Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,858
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    Johnlor5294
    Newest Member
    Johnlor5294
    Joined

August 2015 Pattern and Disco


Ginx snewx

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 772
  • Created
  • Last Reply
  On 7/28/2015 at 10:43 AM, Damage In Tolland said:

We certainly all deserve it

 

The warmth that we'll have over the next few days is akin to having a winter storm finally verify a warning in mid-February when 6" of snow are reported in Lunenberg.  What we have here is a dead-ratter of a warm season for those who clamor for HHH.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/28/2015 at 12:51 PM, ORH_wxman said:

I think it got pinched a bit as it was trying to advect northeast and we had a lot of cloudiness as a result which didn't help either.

Unfortunately some were expecting a lot of 96s and 97s and the only thing that supported that was MET guidance which should be taken with a grain of salt to begin with in the summer.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/28/2015 at 1:19 PM, Ginx snewx said:

we get Bermuda highs with troughs aloft?

I'm just talking terminology. Upper level talk we use ridges/troughs and sfc we use highs/lows. So if we're talking about H5 we're going to say WAR. No biggie though...it's the same pattern.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/28/2015 at 1:17 PM, dendrite said:

Unfortunately some were expecting a lot of 96s and 97s and the only thing that supported that was MET guidance which should be taken with a grain of salt to begin with in the summer.

Yeah the MET numbers were awful but I remember MAV beig too warm also. But not as bad. MAV was spitting out 90 for ORH for a few runs leading into it.

Maybe this one won't underperform.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/28/2015 at 11:00 AM, moneypitmike said:

The warmth that we'll have over the next few days is akin to having a winter storm finally verify a warning in mid-February when 6" of snow are reported in Lunenberg.  What we have here is a dead-ratter of a warm season for those who clamor for HHH.

 

Don't get me started on winter 2013-2014 ;)

Link to comment
Share on other sites

  On 7/28/2015 at 1:22 PM, ORH_wxman said:

Yeah the MET numbers were awful but I remember MAV beig too warm also. But not as bad. MAV was spitting out 90 for ORH for a few runs leading into it.

Maybe this one won't underperform.

I guess the question is, what is everyone expecting Wed/Thu?

 

19-20C 850s are only about 1C warmer than the last warm stretch. So I'd assume the hot spots peak around 93-96F?

Link to comment
Share on other sites

My goodness ... the 00z NAM veered the Wednesday afternoon wind field just slightly and BOS shoots to 30 C in the T1 layer.  The index finger rule is to add 2 - 3 C from that level to get the 2-meter, assuming no obstruction -- which I don't see any here.  That's 93 F proper at Logan, which despite MOS products, that's the warmest I have seen the FRH grid ...  until, the 06z... 

 

The wind is turned subtly more into a west direction and now eastern coastal zones are completely at the mercy of the broiler.  Full sun, 10 kt off-shote through 20 C at 850 and superb mixing altitudes at 31 C is like a 35 C 2-meter temp there.  95 or 96 ... not bad, and does qualify (tho subjective) as "big heat" in my mind. 

 

That Wedensday night in the urban centers could be a hoot - 

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...