Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 BDL has a good shot at 4 Sat-Tue. I'll go 7 of 90+. 7-8 is reasonable . Unless one was following op runs or something similar Still thinking this? Thursday Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Thursday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday A chance of showers. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Friday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 3am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Sunday Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Sunday Night Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 Still thinking this? Thursday Patchy fog before 8am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Thursday Night A chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 67. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Friday A chance of showers. Patchy fog before 7am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 81. Chance of precipitation is 50%. Friday Night Showers likely and possibly a thunderstorm before 3am, then a chance of showers. Some of the storms could produce heavy rain. Patchy fog after 4am. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 65. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Saturday A chance of showers. Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 79. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Saturday Night Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Sunday Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a high near 82. Sunday Night Patchy fog. Otherwise, mostly cloudy, with a low around 63. Monday Partly sunny, with a high near 83. Between that date and end of warm season which is what the discussion was? Yes. They are at 3..Tomorrow and Wed are 5. i just need 2 more lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 foreseeable future, ? Next Thursday begins the descent so a Sun -Wed heat wave, meh on the humidity too, low 60's stuff nothing in the oppressive category. dog days as usual. Still think this? CITY SKY/WX TMP DP RH WIND PRES REMARKS BRADLEY INTL MOSUNNY 92 66 42 CALM 30.00F HX 94 HARTFORD PTSUNNY 88 71 57 SE7 30.00S HX 94 BRIDGEPORT SUNNY 88 73 61 S9 30.01F HX 95 DANBURY SUNNY 90 63 40 W7 30.04F HX 91 GROTON SUNNY 80 73 79 S7 30.03S NEW HAVEN MOSUNNY 86 72 62 S9 30.02F HX 92 CHESTER NOT AVBL MERIDEN SUNNY 90 66 45 S9 30.01F HX 92 WILLIMANTIC PTSUNNY 90 68 48 S12 30.02F HX 94 OXFORD MOSUNNY 84 68 58 S9 30.08F $ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 BOS with a late rally to make a 3 day heatwave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 BOS with a late rally to make a 3 day heatwave. 6pm bounce! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 Between that date and end of warm season which is what the discussion was? Yes. They are at 3..Tomorrow and Wed are 5. i just need 2 more lol lol you don't live there. I mean it was 97 in Newark today. You haven't touched 90 yet. Pretty meh on heat waves standard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 BOS with a late rally to make a 3 day heatwave.TORCH! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 No relief..just soup and dews..dews soup .LONG TERM /WEDNESDAY THROUGH MONDAY/... */ HIGHLIGHTS... - WARM AND MUGGY PERSIST THROUGHOUT THE WEEK except you conviently left out the extendedAS WAVE ACTION STEMS E OUT OF THE C-CONUS LIKELY TO SEE USHERANCES OF COOLER/DRIER AIR ADVECTED BY NW-FLOW BEHIND COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARIES TRAILING SUBSEQUENT AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE THAT EVOLVE ACROSS THE C- CONUS AND THEN LIFT NE INTO CANADA SLOWING AS THEY UNDERGO A MATURE TO DYING PHASE...AS IT APPEARS WITH THE BULK FORECAST GUIDANCE FOR NOW. THE FIRST OF THESE OCCURS TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK...PERHAPS ANOTHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FAVORING THE 17.0Z ECMWF. MORE ON THAT BELOW. SOME QUESTION AS OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH W INTO NEW ENGLAND. HEIGHTS APPEAR TO STAGNANT ACROSS THE REGION. YET TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WITH MID-LEVEL ENERGY PUSHING N/E THROUGH THE C- CONUS TROUGH SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASING CHANCES OF WET-WEATHER ACTIVITY. ANTICIPATING THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY TO REMAIN MOSTLY N/W ACROSS PA / UPSTATE NY / NW NEW ENGLAND FOR THE MIDWEEK PERIOD COINCIDENT WITH BETTER DYNAMICS/FORCING. BY FRIDAY IT APPEARS THAT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS LIKELY WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE REGION. WHETHER IT STALLS FOR THE WEEKEND AND REMAINS A FOCUS FOR WET-WEATHER REMAINS TO BE SEEN PARENT TO THE UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE