SACRUS Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Today's Highs (clean sweep except the park) TEB: 90 NYC: 89 EWR: 91 LGA: 90 JFK: 91 ISP: 90 New Brunswick: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 91 PHL: 90 ACY: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 It would be nice if that 12z Euro Mid-Atlantic rainfall jackpot nudges further north over time to help ease the Long Island drought conditions. JFK running well below normal April through July with the driest May on record 4/15...1.61....-2.26 5/15...0.46....-3.48 6/15...4.99...+1.13 7/15...2.31....-1.77 The GGEM and GFS are wet for the entire region. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Summers on average have been hotter over the last 10 years, so above normal is actually the new normal. I'm talking about 1 or 2 degrees above the 1981-2010 normal temps. I wonder if this is being driven by higher overnight lows. Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 Summers on average have been hotter over the last 10 years, so above normal is actually the new normal. I'm talking about 1 or 2 degrees above the 1981-2010 normal temps. Pretty much though higher minimums probably play a larger role. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 the last 30 days 7/3-8/1 NYC is averaging 79.1 degrees...this is a little above the average for such periods...It still can get to 80.0...this would put 2015 in the top 20 warmest 30 day periods... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 2, 2015 Author Share Posted August 2, 2015 I have been in the 90s everyday since sunday except for Thursday which got up to 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tdp146 Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 At an apartment on the ocean in long beach watching the Lightning from those two cells off the coast of cape may. Pretty cool. About 125 miles away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 2, 2015 Share Posted August 2, 2015 The GGEM and GFS are wet for the entire region. It was good to see the 0z Euro track the heavier rains a little further north. Hopefully, Long Island can pick up some much needed rainfall. All our recent dry periods ended with heavy rainfalls. It would just be nice if that occurred sooner rather than later for the brown vegetation around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 90 NYC: 89 EWR: 92 LGA: 89 JFK: 87 ISP: 85 New Brunswick: 91 BLM: 856 TTN: 89 PHL: 90 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Today's Highs TEB: 90 NYC: 89 EWR: 92 LGA: 89 JFK: 87 ISP: 85 New Brunswick: 91 BLM: 856 TTN: 89 PHL: 90 ACY: 89 856!? Wow, that is hot! Lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Euro is pretty wet for Friday, over a inch for the area! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Euro is pretty wet for Friday, over a inch for the area! I would really like to see those heaviest 3" totals verify on Long island for the sake of the greenery around here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 3, 2015 Author Share Posted August 3, 2015 Possible severe weather today and tomorrow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 I would really like to see those heaviest 3" totals verify on Long island for the sake of the greenery around here. What type of rain is in the forecast? What are the forecasted temps for the latter part of the week? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 What type of rain is in the forecast? What are the forecasted temps for the latter part of the week? Mon - tue : hot continues.. Wed : should see the current heat spell end, even wed could be cloudy later in the pm. If mostly sunny, could see a 90 in the hotter spots. Thu: kind of a transition day but look for clouds and temps near 80. Friday morning/afternoon look cloudy and very wet. I would doubt temps get much past 75 in that setup. The weekend looks dry Sat/Sun with temps below normal (80 - 85 range). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Euro is pretty wet for Friday, over a inch for the area! 06z GFS also shifted the steady/heavier rain north into the area 0.5 - 1.0 now. Id go with the consistent ECM. Friday looks like the very wet day following a dry period. Weekend appears salvaged from this very early vantage point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Updated weekly sst anomaly Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Good day for the beach http://www.ndbc.noaa.gov/maps/Northeast.shtml Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Well I have been ignoring this North trend on the models for the last day or so but trends will need to be monitored for a possible super soaker during the Thursday/Friday time period. The ECMWF is still showing a very potent vort max crossing the area and driving the development of a surface low. The system will have decent mid-upper level jet support and lower level winds also increase out ahead of the low track. The 00z ECMWF had 1.50-3.00" of rain for the area with surface temperatures stuck in the 60's on Friday. The 00z GGEM had 2-4" of rain for the area but is a bit more optimistic getting the low further North which gets us into the 70's by Friday afternoon. As you might expect, the GFS is a southeast outlier, but the system did shift significantly further NW on the 06z run versus the 00z run. The 06z GEFS mean was also further NW and wetter than 00z. Lastly, the 06z DGEX was in agreement on a very wet system. Not that it really adds anything to the mix, but nice to see some agreement. The system is still in the day 3-5 range so confidence is still low, especially with it being August, but the players are on the field and it makes sense with current El Nino in progress. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 I would really like to see those heaviest 3" totals verify on Long island for the sake of the greenery around here. We need it so bad out here. Going from moderate to severe drought. So I hope it rains. Also I'm gojn to spilsh splash friday an nothing is better then going to a water park in the rain!!! No crowds!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 let's get that warm front overhead for convection. we all know how well we do with warm fronts this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 We need it so bad out here. Going from moderate to severe drought. So I hope it rains. Also I'm gojn to spilsh splash friday an nothing is better then going to a water park in the rain!!! No crowds!!! Even a fraction of the deluge last August would be much appreciated. http://www.weather.gov/okx/HistoricFlooding_081314 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Feet of rain or bust Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Latest Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Animal Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 decent line of storms appears to be forming in the far NW. Hopefully it holds together for the interior folks. Best. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 decent line of storms appears to be forming in the far NW. Hopefully it holds together for the interior folks. Best. Surprised no one else is watching. If anything it's getting stronger Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 Surprised no one else is watching. If anything it's getting stronger HRRR has a couple rounds overnight...usually over done on that model, but something to watch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 3, 2015 Share Posted August 3, 2015 HRRR has a couple rounds overnight...usually over done on that model, but something to watch This is the time of year we can get good storms at the coast as the water is much less of an issue as it approaches peak temperature Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 Today's highs TEB: 94 NYC: 90 EWR: 93 LGA: 92 JFK; 89 ISP: 88 New Brunswick: 91 BLM: 91 TTN: 91 PHL: 93 ACY: 91 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
doncat Posted August 4, 2015 Share Posted August 4, 2015 92 here today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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