rosie Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 I prefer Blairsville! We miss out on CAD events quite often. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCummingWx93 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 I prefer Blairsville! Actually, regarding CAD, Blairsville often times warms above freezing during CAD winter storms. Further SE towards Gainesville stays dammed and colder in the airmass. And winter storms by way of CAD is basically all North GA gets in winter, better than nothing though! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 I say Blairsville, but really about 15 miles south near Vogel and over to Suches - it's beautiful up there and I've hiked in plenty of snow many times (especially near Suches and off the Richard Russel) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 Plenty of hills; just no snow (even though we are really not sandwiched between two bodies of water; we can get and stay plenty cold and the little frozen precip we do occasionally get comes from the northwest and there isn't much water in that direction!). whatever you do, don't ever, I repeat ever move to anywhere within 20 miles of I-20. It is an winter weather lovers nightmare. I mean look at last year. What a disaster. Lots of cold and not a flurry to show for it. Ok maybe like 5 flurries. Its hell on earth if you like snow. At least in FL you know without a doubt you won't get any snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 whatever you do, don't ever, I repeat ever move to anywhere within 20 miles of WAYCROSS ! It is an winter weather lovers nightmare. I mean look at last year. What a disaster. Lots of cold and not a flurry to show for it. Ok maybe like 5 flurries. Its hell on earth if you like snow. At least in FL you know without a doubt you won't get any snowFYP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCummingWx93 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 whatever you do, don't ever, I repeat ever move to anywhere within 20 miles of I-20. It is an winter weather lovers nightmare. I mean look at last year. What a disaster. Lots of cold and not a flurry to show for it. Ok maybe like 5 flurries. Its hell on earth if you like snow. At least in FL you know without a doubt you won't get any snow Luckily I am just north of your designated border Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 whatever you do, don't ever, I repeat ever move to anywhere within 20 miles of I-20. It is an winter weather lovers nightmare. I mean look at last year. What a disaster. Lots of cold and not a flurry to show for it. Ok maybe like 5 flurries. Its hell on earth if you like snow. At least in FL you know without a doubt you won't get any snow At the same time though I don't think ATL has ever gone 3 consecutive winters without measurable snow or ice, so even if it's 0.1 or 0.2 you're usually gonna get something. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 At the same time though I don't think ATL has ever gone 3 consecutive winters without measurable snow or ice, so even if it's 0.1 or 0.2 you're usually gonna get something. yeah usually we do get something although 3 out of the last 4 winters there has been nothing. It really shouldn't be that hard to at least get 0.1", particularly in winters like last winter when cities like Dallas got pounded with snow time and time again. 1,000' + in elevation sometimes doesn't mean a thing in the deep south. Might as well live at sea level on the gulf coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 If we can get everything to come together, this should be a epic winter. I think the NAO will become a hindrance though.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brick Tamland Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 If we can get everything to come together, this should be a epic winter. I think the NAO will become a hindrance though.. i think the +PNA is more important than a -NAO, at least for my area. I recall seeing research that said we had good winters here with a +PNA during an El Nino, even without the -NAO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 If we can get everything to come together, this should be a epic winter. I think the NAO will become a hindrance though.. ... How do you have 2764 posts, be from Charlotte, NC, and I don't recognize the screen name? Are you a current member who has just changed their screen name? Or have I somehow had you on ignore all these years and didn't realize it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 i think the +PNA is more important than a -NAO, at least for my area. I recall seeing research that said we had good winters here with a +PNA during an El Nino, even without the -NAO. No...not even close, -NAO drive majority of all our great winters. Sure, the PNA by itself can get us something but the -NAO is way more important. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherfide Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 How do you have 2764 posts, be from Charlotte, NC, and I don't recognize the screen name? Are you a current member who has just changed their screen name? Or have I somehow had you on ignore all these years and didn't realize it? Poster was mp184qcr before changing to (Saturday Night)_Lover. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 First week of Dec looks great....pre-emergent time. I love low heights over AK, they usually have staying power. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SN_Lover Posted November 20, 2015 Share Posted November 20, 2015 How do you have 2764 posts, be from Charlotte, NC, and I don't recognize the screen name? Are you a current member who has just changed their screen name? Or have I somehow had you on ignore all these years and didn't realize it? Used to be mp184qcr. Did some updates. Productive day today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 18z P-GEFS drops the PV into Hudson Bay day 10+...would make things interesting with active STJ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Wow. An omega block!!?? Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted November 21, 2015 Author Share Posted November 21, 2015 Cohen's model forecast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 We miss out on CAD events quite often. Lol, yeah, but Rosie, when you get snow it snows Not just the piddly stuff HOpe it piles on thick for you this year! Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Luckily I am just north of your designated border yeah usually we do get something although 3 out of the last 4 winters there has been nothing. It really shouldn't be that hard to at least get 0.1", particularly in winters like last winter when cities like Dallas got pounded with snow time and time again. 1,000' + in elevation sometimes doesn't mean a thing in the deep south. Might as well live at sea level on the gulf coast. Can't forget all the times there's a warm layer, and you get zrain eating up your one and maybe two chances at snow any given year, lol. And all the 32.6 rain because we are too close to the storm. Oh, it's snowing like crazy out top floor windows in Atl office buildings......that's another good chance eaten up by something else, lol. The last two years I got zr when I was hoping for sleet..but at least I got something frozen...I just prefer my frozen on the ground, and not breaking off tree tops T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rosie Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Lol, yeah, but Rosie, when you get snow it snows Not just the piddly stuff HOpe it piles on thick for you this year! TonyYes, when it snows it is usually good.Hope you are buried in sleet! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 FWIW, GFS has been hinting awhile now at the possibility of some overrunning wintry precip behind an arctic front November 29-30th timeframe. Yes it's a long ways out but GFS has been showing this possibility in some form or another for quite a few days now. Usually those Arctic fronts don't work out and euro shows a completely different solution, but who knows? Will be a good test to see if euro is still king. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 FWIW, GFS has been hinting awhile now at the possibility of some overrunning wintry precip behind an arctic front November 29-30th timeframe. Yes it's a long ways out but GFS has been showing this possibility in some form or another for quite a few days now. Usually those Arctic fronts don't work out and euro shows a completely different solution, but who knows? Will be a good test to see if euro is still king.Who knows really!? But from reading the Lakes forum about this current event, the Euro got the track right. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowlover91 Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Who knows really!? But from reading the Lakes forum about this current event, the Euro got the track right. CMC and GFS show Arctic front with overrunning the 29-30th timeframe. Not sure about the euro precip map since I don't have access to it, however it shows the Arctic front much weaker and more oriented WSW to ENE vs the more traditional SW to NE orientation by the other two models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jon Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 CMC and GFS show Arctic front with overrunning the 29-30th timeframe. Not sure about the euro precip map since I don't have access to it, however it shows the Arctic front much weaker and more oriented WSW to ENE vs the more traditional SW to NE orientation by the other two models. No model can be trusted during this time frame, looking at 00z on the 29th, the 12z GFS juts flipped on the cold source from 1047mb high over central US to 1028 over texas. 00z euro had a 1041mb high over central US at this time period as well however precip broke up before it got to much of the SE and the cold is too slow to begin with. We need a huge high to move in quickly behind a stout line of precip for this to even be a thought. Probably going to just be cold rain. We'll see if the 12z Euro says different....otherwise, cold chasing moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 FWIW, GFS has been hinting awhile now at the possibility of some overrunning wintry precip behind an arctic front November 29-30th timeframe. Yes it's a long ways out but GFS has been showing this possibility in some form or another for quite a few days now. Usually those Arctic fronts don't work out and euro shows a completely different solution, but who knows? Will be a good test to see if euro is still king. It had a nice uppper low dragging thru behind the rain giving N Ala some goodies some days back, on the 1st, then later it's gone. Last night it was back west for a frame then gone. That's actually believable, if that upper low comes back down here, and not in Canada.....then it depends on where it goes. But N Ala over to Rose looked good on the way, way out machine, for a moment, lol. T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Well let's see - L/R - huh? @ 11:00 AM NWS had me in the mid-30's tomorrow night, with a high of 65 tomorrow and falling all day; now @ 5:45 PM they say low in the mid-40s and and high closer to 70 and steady tomorrow .... No consistency on a 12 hour local and we look at GFS for December guidance? and forget the rain we were progged to have all day ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
J.C. Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 Well let's see - L/R - huh? @ 11:00 AM NWS had me in the mid-30's tomorrow night, with a high of 65 tomorrow and falling all day; now @ 5:45 PM they say low in the mid-40s and and high closer to 70 and steady tomorrow .... No consistency on a 12 hour local and we look at GFS for December guidance? and forget the rain we were progged to have all day ... 18z has the cold held back behind the mountains, anywhere east or south of the mountains is likely to have warmer highs tomorrow than forecasted a day or two ago. Same story, different day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pcbjr Posted November 21, 2015 Share Posted November 21, 2015 18z has the cold held back behind the mountains, anywhere east or south of the mountains is likely to have warmer highs tomorrow than forecasted a day or two ago. Same story, different day. Absolutely - so back to football where at least there is no model to hug ... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted November 22, 2015 Share Posted November 22, 2015 This was end of Dec instead of end of Nov it might be a pattern that could spit something out for us, even so mtns could be interesting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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