NCummingWx93 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 this! That would do me in for the rest of my life. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 NWS Twin Cities @NWSTwinCities 8m8 minutes ago Coming this winter, probabilistic snow information to better convey our forecast confidence/uncertainty #mnwx #wiwx Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Obviously, different areas will always have different amounts. I don't think I've had over 6 inches in a storm since quite possibly as far back as the Blizzard of 93, while areas around me likely have had closer to 8, maybe even 10 since then. In January 2011 there was so much drifting that it was hard to get an accurate amount but if I've had more than 6 in a storm it was that storm. yeah but I would think many locations would have had a six inch storm in more recent years then that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Obviously, different areas will always have different amounts. I don't think I've had over 6 inches in a storm since quite possibly as far back as the Blizzard of 93, while areas around me likely have had closer to 8, maybe even 10 since then. In January 2011 there was so much drifting that it was hard to get an accurate amount but if I've had more than 6 in a storm it was that storm. yeah but I would think many locations would have had a six inch storm in more recent years then that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Would you rather get one big storm with at least a foot of snow, or 3 to 4 storms with 3 to 4 inches of snow each?One moderate snowstorm then 3-4" of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 One moderate snowstorm then 3-4" of rain Plain rain? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Eastatlwx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Would you guys rather 30 inch snow storm with 70mph gust with no snow for 5 years following the storm or 125% snow for five years? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Plain rain?if it were up to my gf we would be snowed in all winter. She wants 5" a few times a week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 if it were up to my gf we would be snowed in all winter. She wants 5" a few times a week. A foot would be better! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 A foot would be better!That's what bricks wife said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 if it were up to my gf we would be snowed in all winter. She wants 5" a few times a week.You'd have to do it twice a day! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 A foot would be better!I guarantee nobody outside the mountains, will see a double digit snowfall from a single storm, the whole winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I guarantee nobody outside the mountains, will see a double digit snowfall from a single storm, the whole winter! I concur... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I guarantee nobody outside the mountains, will see a double digit snowfall from a single storm, the whole winter! I'll take that bet all day long. That's easy money right there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 I'll take that bet all day long. That's easy money right there.indeed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
max100 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 definitely a foot of snow because I haven't had more than 4 inches of snow in a single storm since 1993. You must live in a snow hole. Even the no snow ATL airport has had more than that... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 You must live in a snow hole. Even the no snow ATL airport has had more than that... the airports biggest snowstorm since 1993 was 4.2" in March 2009 and they haven't had more than 5" since 1983. They had more from the march 2009 storm than in March 1993. Other cities like Dallas, Birmingham, Charlotte have had much bigger snow events than Atlanta has over the last 30 years. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 this!We could do it. I mean I'm looking at maybe 50+ this year. Go big or go home. We hopefully will clean up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BullCityWx Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 if it were up to my gf we would be snowed in all winter. She wants 5" a few times a week. Consistency is the key there. Just keep at it, slugger. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Y'all check out Roberts Facebook post from yesterday! It's an interesting read, to say the least! It's his preliminary winter outlook thoughts, and if you love snow and cold, this may be your winter! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Y'all check out Roberts Facebook post from yesterday! It's an interesting read, to say the least! It's his preliminary winter outlook thoughts, and if you love snow and cold, this may be your winter! Strong+ ENSO's are great for our area, of the 11 since 1950 only 2 were clunkers, 98 and 92. You toss 92 due to Pinatubo and you have 9/10 of strong+ ENSO's that were cold/snowy, 5 of the 9 snowy ones were above 11" for RDU, the other 4 averaged around 7-8". That's fairly strong correlation but it's not 100% like anything. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCummingWx93 Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Y'all check out Roberts Facebook post from yesterday! It's an interesting read, to say the least! It's his preliminary winter outlook thoughts, and if you love snow and cold, this may be your winter! Could you post a link? I'm very curious. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Could you post a link? I'm very curious. https://www.facebook.com/notes/1149049311791789/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Strong+ ENSO's are great for our area, of the 11 since 1950 only 2 were clunkers, 98 and 92. You toss 92 due to Pinatubo and you have 9/10 of strong+ ENSO's that were cold/snowy, 5 of the 9 snowy ones were above 11" for RDU, the other 4 averaged around 7-8". That's fairly strong correlation but it's not 100% like anything. Don't know if Larry has broken down those years but I would be interested to see which ones had a +PDO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 https://www.facebook.com/notes/1149049311791789/ looks like a good winter shaping up for TN and NC. Maybe GA will luck out and squeeze out a few flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 Strong+ ENSO's are great for our area, of the 11 since 1950 only 2 were clunkers, 98 and 92. You toss 92 due to Pinatubo and you have 9/10 of strong+ ENSO's that were cold/snowy, 5 of the 9 snowy ones were above 11" for RDU, the other 4 averaged around 7-8". That's fairly strong correlation but it's not 100% like anything.He said throw out 97/98 because nothing is close to the same 500mb pattern and set up with this upcoming winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 He said throw out 97/98 because nothing is close to the same 500mb pattern and set up with this upcoming winter The key to his forecast has to be the +PDO and the fact that we could see a bit of help from the Atlantic which wasn't there last winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 13, 2015 Share Posted October 13, 2015 He said throw out 97/98 because nothing is close to the same 500mb pattern and set up with this upcoming winter Your going to cause a mass panic among a lot people on the board with that statement, LOL. The warm biased people have tunnel vision for a 98 redux. Edit: I personally wouldn't toss 98, no reason it couldn't happen again. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaStorm Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 Your going to cause a mass panic among a lot people on the board with that statement, LOL. The warm biased people have tunnel vision for a 98 redux. Edit: I personally wouldn't toss 98, no reason it couldn't happen again. What is the main argument for keeping '98 as an analog besides the strength of the nino? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 14, 2015 Share Posted October 14, 2015 I would be thrilled with a repeat of 97-98. Exciting winter with a lot of rain and I actually had snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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