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The Last Days Of Summer: September 2015 DISCUSSION/OBS


UnionWeatherWx

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1914 was an el nino year with their hottest temperature of 95 coming on 9/22...1965 had upper 80's around the same time...many other none el nino years had heat around the first days of Fall...If this pattern continues it should come close to happening...1957 cooled off the last week of September with rear record cold...I don't see that happening at all this September...

All El Ninos aren't the same though. Too far out to know if the warmth lasts that long anyway, plus some extended range GFS runs bring back the trough.

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Last few labor days EWR

 

9/5/2005: 82/64 (0.00)

9/4/2006:  78/57 (0.00) 

9/3/2007: 86/59 (0.00)

9/1/2008: 86/61 (0.00)

9/7/2009: 75/63(0.00)

9/6/2010: 80/56 (0.00)

9/5/2011: 85/72 (0.02)

9/3/2012: 78/27 (0.03)

9/2/2013: 83/72 (0.14)

9/1/2014: 92/74 (0.00)

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RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
226 PM EDT MON SEP 7 2015

...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE TIED AT LAGUARDIA NY TODAY...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 90 DEGREES WAS SET AT LAGUARDIA NY
TODAY AT 12:54 PM. THIS TIES THE RECORD OF 90 DEGREES WHICH WAS
PREVIOUSLY SET IN 1945.


 
RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY
419 PM EDT MON SEP 7 2015

...CORRECTED FOR DATE...
...RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE SET AT NEWARK NJ...

A RECORD HIGH TEMPERATURE OF 94 DEGREES WAS SET AT NEWARK NJ
TODAY AT 2:52 PM. THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 93 SET IN 2010.

THIS RECORD REPORT WILL BE UPDATED LATER THIS EVENING IF A
HIGHER FINAL HIGH TEMPERATURE IS REACHED.
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Would be nice...getting very crispy out there...91 degrees here today.

 

The EPS bring in thunderstorm chances later this week  and beyond with a trough in the Great Lakes

and moist flow here. Hoping Long Island can get into some training potential with convection

passing over the impressive mid 70's SST's for early September.

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The EPS bring in thunderstorm chances later this week  and beyond with a trough in the Great Lakes

and moist flow here. Hoping Long Island can get into some training potential with convection

passing over the impressive mid 70's SST's for early September.

my biggest worry is having the ridge too strong which pushes the system too far west
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todays almanac

NYC's almanac for 9/7.
Highest max. Lowest max. Highest min. Lowest min. Max. Precipitation.
101 in 1881....63 in 1877....79 in 1881....46 in 1888....2.07" in 1998
..93 in 1919....63 in 1888....75 in 1884....49 in 1924....1.21" in 2011
..92 in 2015....65 in 1876....75 in 1983....51 in 1962....1.04" in 1974
..91 in 1995....66 in 1974....74 in 1969....51 in 1984
..91 in 1983....67 in 1885....74 in 1985....52 in 1963
..89 in 2010

..89 in 1969

.................................................................................................

tomorrow...

NYC's almanac for 9/8
Highest max. Lowest max. Highest min. Lowest min. Max. Precipitation since 1876
93 in 1919.....63 in 1918.....75 in 1919.....54 in 1877.....4.86" in 1934
93 in 1916.....65 in 1877.....74 in 1884.....54 in 1914.....3.77" in 2004
91 in 1936.....65 in 1917.....74 in 1985.....54 in 1951.....1.79" in 1894
91 in 1945.....65 in 1978.....73 in 1971.....54 in 1955.....1.67" in 1888
90 in 2010.....66 in 1880.....72 in 1894.....54 in 1956.....1.55" in 1981
89 in 1884.....66 in 1903.....71 in 1959.....54 in 1986

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