tdp146 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 image.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 4 straight hours of 78 at the park. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 image.jpg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 25, 2015 Author Share Posted August 25, 2015 I sooo cant wait for sweater weather Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 It will never end. I'm so tired of using my AC. It may never end (above normal temps). The ENSO looks like it'll start to dominate shortly. Hopefully things will at least get more active weather wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Erika was born. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Tropical storm Erika has been named Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dWave Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 For KNYC, I don't see a single Aug where everyday had a high of 80+. The most is 29 in 1938 & 1932. (The avg is 21) This Aug is on pace to be the first. In fact its happened in July only 1 time. Also the most in a yr is 106 in 1991 (lots of incomplete data in earlier 20th century and back though) If the forecast for the rest of Aug hold true, and we reach the 30 yr avg for Sept of 10 we'd reach that 106 mark. An above avg Sept and we set a new record easy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Park didn't get below 77 so far. That would be a +10 departure. It's not expected to hold with the passing cold front. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 .75" of rain over night.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 For KNYC, I don't see a single Aug where everyday had a high of 80+. The most is 29 in 1938 & 1932. (The avg is 21) This Aug is on pace to be the first. In fact its happened in July only 1 time. Also the most in a yr is 106 in 1991 (lots of incomplete data in earlier 20th century and back though) If the forecast for the rest of Aug hold true, and we reach the 30 yr avg for Sept of 10 we'd reach that 106 mark. An above avg Sept and we set a new record easy. The GFS has truckloads of heat coming in Sept. with 500mb's above normal for the entire month. Probably 5-10 90deg. days coming with this setup (don't forget the ridiculous SST's also) for the month. Kiss Sept. 1961 out of the almanac's best for NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IrishRob17 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 .75" of rain over night..Only .30 here. The Rain King strikes again The western half of the county has been doing much better than the eastern half all summer long. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Can we start our own tropical theead? 00z Euro was certainly interesting. Major near the SC coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 The GFS has truckloads of heat coming in Sept. with 500mb's above normal for the entire month. Probably 5-10 90deg. days coming with this setup (don't forget the ridiculous SST's also) for the month. Kiss Sept. 1961 out of the almanac's best for NYC.The GFS goes out til about the 9th of September, were you talking about the Euro weeklies? (I guess it's possible you extrapolated hour 384 of the GFS for another 3 weeks, always a slam dunk). It does look warm though to start September but anomalously warm SST's won't have anything to do with getting you to 90+ degrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 The heat really overperformed this month for being so close to a mean trough position. We have seen this several times in recent years with a warm trough due to the lack of any cool air around. The very warm SST's and ridge to the east helped our cause. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Can we start our own tropical theead? 00z Euro was certainly interesting. Major near the SC coast.Yeah, start one please. The 06 GFS actually has the low near the benchmark and close enough to warrant monitoring (it's wayyyyyyyyy out there obviously, but it's not like we have other things to discuss, this weather is sinfully boring for those who don't drool at the prospect of some heat and humidity) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 The 06z gfs is funny. It sends Erika towards Florida, then it swings E/NE and tries to do a Sandy type hook back west near the BM before heading out to sea. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 For KNYC, I don't see a single Aug where everyday had a high of 80+. The most is 29 in 1938 & 1932. (The avg is 21) This Aug is on pace to be the first. In fact its happened in July only 1 time. Also the most in a yr is 106 in 1991 (lots of incomplete data in earlier 20th century and back though) If the forecast for the rest of Aug hold true, and we reach the 30 yr avg for Sept of 10 we'd reach that 106 mark. An above avg Sept and we set a new record easy. Nice job on the stats. Despite any real heat it's just been straight up warm. Almost like we dropped 10 degrees in latitude. And yes open the tropical thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Nice job on the stats. Despite any real heat it's just been straight up warm. Almost like we dropped 10 degrees in latitude. And yes open the tropical thread Exactly, I feel like I live in coastal NC with these warm sticky days and a string of 75+ degree lows (there have been tons of them this summer) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 For KNYC, I don't see a single Aug where everyday had a high of 80+. The most is 29 in 1938 & 1932. (The avg is 21) This Aug is on pace to be the first. In fact its happened in July only 1 time. Also the most in a yr is 106 in 1991 (lots of incomplete data in earlier 20th century and back though) If the forecast for the rest of Aug hold true, and we reach the 30 yr avg for Sept of 10 we'd reach that 106 mark. An above avg Sept and we set a new record easy. Nice info, thanks. These are not the type of records I look forward to, that's for sure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 The GFS goes out til about the 9th of September, were you talking about the Euro weeklies? (I guess it's possible you extrapolated hour 384 of the GFS for another 3 weeks, always a slam dunk). It does look warm though to start September but anomalously warm SST's won't have anything to do with getting you to 90+ degrees. You are right. I should have mentioned I was using the CFSv2 weeklies for the entire month. But GFS does go bonkers in the first 10 days of month including a drunken TS that must be in a Sandy like trance, as it threatens the coast on the HolidayWeekend with a left-handed turn. What! Another 100 years storm so soon. Sandy "We hardly missed you". Given our precarious economic state----will this be the exogenous event that starts the real Depression? lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 You are right. I should have mentioned I was using the CFSv2 weeklies for the entire month. But GFS does go bonkers in the first 10 days of month including a drunken TS that must be in a Sandy like trance, as it threatens the coast on the HolidayWeekend with a left-handed turn. What! Another 100 years storm so soon. Sandy "We hardly missed you". Given our precarious economic state----will this be the exogenous event that starts the real Depression? lolIs it cold of me to wish we get smoked again? Out of all severe weather events, Hurricanes are my favorite and not exactly a dime a dozen here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 The GFS has truckloads of heat coming in Sept. with 500mb's above normal for the entire month. Probably 5-10 90deg. days coming with this setup (don't forget the ridiculous SST's also) for the month. Kiss Sept. 1961 out of the almanac's best for NYC. Please stop these kinda of posts. The gfs barely gets through the first 3rd of september. Post facts, leave the hyperbole somewhere else. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Please stop these kinda of posts. The gfs barely gets through the first 3rd of september. Post facts, leave the hyperbole somewhere else. The GEFS mean shows above normal temps through the end of the run once beyond this week. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 The GEFS mean shows above normal temps through the end of the run once beyond this week. Why are you quoting me to make this comment? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 Why are you quoting me to make this comment? I was just stating that the GEFS does show an above average pattern. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 I was just stating that the GEFS does show an above average pattern. Ok? My comment was referring to the claim that the gfs shows above normal temps throughout september. We arent extrapolating gfs out another 21 days here. Youre more than welcome to in the banter thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 For KNYC, I don't see a single Aug where everyday had a high of 80+. The most is 29 in 1938 & 1932. (The avg is 21) This Aug is on pace to be the first. In fact its happened in July only 1 time. Also the most in a yr is 106 in 1991 (lots of incomplete data in earlier 20th century and back though) If the forecast for the rest of Aug hold true, and we reach the 30 yr avg for Sept of 10 we'd reach that 106 mark. An above avg Sept and we set a new record easy. I counted 108 for 1944... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mob1 Posted August 25, 2015 Share Posted August 25, 2015 I counted 108 for 1944...I could go crazy about the correlation between a lot of 80+ degree days and "great Atlantic hurricanes", but that will certainly fall under hyperbole Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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