eekuasepinniW Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 I'm assuming this is for muse, only ? Right - Just in case ... acorn production is entirely a function of growing conditions spanning years. It's a micro-climate question, feeding back positive or negative to flora reproductive cycles, but as biology shows, taking multi-season adaptation - nothing else. Having said that... one might possibly argue veraciously for an indirect correlation. What I mean by that is, suppose the longer term weather pattern both favors acorn production, as well as harsh winters? (those two circumstances are outcomes, but are not necessarily related to one another). But the key there is, TIME. The problem is, a single summer does not (by biology) enhance THAT summer's acorn production, so there could only be unlikely immediate predictive skill that is based upon THAT summer's production. That's just logic. But if there is a pattern tendency that is prolonged, spanning across multiple years/seasons, it may become coincidentally correlate- able given that extended duration of time. If the long term pattern lock-in bias argument is applied, I think it could tested that way. It would be quite intuitive that if x pattern lasting for 4 years, helping flora produce fruits and nuts, but happens to also associate to harsher (softer) winter weather, then duh... Perhaps the centuries old folklore would have been substantiated better if it was built around the longer vision, then - Agreed... you took the words right out of my mouth. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Big, big acorns so far this year. Same for anyone else? image.jpg Yeah. I had noted the hugeness of acorns this year. Not the hugest number but each one is big Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Travers day at Saratoga was awesome. Haven't been to a race there in years... I don't know why I don't go more often. Heavy heavy beers and a $1 superfecta on the big race really made the day awesome!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Travers day at Saratoga was awesome. Haven't been to a race there in years... I don't know why I don't go more often. Heavy heavy beers and a $1 superfecta on the big race really made the day awesome!! Try the casino. Lots of opportunities to win! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Yeah. I had noted the hugeness of acorns this year. Not the hugest number but each one is bigThat's what she said.About the acorns, of course. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Try the casino. Lots of opportunities to win! Used to go to Mohegan a fair bit but haven't been in a while. An expensive night there! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JC-CT Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Used to go to Mohegan a fair bit but haven't been in a while. An expensive night there!Same here, exactly why I don't go anymore.Saratoga is a nice place, only been once and for golf, not racing. But really beautiful country, I'd go back. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tolland Death Band Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Pouring here at KTOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Pouring here at KTOLhmm so much for someone's prediction of no rain for 7/10 days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 Travers day at Saratoga was awesome. Haven't been to a race there in years... I don't know why I don't go more often. Heavy heavy beers and a $1 superfecta on the big race really made the day awesome!! What are the odds on the Superfecta?! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SJonesWX Posted August 30, 2015 Share Posted August 30, 2015 It's cool seeing the animals. There were lots of critters eating pears yesterday morning...looks like a fox, deer, coyote, and skunk. I need a mostly sky cam like Scott that faces north. I'm going to get one of those $100 Hikvision cams and aim it north from off of the garage. Anyways...yesterday's 24hr loop. http://www.newenglandwx.com/cam/dailymovie.htm that's a neat cam setup you have. would really like to get one set up at my dad's place. he gets lots of wildlife there also. at my place in arlington, just the occassional skunk. Big, big acorns so far this year. Same for anyone else? image.jpg and plenty of them Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 I'm assuming this is for muse, only ? Right - Just in case ... acorn production is entirely a function of growing conditions spanning years. It's a micro-climate question, feeding back positive or negative to flora reproductive cycles, but as biology shows, taking multi-season adaptation - nothing else. Having said that... one might possibly argue veraciously for an indirect correlation. What I mean by that is, suppose the longer term weather pattern both favors acorn production, as well as harsh winters? (those two circumstances are outcomes, but are not necessarily related to one another). But the key there is, TIME. The problem is, a single summer does not (by biology) enhance THAT summer's acorn production, so there could only be unlikely immediate predictive skill that is based upon THAT summer's production. That's just logic. But if there is a pattern tendency that is prolonged, spanning across multiple years/seasons, it may become coincidentally correlate- able given that extended duration of time. If the long