stormtrackertf Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 Owendale tornado in southwestern Huron was verified as a EF-1. Also APX's summary is pretty good http://www.weather.gov/apx/2015Aug2recap Very good summary. The largest hail reported was 4.25", or the size of a softball, seven miles north of West Branch at 4:55 pm. The large hail was reported by trained spotters and members of the public. There were several reports of damage to vehicles and other property. At the time of the event, a Severe Thunderstorm Warning was in effect for all of Ogemaw County, issued at 4:33 pm. Additional reports of 1.00" to 2.00" hail were received from law enforcement, emergency managers, trained spotters and the public across multiple locations in northern Michigan.The 4.25" hail observed seven miles north of West Branch was the largest documented hail stone ever to impact northern Michigan since records began in 1950 and the largest since 1998 when a 3.50" hail stone was recorded in Arenac County. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 a few shots from sunday, its hard to see in the last shot, but circled is one of several gust-nados over the water along the gustfront Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 no kidding. You guys have killed it too, heck of a job. Nobody's ever talking about how LOT dropped the ball or armchair quarterbacking you guys. You leave no room for it. And this ain't no football game, it's life or death. You should be proud. Sent from my iPhone +100. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rolltide_130 Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 Closeup of a rather large wedge in Ontario on Sunday. Lucky thing it was only an EF2. https://youtu.be/cKwHPM-AoUA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 Closeup of a rather large wedge in Ontario on Sunday. Lucky thing it was only an EF2. https://youtu.be/cKwHPM-AoUA A bit hard to tell, but I'm pretty sure that isn't all tornado in that video, looks like an extension of the wall cloud and then the tornado is underneath it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 I found this in my neighborhood from yesterday's storms. There was also a report of 2" hail about 2 miles to my southeast. I didn't see any other trees down in the area... so I dunno why this one fell and no others did. If it wasn't uprooted, I would've just assumed they just cut it down or something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Not in our subforum, but I thought it was an interesting shot from Cranston, RI. East Coasters always have to be different: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Not in our subforum, but I thought it was an interesting shot from Cranston, RI. East Coasters always have to be different: CranstonRI.jpg I wonder how old that tree was. It has to be very old because I'm sure it takes a while for a tree's roots to cover the whole yard. Can you imagine the sound it made when it was falling over? Holy crap Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Not in our subforum, but I thought it was an interesting shot from Cranston, RI. East Coasters always have to be different: CranstonRI.jpg Dang. You could hide a car in there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Closeup of a rather large wedge in Ontario on Sunday. Lucky thing it was only an EF2. https://youtu.be/cKwHPM-AoUA That is one scary looking tornado. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SchaumburgStormer Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 I wonder how old that tree was. It has to be very old because I'm sure it takes a while for a tree's roots to cover the whole yard. Can you imagine the sound it made when it was falling over? Holy crap Yeah, you have to think that it was very old, enough to completely carpet the yard with roots tough enough to rip out the sod. That, or they just had the yard sodded last year, lol. Regardless, cool photo as the grass looks like carpet rolled up; but likely a b*tch to clean up and not covered by insurance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RCNYILWX Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 no kidding. You guys have killed it too, heck of a job. Nobody's ever talking about how LOT dropped the ball or armchair quarterbacking you