yotaman Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Another dry but warm and humid day here once again. Currently at 78/70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Temps are on the cool side but the dewpoints more than make up for it ! I'm ready for dewpoints below 60. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Chilly 75 outside and next round of rain incoming! The big wet is actually happening! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 That 2nd batch coming from GA is holding its on. Most of upstate SC may actually get .75-1 inch tonight with more in some spots. Now lets just hope I didn't jinx us. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 That 2nd batch coming from GA is holding its on. Most of upstate SC may actually get .75-1 inch tonight with more in some spots. Now lets just hope I didn't jinx us.Yeah, radar now near Anderson, looks like an "eye", pretty cool little feature! Atleast at night, you don't have to worry about the sun coming out and evaporating the rain we do get, as soon as it stops! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Now it looks like the 2nd batch is weakening. May not be much rain for the Spartanburg to Charlotte and Hickory area after all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Looks like NE GA is going to be the winners this evening. Radar shows everything weakening as it makes it's way to the eastern upstate. 0.04" so far. Why do I get the feeling another "Big Wet" is going to be another Big Dud for mby? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BIG FROSTY Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Rain is drying up before it gets here, thought I was going to get a good shower tonight but only got 0.07 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Almost looks like a bit of a mid level rotation forming over western foothills near Hickory, rain looks light but its pretty widespread....Boone to Charlotte over to Asheville and everywhere in between..... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 The areas that need the rain the most have stayed mostly dry so far. Do not see that changing this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 a big fat "T" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 0.00" 26 days, .41" total. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Waiting for the deluge. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 According to the WPC, the upstate should be near the maxima today for rainfall. 0.12" total so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Waiting for the deluge. I'm waiting for this!!! THIS HAZARDOUS WEATHER OUTLOOK IS FOR CENTRAL NORTH CAROLINA..DAY ONE...TODAY AND TONIGHT.ISOLATED HEAVY DOWNPOURS ARE POSSIBLE THIS AFTERNOON AND EVENINGAND MAY RESULT IN LOCALIZED POOR DRAINAGE FLOODING. BE SURE TOSTAY ALERT FOR EXCESSIVE PONDING OF WATER ON AREA ROADS...ANDNEVER DRIVE THROUGH AREAS WHERE WATER COVERS THE ROADWAY. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Ughhh, I just took a look at the 6z NAM and it is pretty much dry in the lee. Since when is the NAM the dry model? Hopefully 12z will reverse course. HRRR doesn't look too good for the upstate either. In fact, it has mby as basically the only area in the upstate that doesn't get any rain at all. GSP has us getting 0.50-1.00" today and tonight which is slightly less than what the WPC is saying. I'm not too confident of seeing anything significant to be honest with how previous wet patterns have gone this summer. I get more rain from blind luck isolated storms. I call them BLIS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Ughhh, I just took a look at the 6z NAM and it is pretty much dry in the lee. Since when is the NAM the dry model? Hopefully 12z will reverse course. HRRR doesn't look too good for the upstate either. In fact, it has mby as basically the only area in the upstate that doesn't get any rain at all. GSP has us getting 0.50-1.00" today and tonight which is slightly less than what the WPC is saying. I'm not too confident of seeing anything significant to be honest with how previous wet patterns have gone this summer. I get more rain from blind luck isolated storms. I call them BLIS. I'd bet anything that the 6z nam is right. We are going to have to hope something from the tropics can get in here. The WPC map has no chance of verifying for today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 I'm waiting for this!!! Isolated is the key word. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 I'd bet anything that the 6z nam is right. We are going to have to hope something from the tropics can get in here. The WPC map has no chance of verifying for today. 12z is a little better for the upstate, but still just mostly around 0.25". That blob in Alabama looks like it's going well north of this area. I think we are going to have a hard time getting anything going with the cloudy skies. Cape is crap and so is lift right now. The only thing we have going for us are high PWATS, but if there is nothing to trigger the rain then what's the point? GSP says cape is expected to be around 1500 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
