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September 2015 Discussion


Geos

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Closing in on 2" as the front gets ready to blast through here. I don't remember the last time that we had 4 separate pre-frontal line segments roll through.

 

It looks like another stellar week ahead:

 

Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 47. North wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Sunny, with a high near 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 48. Northeast wind around 5 mph.
Monday Sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.
Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 48.
Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 73.
Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 51.
Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 75.
Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54.
Thursday Sunny, with a high near 77.
Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

 

 

This forecast is almost identical to last weeks', except the highs are about 5-10° lower.

 

I have saved last weeks' and this weeks' forecasts to throw into the face of general public who pi$$ and moan about how crappy the weather is in the Midwest, especially in the winter.

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Closing in on 2" as the front gets ready to blast through here. I don't remember the last time that we had 4 separate pre-frontal line segments roll through.

It looks like another stellar week ahead:

Tonight Mostly clear, with a low around 47. North wind around 5 mph.

Sunday Sunny, with a high near 70. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Sunday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 48. Northeast wind around 5 mph.

Monday Sunny, with a high near 71. Northeast wind 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 48.

Tuesday Sunny, with a high near 73.

Tuesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 51.

Wednesday Sunny, with a high near 75.

Wednesday Night Mostly clear, with a low around 54.

Thursday Sunny, with a high near 77.

Thursday Night Partly cloudy, with a low around 56.

Friday Mostly sunny, with a high near 79.

This forecast is almost identical to last weeks', except the highs are about 5-10° lower.

I have saved last weeks' and this weeks' forecasts to throw into the face of general public who pi$$ and moan about how crappy the weather is in the Midwest, especially in the winter.

The abundance of sunshine at this exact time of year is absolutely PERFECT for a vibrant Fall color display next month!
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Been dumping out there the last half hour.  Still pouring.  Quickly approaching 3" for the day.  With the 0.36" yesterday/last evening we'll be near 3.5" or more before it's all said and done for the 2 days.

Bureau County IL got about 5.4" of rain in 2 days, as per CoCoRAHS.

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In the winter a pattern like that shifted slightly east isn't bad, would promote Colorado and Texas lows, that is an active storm track look.

 

 

Sure but it would probably be cutters galore... most of the subforum would probably be on the wrong side.  Not that it really matters.

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Sure but it would probably be cutters galore... most of the subforum would probably be on the wrong side. Not that it really matters.

I'd take my chances on a mean trough location there over us or along the east coast. As much as we would have cutters. The east coast would be completely whiffed.
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I just pulled this event up on the NARR. It looked like a high shear / low cape setup. SBCAPE was < 1000 j/kg, but the 925mb winds were in the 35-40 kt range. Does that sound right?

Yeah, low CAPE and pretty decent shear. It looked like a day that tornadoes couldn't be ruled out but there was no indication we'd get a super long tracker.

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