STRENGTH OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. LOW CONFIDENCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST BEYOND FRIDAY...BUT AS ALLUDED TO EARLIER COULD SEE ADDITIONAL FRONTAL BOUNDARIES SWEEP THE REGION AS ADDITIONAL WAVE ENERGY SKIRTS THROUGH THE PREFERRED TROUGH PATTERN Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 except you conviently left out the extended AS WAVE ACTION STEMS E OUT OF THE C-CONUS LIKELY TO SEE USHERANCES OF COOLER/DRIER AIR ADVECTED BY NW-FLOW BEHIND COLD FRONTAL BOUNDARIES TRAILING SUBSEQUENT AREAS OF LOW PRESSURE THAT EVOLVE ACROSS THE C- CONUS AND THEN LIFT NE INTO CANADA SLOWING AS THEY UNDERGO A MATURE TO DYING PHASE...AS IT APPEARS WITH THE BULK FORECAST GUIDANCE FOR NOW. THE FIRST OF THESE OCCURS TOWARDS THE END OF THE WEEK...PERHAPS ANOTHER INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK FAVORING THE 17.0Z ECMWF. MORE ON THAT BELOW. SOME QUESTION AS OF THE INFLUENCE OF THE ATLANTIC HIGH W INTO NEW ENGLAND. HEIGHTS APPEAR TO STAGNANT ACROSS THE REGION. YET TRAILING FRONTAL BOUNDARIES WITH MID-LEVEL ENERGY PUSHING N/E THROUGH THE C- CONUS TROUGH SHOULD RESULT IN INCREASING CHANCES OF WET-WEATHER ACTIVITY. ANTICIPATING THE BULK OF THIS ACTIVITY TO REMAIN MOSTLY N/W ACROSS PA / UPSTATE NY / NW NEW ENGLAND FOR THE MIDWEEK PERIOD COINCIDENT WITH BETTER DYNAMICS/FORCING. BY FRIDAY IT APPEARS THAT CONVECTIVE ACTIVITY IS LIKELY WITH A COLD FRONT PUSHING INTO THE REGION. WHETHER IT STALLS FOR THE WEEKEND AND REMAINS A FOCUS FOR WET-WEATHER REMAINS TO BE SEEN PARENT TO THE UNCERTAINTY WITH RESPECT TO THE STRENGTH OF THE ATLANTIC RIDGE. LOW CONFIDENCE FOR THE REMAINDER OF THE FORECAST BEYOND FRIDAY...BUT AS ALLUDED TO EARLIER COULD SEE ADDITIONAL FRONTAL BOUNDARIES SWEEP THE REGION AS ADDITIONAL WAVE ENERGY SKIRTS THROUGH THE PREFERRED TROUGH PATTERN Did you miss this from the AFD? ooops WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS LOOK TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MILD OVERNIGHT PERIODS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF NUISANCE PATCHY DENSE FOG. DEWPOINTS AROUND THE MID- TO UPPER- 60S. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 TORCH!lol 90/64 heat index 86, oh the humanity. Hope they survive Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 Insanity. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 Did you miss this from the AFD? ooops WARM AND MUGGY CONDITIONS LOOK TO PERSIST THROUGHOUT MUCH OF THE REMAINDER OF THE WEEK. MILD OVERNIGHT PERIODS WITH THE POSSIBILITY OF NUISANCE PATCHY DENSE FOG. DEWPOINTS AROUND THE MID- TO UPPER- 60S. 81-85, pretty normal stuff, the torch is passed Wed AMOUT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 17, 2015 Share Posted August 17, 2015 81-85, pretty normal stuff, the torch is passed Wed AMOUTWhat are normal highs for late Aug? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 There's a fly In the ointment of the 14-21 day torch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 17, 2015 Author Share Posted August 17, 2015 What are normal highs for late Aug?late August is not this week, 83 BDL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Thanks Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 92/67 was my hottest reading. Making a heat Index of 96 I believe. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 The average number of August days at BDL with a 70+ low is 2.4. So far this month BDL has not had one. Also looking ahead to September, if you throw out 1983 and 1961 (does anyone really see those patterns walking through the door?), BDL has never had more than 4 90+ days, and getting more than 1 in September has occurred just 27 times, 25 if you throw out '83 and '61, in 110 years of record keeping. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 So they'll be at 5 on Wednrsday in a warm pattern. Chances are good at all those happening . Very good Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Bostonseminole Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 Impressive heat last few days, looking forward to cooler weather by Thur Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 I honestly bought into a couple of days of really hot model runs hook,line, and sinker when putting out my 10 days out of 30 90+ at BDL call. BDL will get 4 tommorrow but Wedesday looks touchy at best. The weeklies and ensembles have a transient /overall slightly to perhaps moderately AN at times look along with a few decent troughs for good measure. Without getting the heat to last through this week I am skeptical of my 10 day 90+ call. 7 days may be more realistic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2015 Author Share Posted August 18, 2015 I honestly bought into a couple of days of really hot model runs hook,line, and sinker when putting out my 10 days out of 30 90+ at BDL call. BDL will get 4 tommorrow but Wedesday looks touchy at best. The weeklies and ensembles have a transient /overall slightly to perhaps moderately AN at times look along with a few decent troughs for good measure. Without getting the heat to last through this week I am skeptical of my 10 day 90+ call. 7 days may be more realistic.you had company Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 day 9 of 90+ this month, 26 for the summer so far. 2 more needed to tie july's 11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 you had company It's still somewhat impressive warmth for some that you have been going out of you're way to downplay. