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Heavy Rain Threat


IsentropicLift

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GFS never had it. Most models busted badly with this rain event.

Heck, go back a few pages and there was talk of near 10 inches of rain,

meso's are always too high with convective events.  Globals like Euro, GFS GGEM had a general .75-1.50 for most locales and that was the way to go. 

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SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NJC005-029-112230-

/O.NEW.KPHI.SV.W.0111.150811T2122Z-150811T2230Z/

BULLETIN - IMMEDIATE BROADCAST REQUESTED

SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE MOUNT HOLLY NJ

522 PM EDT TUE AUG 11 2015

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MOUNT HOLLY NJ HAS ISSUED A

* SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR...

CENTRAL OCEAN COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

NORTHEASTERN BURLINGTON COUNTY IN SOUTHERN NEW JERSEY...

* UNTIL 630 PM EDT

* AT 521 PM EDT...DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM

CAPABLE OF PRODUCING DAMAGING WINDS TO 60 MPH. THIS STORM

WAS LOCATED NEAR PRESIDENTIAL LAKES ESTATES...OR 17 MILES WEST OF

TOMS RIVER...AND MOVING EAST AT 25 MPH.

* LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE...

TOMS RIVER...BARNEGAT...BEACHWOOD...PRESIDENTIAL LAKES ESTATES...

SEASIDE HEIGHTS...LAKEHURST...MANTOLOKING...PLEASANT PLAINS...

BROOKVILLE...CEDAR GLEN LAKES...CEDAR GLEN WEST...BROWNS MILLS...

HOLIDAY CITY SOUTH...OLD HALFWAY...DOVER BEACHES NORTH...

PRESIDENTIAL LAKES...WOODRUFF...WHITING...HOLIDAY CITY-BERKELEY AND

PINE RIDGE AT CRESTWOOD.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS PRODUCE DAMAGING WINDS...LARGE HAIL...DEADLY

LIGHTNING AND VERY HEAVY RAIN. FOR YOUR PROTECTION...MOVE TO AN

INTERIOR ROOM ON THE LOWEST FLOOR OF YOUR HOME OR BUSINESS. HEAVY

RAINS FLOOD ROADS QUICKLY SO DO NOT DRIVE INTO AREAS WHERE WATER

COVERS THE ROAD.

TORRENTIAL RAINFALL IS ALSO OCCURRING WITH THIS STORM...AND MAY LEAD

TO FLASH FLOODING. DO NOT DRIVE YOUR VEHICLE THROUGH FLOODED

ROADWAYS.

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