No snow for you Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Just had a nice rain in Downtown Greenville Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 It looks as if what may become a big area of showers and thunderstorms is starting up in Ga and Al. Hopefully these develop farther and head this way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 RAH ~ AS OF 1010 AM TUESDAY... TOUGH TO PIN DOWN THE EXACT WHERE/WHAT/WHEN OF PRECIP TODAY... AS EVERYTHING IS BEING DRIVEN BY SUBTLE FEATURES (SOME DETECTED BY THE MODELS AND OTHERS NOT SO MUCH) WITHIN A DEEPLY MOIST AIR MASS WITH PW VALUES AOA 2.0 IN. THE BATCH OF LIGHT RAIN OVER THE NRN PIEDMONT THIS MORNING AND THE WEAK MOIST UPGLIDE THAT FORCED IT IS NOW SHIFTING NORTHWARD OUT OF THE CWA... LEADING TO A RELATIVE LULL IN COVERAGE OVER CENTRAL NC. BUT THE ISOLATED THIN SPOTS IN THE CLOUDS COMBINED WITH THE PASSAGE OF WEAK PERTURBATIONS (INCLUDING A COUPLE OF VORTICITY CENTERS OVER OUR FAR NW AND FAR SE CWA) AND THE MCV NOW OVER NRN AL SHOULD CONTINUE TO FUEL SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW POPS RAMPING BACK UP TO 50-70% POPS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK PRETTY GOOD AS IS... UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S NORTH AND WEST... AND MID 80S SOUTH AND EAST. -GIH THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE SW FLOW TRAVERSE THE AREA. LOWS WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF 70. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NRVwxfan. Posted August 18, 2015 Author Share Posted August 18, 2015 Just can't seem to get much of any rain regardless of where the flow comes from. Radar isn't very impressive at all from 77 west to Georgia. I will be so glad when this El Nino finally kicks in. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 RAH ~ AS OF 1010 AM TUESDAY...TOUGH TO PIN DOWN THE EXACT WHERE/WHAT/WHEN OF PRECIP TODAY... AS EVERYTHING IS BEING DRIVEN BY SUBTLE FEATURES (SOME DETECTED BY THE MODELS AND OTHERS NOT SO MUCH) WITHIN A DEEPLY MOIST AIR MASS WITH PW VALUES AOA 2.0 IN. THE BATCH OF LIGHT RAIN OVER THE NRN PIEDMONT THIS MORNING AND THE WEAK MOIST UPGLIDE THAT FORCED IT IS NOW SHIFTING NORTHWARD OUT OF THE CWA... LEADING TO A RELATIVE LULL IN COVERAGE OVER CENTRAL NC. BUT THE ISOLATED THIN SPOTS IN THE CLOUDS COMBINED WITH THE PASSAGE OF WEAK PERTURBATIONS (INCLUDING A COUPLE OF VORTICITY CENTERS OVER OUR FAR NW AND FAR SE CWA) AND THE MCV NOW OVER NRN AL SHOULD CONTINUE TO FUEL SCATTERED TO NUMEROUS SHOWERS AND STORMS THIS AFTERNOON. WILL CONTINUE TO SHOW POPS RAMPING BACK UP TO 50-70% POPS THROUGH THIS AFTERNOON. TEMPS LOOK PRETTY GOOD AS IS... UPPER 70S TO LOWER 80S NORTH AND WEST... AND MID 80S SOUTH AND EAST. -GIH THE CHANCE FOR SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLD TSTMS WILL CONTINUE TONIGHT AS SEVERAL WEAK DISTURBANCES EMBEDDED IN THE SW FLOW TRAVERSE THE AREA. LOWS WITHIN A COUPLE DEGREES OF 70. Looks like 50% to 70% is going to be too ambitious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Cloudy , light rain off and on most of the day! Very tropical feel outside and look to the sky ! Heavy rain about to move in and more developing behind it, got to be close to an inch since last night, will check later! Well needed heat break and rain ! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Still sitting at 0.12". A couple 5 second showers moved through and that's been all today. Some more substantial showers are on the way it looks like. The heavier echos that were closest to me have jumped north however so I may miss those by a mile or 2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Looked good on approach on radar - then the yellows and oranges disappeared .08" so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Looked good on approach on radar - then the yellows and oranges disappeared .08" so far. Yep, once again the yellow, oranges, and reds are dissapearing as they approach mby. Everything decent is going N of 85 in Spartanburg. I'll be lucky to get a quarter inch total. The gap in the rain is lining up perfectly for mby. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jshetley Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 So much for a good soaking rain in the drought areas. It just is not to be. We really need that tropical system to get here to end this dry weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sparklecity Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 I'm gonna go ahead and call this one. Radar looks pitiful. Time of death 4:34. #bigwetfail Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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