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2015 Author Share Posted August 18, 2015 It's still somewhat impressive warmth for some that you have been going out of you're way to downplay.not true I said heat wave Sun to Wed, but I have not hit 90 yet. 2013 was impressive, this is very very typical. You live in Death Valley so I understand Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 18, 2015 Author Share Posted August 18, 2015 day 9 of 90+ this month, 26 for the summer so far. 2 more needed to tie july's 11we are so glad we don't live there. Matt in Houston has had 36 in a row Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowman21 Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 It's still somewhat impressive warmth for some that you have been going out of you're way to downplay. I'm just curious where locally this warmth would be considered impressive? Using BDL as the proxy for our small state, including today, the monthly departure is up to +0.9, number of 90 degree days is now at 4 (normal for the whole month is 4.0), and as I mentioned earlier below normal on warm muggy nights. In terms of extremes the high for the month is 93 which ties it for 50th hottest August monthly high temperature out of 110 Augusts. Also 2 of the 3 days reached 90+ for what amounts to maybe an hour or two combined while heat indices have been pretty tame (mostly low-90s). You know the heat isn't impressive when OKX can't even issue heat advisories with their special watered down criteria for the 5 boroughs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 I'm just curious where locally this warmth would be considered impressive? Using BDL as the proxy for our small state, including today, the monthly departure is up to +0.9, number of 90 degree days is now at 4 (normal for the whole month is 4.0), and as I mentioned earlier below normal on warm muggy nights. In terms of extremes the high for the month is 93 which ties it for 50th hottest August monthly high temperature out of 110 Augusts. Also 2 of the 3 days reached 90+ for what amounts to maybe an hour or two combined while heat indices have been pretty tame (mostly low-90s). You know the heat isn't impressive when OKX can't even issue heat advisories with their special watered down criteria for the 5 boroughs. 4 days in a row of 90+ is somewhat impressive when the average for the entire month is 4. It's not earth shattering but noticeable given the relative lack of heat we have experienced this year overall. There was some indications on some modeling of perhaps 6-7 days in a row which is certainly a bit more uncommon by mid/ late August and would have been noteworthy if it had occurred. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 4 days in a row of 90+ is somewhat impressive when the average for the entire month is 4. It's not earth shattering but noticeable given the relative lack of heat we have experienced this year overall. There was some indications on some modeling of perhaps 6-7 days in a row which is certainly a bit more uncommon by mid/ late August and would have been noteworthy if it had occurred. Any idea what BDL did in August of 2002 and July of 1994? Those were both 8 day heat waves in Boston, so you have to think BDL had at least that many. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted August 18, 2015 Share Posted August 18, 2015 I honestly bought into a couple of days of really hot model runs hook,line, and sinker when putting out my 10 days out of 30 90+ at BDL call. BDL will get 4 tommorrow but Wedesday looks touchy at best. The weeklies and ensembles have a transient /overall slightly to perhaps moderately AN at times look along with a few decent troughs for good measure. Without getting the heat to last through this week I am skeptical of my 10 day 90+ call. 7 days may be more realistic. Wed will be 5..Then the humidity gets so high that temps will have trouble getting there thru the weekend. I like my 7-8 days call by end of warm season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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