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The Last Days Of Summer: September 2015 DISCUSSION/OBS


UnionWeatherWx

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back in 1983 NYC had it's hottest temperature on 9/11...On Christmas day the max was 13...So what happens in September stays in September...

Wow 13 on the christmas. But the El Niño was waning. We need this -epo to continue or its going to be allot of heavy rain and 40s for us. My least favorite of all weather

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Wow 13 on the christmas. But the El Niño was waning. We need this -epo to continue or its going to be allot of heavy rain and 40s for us. My least favorite of all weather

1914 was a second year stronger nino and it was 95 degrees on 9/22/1914...Christmas was 3 degrees on 12/26...1980 the same with 95 on 9/1 and -1 Christmas day...1919 had the old record today of 93 and December had below zero temperatures...I think the trump card will be a possible -nao this year...

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62 consecutive 80's now apparently. 80 just before midnight standard time at the park.

104 total days. Tied for 3rd place. The record is only 4 more. That will be demolished as well.

There is a legitimate argument to make that it will be the hottest summer (and spring/fall) on record.

To me, the most hot days should win that title.

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NYC is 62 Straight  80 (+) days and 70 of 72

 

EWR 67 straight 80 (+) days and 71 of 72

 

1. 62 (7/10-9/9/2015) ***Ongoing***

2. 59 (6/26-8/23/1944)

3. 41 (7/8-8/17/1943 and 7/4-8/13/2011)

4. 40 (6/20-7/29/1966)

 

 

NYC 80 (+) Days 2015
 
April: 1
May: 18
Jun: 16
Jul: 29
Aug:  31 
Sep: 9
 
 

Top 5 for Central Park:

 

1. 108, 1944

2. 106, 1991

3. 104, 1959

4. 100, 1949 and 2005

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NYC has 53 days with a minimum 70 or higher...the record is 61 set in 1906...


61 in 1906


60 in 2005


54 in 1908


53 in 2015 (and counting)


52 in 1980


51 in 2013


47 in 2012


46 in 1876


46 in 1959


 


&70(+) min by month (2015)


 


May: 3


Jun: 6


Jul: 19  (6 69's)


Aug:  19 (3 69's) 


Sep: 6


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Another high launching pad today. A +14 minimum departure.

 

The only thing that we can say at this point is that September 2015 is off to a hotter start than our last

2 top 10 warmest finishes in 2010 and 2005.

 

9/1-9/10..2010.....+5.3....month....+3.6

9/1-9/10..2005.....+4.3....month....+5.8

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The only thing that we can say at this point is that September 2015 is off to a hotter start than our last

2 top 10 warmest finishes in 2010 and 2005.

 

9/1-9/10..2010.....+5.3....month....+3.6

9/1-9/10..2005.....+4.3....month....+5.8

 

Total Sep Departures;  EWR

2005:  +5.3

2010:  +3.4 

 

Dep Thru Sep 8

NYC:  +8.9

EWR: +7.2

LGA: +7.2

JFK: +6.1

TTN: +7.1

PHL:  +8.2

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Looking ahead, front followed by cut off low undercutting the huge ridge Sun-Mon.  By Tue UL is moving out and ridge rebuilds.  GFS remains warmer into middle / second half of Sep (9/16 - 9/24) ECM overall warm.  Both suggest lat surge of potential heat 9/16-9/18 timeframe for warmer spots.  

 

 

9/9: More 90s once we clear

9/10 - 9/11 : front, some much needed rain and potential end to consecutive 80s streak pending on clouds

9/12 : Another nice weekend day, more humid flow develops

913 - 914:  Southerly flow w/ UL, more much needed rain, 80s streak would likely end if it doesn't thu/fri.

9/15: Warmth returns

9/16 - beyond:  overall warmer than normal (ridge along EC).  Watch late season surge of heat in warmer spots, depending on how much rain THu / Sun-Mon .  Watch for tropical enhanced rainfall 9/20 - 9/21 with front any any system into GOM...

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