guys. You leave no room for it. And this ain't no football game, it's life or death. You should be proud. Sent from my iPhone Thanks for the thoughts. Always been proud to be a part of the NWS, but even more so in a season like this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Closeup of a rather large wedge in Ontario on Sunday. Lucky thing it was only an EF2. The tornado was only 200 metres or 650 feet wideSpun up quick on the ground for 7km. No tornado warning. It demolished two houses, but everyone is OK. Precariously close to Palmerston, but it only affected Teviotdale which is a crossroads hamlet of maybe 5 houses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
stormtrackertf Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 a few shots from sunday, its hard to see in the last shot, but circled is one of several gust-nados over the water along the gustfront Nice pics. Is that last one in Port Austin? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 A second tornado from August 2nd has been confirmed in Ontario. EF1 with a 2km path near Marsville southwest of Orangeville. Ontario us up to 4 tornadoes this year. We average 12. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
outflow Posted August 7, 2015 Share Posted August 7, 2015 Nice pics. Is that last one in Port Austin? caseville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tim from Springfield (IL) Posted August 7, 2015 Share Posted August 7, 2015 FWIW we might as well add this weekend to the thread--the latest SPC D2 does have a slight risk from roughly Galesburg, IL westward across the southern 2/3 of IA, far north MO, back to central NE--including a small hatched area in SW IA. Plus a marginal threat at present in the heart of this subforum for Sunday.http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.htmlhttp://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html SPC AC 071730 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1230 PM CDT FRI AUG 07 2015 VALID 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MO VALLEY... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLANS... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY FROM PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MISSOURI VALLEY AND MIDWEST. OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OTHER PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST STATES. ...SYNOPSIS... ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX...A PROGRESSIVE/MODERATELY STRONG CORRIDOR OF RELATIVELY LOW-AMPLITUDE WESTERLIES WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES ON SATURDAY. ...CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MO VALLEY TO MIDWEST... AN MCS IS LIKELY TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...AND THE REMNANTS THEREOF WILL MOST LIKELY BE LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN NEB/IA AROUND 12Z SATURDAY. MCV-AIDED SUBSEQUENT REDEVELOPMENT/REINTENSIFICATION MIGHT BE POSSIBLE BY EARLY AFTERNOON DOWNSTREAM ACROSS PARTS OF IA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL IL. HOWEVER...A MORE PROBABLE SCENARIO WILL BE FOR RENEWED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...PARTICULARLY ACROSS EASTERN NEB/WESTERN IA AND POSSIBLY NEARBY NORTHERN KS/NORTHWEST MO IN VICINITY OF OUTFLOW-AIDED SURFACE TRIPLE POINT. ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF EARLY-DAY CLOUD COVER/SCATTERED PRECIPITATION...A MOISTURE-RICH BOUNDARY LAYER BENEATH A PLUME OF MODERATELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW FOR MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION /2000-4500 J PER KG MLCAPE/ DURING THE AFTERNOON. WHERE STORMS DEVELOP/INCREASE...A BAND OF SEASONALLY STRONG MID/HIGH-LEVEL WESTERLIES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO RISK...POTENTIALLY ENHANCED BY AN EARLY-DAY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/RESULTANT EFFECTIVE FRONT ASIDE FROM RELATIVELY STRONG WINDS/SRH WITHIN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM AGL. A MIXED MODE OF SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS /PARTICULARLY GIVEN THAT OVERALL FORCING WILL TEND TO BE MODEST/ AND GRADUALLY DEVELOPING BOWING SEGMENTS MAY CONTINUE WELL THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO AND POSSIBLY INTO IL. SOMEWHAT HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES /ENHANCED RISK/ MAY BE WARRANTED IN THE DAY 1 TIME FRAME ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NEB/IA AND POSSIBLY NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO PENDING EARLY-SATURDAY DETAILS. [ . . . ]D3: DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 AM CDT FRI AUG 07 2015 VALID 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWESTERN U.S.... ...SUMMARY... A FEW STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS THE MIDWEST. ...SYNOPSIS... A PERSISTENT LONGER-WAVELENGTH/BACKGROUND UPPER FLOW PATTERN -- FEATURING A WRN TROUGH/CENTRAL RIDGE/ERN TROUGH -- IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE U.S. DAY 3...THOUGH SOME AMPLIFICATION OF THE FLOW FIELD IS EXPECTED WITH TIME. THIS AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR AS A LOW JUST OFF THE SWRN CANADA/NWRN U.S. COAST ADVANCES GRADUALLY SEWD...WHILE A TROUGH OVER ONTARIO BEGINS DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. AT THE SURFACE...EXPECT THE PATTERN TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK/NONDESCRIPT THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...THE MIDWEST... A CONTINUATION OF THE COMPLEX CONVECTIVE SCENARIO OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. IS EVIDENT THIS PERIOD...AS MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION PRIOR TO -- AND CONTINUING INTO -- THE START OF THE DAY 3 PERIOD ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE FASTER BELT OF FLOW AROUND THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THE S CENTRAL U.S. RIDGE ALOFT. WITH THAT SAID...ONE AREA WHERE SOME CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE RISK COULD EVOLVE APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS THE MIDWEST. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT AN ONGOING AREA OF CONVECTION WILL EXIST ACROSS THE IL VICINITY EARLY...WITH STORMS ADVANCING EWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY STATES THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE DOWNSTREAM CLOUD DEBRIS WILL LIKELY HINDER DESTABILIZATION TO SOME DEGREE...CONTINUED BELT OF ENHANCED /30 TO 40 KT/ WNWLY ANTICYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW ATOP THIS REGION MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED HAIL/WIND RISK INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ..GOSS.. 08/07/2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted August 7, 2015 Share Posted August 7, 2015 FWIW we might as well add this weekend to the thread--the latest SPC D2 does have a slight risk from roughly Galesburg, IL westward across the southern 2/3 of IA, far north MO, back to central NE--including a small hatched area in SW IA. Plus a marginal threat at present in the heart of this subforum for Sunday. http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day2otlk.html http://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/outlook/day3otlk.html SPC AC 071730 DAY 2 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 1230 PM CDT FRI AUG 07 2015 VALID 081200Z - 091200Z ...THERE IS A SLGT RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MO VALLEY... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS FROM THE CENTRAL HIGH PLAINS TO THE MIDWEST... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE NORTH-CENTRAL HIGH PLANS... ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS THE SOUTHEAST STATES... ...SUMMARY... SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS ARE EXPECTED SATURDAY FROM PARTS OF THE CENTRAL PLAINS TO THE MISSOURI VALLEY AND MIDWEST. OTHER STRONG TO SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS OTHER PORTIONS OF THE HIGH PLAINS AND SOUTHEAST STATES. ...SYNOPSIS... ON THE NORTHERN PERIPHERY OF AN UPPER-LEVEL RIDGE CENTERED OVER THE SOUTHERN PLAINS/ARKLATEX...A PROGRESSIVE/MODERATELY STRONG CORRIDOR OF RELATIVELY LOW-AMPLITUDE WESTERLIES WILL EXTEND FROM THE GREAT BASIN/ROCKIES TO THE UPPER MIDWEST AND MID-ATLANTIC/NORTHEAST STATES ON SATURDAY. ...CENTRAL PLAINS/MIDDLE MO VALLEY TO MIDWEST... AN MCS IS LIKELY TO MOVE EASTWARD ACROSS PARTS OF THE REGION THROUGH LATE TONIGHT...AND THE REMNANTS THEREOF WILL MOST LIKELY BE LOCATED ACROSS EASTERN NEB/IA AROUND 12Z SATURDAY. MCV-AIDED SUBSEQUENT REDEVELOPMENT/REINTENSIFICATION