term pattern lock-in bias argument is applied, I think it could tested that way. It would be quite intuitive that if x pattern lasting for 4 years, helping flora produce fruits and nuts, but happens to also associate to harsher (softer) winter weather, then duh... Perhaps the centuries old folklore would have been substantiated better if it was built around the longer vision, then - There's an interesting similar phenomenon that happens with maple seeds that prompted me to do some research on the subject. You'd think that an individual tree would have random blooms of seeds in order to have a better chance to propagate but they don't. Regionally, all maple trees of a species will produce an abundance of seeds. I found that aspect fascinating. There doesn't seem to be a correlation to climate or other factors as well. Perhaps the oaks do a similar thing and are producing larger or more specimens this year? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 What are the odds on the Superfecta?! Depends on the horses. The payout was 550-1 though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Travers day at Saratoga was awesome. Haven't been to a race there in years... I don't know why I don't go more often. Heavy heavy beers and a $1 superfecta on the big race really made the day awesome!! Congrats--what was the pay-out? Back when I lived n Jersey, I'd go a few times a year to Monmouth. Loved the Exacta/Trifecta Box bets. Just saw a thing from Conde Nast listing America's top 10 'unfriendliest cities'. CT gets two of them==Hartford and New Haven. Not a good showing for the third smallest state of the country. At least they beat out Detroit and Newark. 65.5/62 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Congrats--what was the pay-out? Back when I lived n Jersey, I'd go a few times a year to Monmouth. Loved the Exacta/Trifecta Box bets. Just saw a thing from Conde Nast listing America's top 10 'unfriendliest cities'. CT gets two of them==Hartford and New Haven. Not a good showing for the third smallest state of the country. At least they beat out Detroit and Newark. 65.5/62 I did a $1 superfecta box (cost 24), a $5 exacta, and a $5 win on Keen Ice. All were winners in the race so I walked away with $800. Not bad at all considering I never win anything. It was cool to see American pharoh too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Wow that's great. I'd be happy too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Wow that's great. I'd be happy too. I know who is buying the beers next time we're in Saratoga. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 I know who is buying the beers next time we're in Saratoga. I think we should get Damage in Tolland to submit an abstract about the importance of hyping all weather. I bet it would be a hit. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 I think we should get Damage in Tolland to submit an abstract about the importance of hyping all weather. I bet it would be a hit. Just a sea of in the crowd. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 I think we should get Damage in Tolland to submit an abstract about the importance of hyping all weather. I bet it would be a hit. Oh I would certainly clear all seminars for that one!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 All of the sources would be Tweets. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Looks like he could really get the crowd going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
powderfreak Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 I did a $1 superfecta box (cost 24), a $5 exacta, and a $5 win on Keen Ice. All were winners in the race so I walked away with $800. Not bad at all considering I never win anything. It was cool to see American pharoh too. Holy crap that's a good day at the track! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Congrats--what was the pay-out? Back when I lived n Jersey, I'd go a few times a year to Monmouth. Loved the Exacta/Trifecta Box bets. Just saw a thing from Conde Nast listing America's top 10 'unfriendliest cities'. CT gets two of them==Hartford and New Haven. Not a good showing for the third smallest state of the country. At least they beat out Detroit and Newark. 65.5/62 Bridgepoop didn't make the list? Wow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Bridgepoop didn't make the list? Wow Lots of :sun: :sun: :sun: people there enjoying plenty of libations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 What defines unfriendly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 What defines unfriendly? Looks like it came from a survey... http://www.cntraveler.com/galleries/2015-08-11/the-2015-friendliest-and-unfriendliest-cities-in-the-us/ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Looks like it came from a survey... http://www.cntraveler.com/galleries/2015-08-11/the-2015-friendliest-and-unfriendliest-cities-in-the-us/ New Haven has lots to do and downtown is pretty cool. Hartford though doesn't have much going on, unfortunately. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Maybe they meant New Hampshire instead of New Haven? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted August 31, 2015 Share Posted August 31, 2015 Congrats to JFK , hottest August ever , BDR # 2 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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