mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 The severe weather sounds exciting, but really hope this isn't going to be like last winter and we have a lot of rain, and then cold and dry. It finally got good in February. I just thought this winter was going to be better with more snow chances in December and January, too.Alot of severe storms should bring alot of snow! 10 days after it thunders in winter, we get a wintry event! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Alot of severe storms should bring alot of snow! 10 days after it thunders in winter, we get a wintry event! and sometimes you get a wintry event while its thundering Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 and sometimes you get a wintry event while its thunderingThose are rare , but awesome! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 7, 2015 Author Share Posted October 7, 2015 Severe Weather to Grip Southeast, Gulf Coast States As one of the strongest El Niños in the last 50 to 60 years continues to develop, it's likely that heavy rainfall and severe weather will take aim at the Southeast and Gulf Coast. El Niño patterns often result in severe weather outbreaks for this region as bigger, stronger systems are able to take a southern storm track. Florida, in particular, may have a higher risk for tornadoes this season. Southern Georgia and South Carolina are also at a higher risk for severe weather events. Overall, heavy rain will be widespread for the South. As the season progresses, additional rain on an already saturated ground will increase the chances for flooding. "As far as the biggest impacts go, I would look at Shreveport and New Orleans, Louisiana, and Mobile, Alabama. I think those areas are going to get hit with a lot of rain," Pastelok said. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 I'm not sure I remember a winter when we had abundant snow chances from December to March. It's certainly not the norm. The norm is rain, followed by cold and dry. What you're hoping for may be a tad unrealistic. are you sure you're talking about NC winters ? That sounds exactly like GA winters and I know our winters are a lot different than NC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 are you sure you're talking about NC winters ? That sounds exactly like GA winters and I know our winters are a lot different than NC. Yeah, I was mainly speaking of here. But needless to say (saying anyway )pretty much all of the lowlands in the SE don't have wall to wall blockbuster winters with snowstorm after snowstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Yeah, I was mainly speaking of here. But needless to say (saying anyway )pretty much all of the lowlands in the SE don't have wall to wall blockbuster winters with snowstorm after snowstorm.2009/10, bout closest wall to wall I can remember Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Wasn't 77-78 wall to wall cold ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Wasn't 77-78 wall to wall cold ?Don't know, wasn't born yet! I hear alot about March 1960, I think it snowed every Wednesday in NC that month! Probly torched until then!? You know the rubberband theory! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Don't know, wasn't born yet! I hear alot about March 1960, I think it snowed every Wednesday in NC that month! Probly torched until then!? You know the rubberband theory! Nashville got nearly 40" of snow in 59-60, their snowiest winter on record. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 The last 10 winters overall have been really rough here. 5 out of the last 10 winters I haven't had any accumulating snow or ice. Before this 10 year stretch, I had never gone a winter without at least a dusting of snow or ice that I can remember. I'm afraid in 20 years, I will have the same climate as Waycross which pretty much means I can kiss snow goodbye for good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Nashville got nearly 40" of snow in 59-60, their snowiest winter on record. Most snow in a season in Winston-Salem in the past 100 years is 39 inches in 1930-31 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Most snow in a season in Winston-Salem in the past 100 years is 39 inches in 1930-31 Courtesy of Eric Webb...big reason for 1931 being so large for INT. Surprised that 1987 wasn't as snowy, need to check that winter. Just checked 1987, looks like 35". I grew up in Winston, I remember that winter very well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 Courtesy of Eric Webb...big reason for 1931 being so large for INT. Surprised that 1987 wasn't as snowy, need to check that winter. and this was before the winter solstice. That's incredible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 and this was before the winter solstice. That's incredible.It was 3 days away, SMDH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WXinCanton Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 The last 10 winters overall have been really rough here. 5 out of the last 10 winters I haven't had any accumulating snow or ice. Before this 10 year stretch, I had never gone a winter without at least a dusting of snow or ice that I can remember. I'm afraid in 20 years, I will have the same climate as Waycross which pretty much means I can kiss snow goodbye for good. So your addition to the discussion from this is that you won't have any measurable snow this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 7, 2015 Share Posted October 7, 2015 The last 10 winters overall have been really rough here. 5 out of the last 10 winters I haven't had any accumulating snow or ice. Before this 10 year stretch, I had never gone a winter without at least a dusting of snow or ice that I can remember. I'm afraid in 20 years, I will have the same climate as Waycross which pretty much means I can kiss snow goodbye for good.Move to ATL , they get 3 times the snow Carrollton does! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Courtesy of Eric Webb...big reason for 1931 being so large for INT. Surprised that 1987 wasn't as snowy, need to check that winter. Just checked 1987, looks like 35". I grew up in Winston, I remember that winter very well. Cold Rain was getting shafted in 1930 too! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Cold Rain was getting shafted in 1930 too! We better get prepared for our typical miss to the west, miss to the east, miss to the south and miss to the north. It's not a matter of if.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 We better get prepared for our typical miss to the west, miss to the east, miss to the south and miss to the north. It's not a matter of if.... Haha ain't that the truth! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Well -- it's written in stone now... AccuWeather.com @breakingweather 14s14 seconds ago El Nino to send rain & snow to parched California this winter: http://ow.ly/T7U6C Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
southernskimmer Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Nobody really knows until we start the obs thread. It's all one huge grain of salt Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted October 8, 2015 Author Share Posted October 8, 2015 Not everyday that the Euro Monthlies are posted (Nov-Apr) http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45991-winter-2015-2016-speculation-and-discussion/?p=3714474 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 Not everyday that the Euro Monthlies are posted (Nov-Apr) http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45991-winter-2015-2016-speculation-and-discussion/?p=3714474 LOL...nice to see. They look fairly good, not sure what more we can expect from a seasonal model this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mackerel_sky Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 LOL...nice to see. They look fairly good, not sure what more we can expect from a seasonal model this far out.If it shows cold and snowy, JB will be bear hugging it! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 If it shows cold and snowy, JB will be bear hugging it! I will be hugging it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MichaelJ Posted October 8, 2015 Share Posted October 8, 2015 I absolutely love the EURO runs for us in the SE. The 5H pattern with a strong High locked into Western Canada with a trough in the SE and a southern jet cutting along the gulf and then up the coast is what we hope for here. People in NE will do just fine as well because normal to slightly above for Jan-March still equates to a lot of snow for them, especially if we get times with a -NAO. Down here (and to some extent the MA) being 2-3 below normal and a constant flow of moisture is much better than what we saw last year, where the cold occasionally overwhelmed the pattern and dried us out when the cold was here. I look for us to have many chances in late Jan-early March to get some wintry precipitation of both ice and snow. Biggest problem could be if we have too progressive a pattern and the timing goes all to pot, but I am betting (hoping?) that won't happen Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 The 'blob' and eastern GOA has warmed the past 30 days, so has 1.2... Does the 'blob' include GOA or just west of Cali, hmmm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cold Rain Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 ^ Thumbs down on 1.2. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
packbacker Posted October 9, 2015 Share Posted October 9, 2015 ^ Thumbs down on 1.2. LOL...I think we are heading for a 83/87 SST configuration. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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