MIGHT BE POSSIBLE BY EARLY AFTERNOON DOWNSTREAM ACROSS PARTS OF IA INTO NORTH-CENTRAL IL. HOWEVER...A MORE PROBABLE SCENARIO WILL BE FOR RENEWED CONVECTIVE DEVELOPMENT TO OCCUR SATURDAY LATE AFTERNOON/EARLY EVENING...PARTICULARLY ACROSS EASTERN NEB/WESTERN IA AND POSSIBLY NEARBY NORTHERN KS/NORTHWEST MO IN VICINITY OF OUTFLOW-AIDED SURFACE TRIPLE POINT. ON THE SOUTHERN EDGE OF EARLY-DAY CLOUD COVER/SCATTERED PRECIPITATION...A MOISTURE-RICH BOUNDARY LAYER BENEATH A PLUME OF MODERATELY STEEP MID-LEVEL LAPSE RATES WILL ALLOW FOR MODERATE TO STRONG DESTABILIZATION /2000-4500 J PER KG MLCAPE/ DURING THE AFTERNOON. WHERE STORMS DEVELOP/INCREASE...A BAND OF SEASONALLY STRONG MID/HIGH-LEVEL WESTERLIES WILL BE SUPPORTIVE OF SUPERCELLS CAPABLE OF LARGE HAIL AND A TORNADO RISK...POTENTIALLY ENHANCED BY AN EARLY-DAY OUTFLOW BOUNDARY/RESULTANT EFFECTIVE FRONT ASIDE FROM RELATIVELY STRONG WINDS/SRH WITHIN THE LOWEST 2-3 KM AGL. A MIXED MODE OF SEMI-DISCRETE SUPERCELLS /PARTICULARLY GIVEN THAT OVERALL FORCING WILL TEND TO BE MODEST/ AND GRADUALLY DEVELOPING BOWING SEGMENTS MAY CONTINUE WELL THROUGH THE EVENING HOURS EAST-SOUTHEASTWARD ACROSS SOUTHERN IA/NORTHERN MO AND POSSIBLY INTO IL. SOMEWHAT HIGHER SEVERE PROBABILITIES /ENHANCED RISK/ MAY BE WARRANTED IN THE DAY 1 TIME FRAME ACROSS PARTS OF EASTERN NEB/IA AND POSSIBLY NORTHEAST KS/NORTHWEST MO PENDING EARLY-SATURDAY DETAILS. [ . . . ] D3: DAY 3 CONVECTIVE OUTLOOK NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK 0230 AM CDT FRI AUG 07 2015 VALID 091200Z - 101200Z ...THERE IS A MRGL RISK OF SVR TSTMS ACROSS PORTIONS OF THE MIDWESTERN U.S.... ...SUMMARY... A FEW STRONG/LOCALLY SEVERE STORMS WILL BE POSSIBLE SUNDAY ACROSS THE MIDWEST. ...SYNOPSIS... A PERSISTENT LONGER-WAVELENGTH/BACKGROUND UPPER FLOW PATTERN -- FEATURING A WRN TROUGH/CENTRAL RIDGE/ERN TROUGH -- IS EXPECTED TO PERSIST ACROSS THE U.S. DAY 3...THOUGH SOME AMPLIFICATION OF THE FLOW FIELD IS EXPECTED WITH TIME. THIS AMPLIFICATION WILL OCCUR AS A LOW JUST OFF THE SWRN CANADA/NWRN U.S. COAST ADVANCES GRADUALLY SEWD...WHILE A TROUGH OVER ONTARIO BEGINS DIGGING SEWD ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES. AT THE SURFACE...EXPECT THE PATTERN TO REMAIN RELATIVELY WEAK/NONDESCRIPT THROUGH THE PERIOD. ...THE MIDWEST... A CONTINUATION OF THE COMPLEX CONVECTIVE SCENARIO OVER THE CENTRAL U.S. IS EVIDENT THIS PERIOD...AS MULTIPLE ROUNDS OF CONVECTION PRIOR TO -- AND CONTINUING INTO -- THE START OF THE DAY 3 PERIOD ARE EXPECTED WITHIN THE FASTER BELT OF FLOW AROUND THE NRN PERIPHERY OF THE S CENTRAL U.S. RIDGE ALOFT. WITH THAT SAID...ONE AREA WHERE SOME CONCENTRATION OF SEVERE RISK COULD EVOLVE APPEARS TO EXIST ACROSS THE MIDWEST. ATTM...IT APPEARS THAT AN ONGOING AREA OF CONVECTION WILL EXIST ACROSS THE IL VICINITY EARLY...WITH STORMS ADVANCING EWD ACROSS THE MIDWEST/OH VALLEY STATES THROUGH THE DAY. WHILE DOWNSTREAM CLOUD DEBRIS WILL LIKELY HINDER DESTABILIZATION TO SOME DEGREE...CONTINUED BELT OF ENHANCED /30 TO 40 KT/ WNWLY ANTICYCLONIC MID-LEVEL FLOW ATOP THIS REGION MAY SUPPORT A FEW STRONGER STORMS -- AND ASSOCIATED HAIL/WIND RISK INTO THE EVENING HOURS. ..GOSS.. 08/07/2015 Or use the short term severe thread... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted August 7, 2015 Share Posted August 7, 2015 Third tornado confirmed from August 2 2015 in Southwest Ontario. EF2 near Lebanon, Wellington County with a 5km track. Other tornadoes include EF2 in Teviotdale also in Wellington Countt and EF1 near Marsville, Dufferin County. This is actually the highest number of E/F2 tornadoes on a single day in Ontario since August 20 2009 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ClicheVortex2014 Posted August 8, 2015 Share Posted August 8, 2015 12km NAM's picking up on some supercells for Illinois on Sunday with 4000-4800 CAPE and 40 knots shear. NAM's gonna NAM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CanadianGuy Posted August 9, 2015 Share Posted August 9, 2015 August 2nd, 2015.. We got at least three confirmed tornadoes in southern Ontario, including two EF2s. I had an epic shelf cloud move over my neighborhood around 9pm. Heavy rain and frequent lightning for several hours. Overall impressive event. 9/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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