far north as Central Park. Our seasons have been bizarre lately, definitely since 2009 with the cold summer and anomalous warmth in 2011-2012.

We seem to either be really hot or really cold relative to average. Except for brief intervals in fall or spring helped along by ocean moderation.

Take the hyperbole to the banter thread.

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Would not be surprised at all to see 70's well into December as far north as Central Park. Our seasons have been bizarre lately, definitely since 2009 with the cold summer and anomalous warmth in 2011-2012.

 

We seem to either be really hot or really cold relative to average. Except for brief intervals in fall or spring helped along by ocean moderation.

Since 1871, Central Park has seen 9 readings of 70° or above in December:

 

1946: 1

1982: 1

1984: 1

1998: 2

2001: 2

2006: 1

2013: 1

 

However, there seems to be little, if any, connection to September's data. They also occurred with varying ENSO considitions. We'll have to see how the pattern evolves when we get to December.

 

Having said that, such readings have become more frequent in NYC since 1980 (8/9 such readings occurred since then).

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