Guest Pamela Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 90 degree highs in mid September have a much different feel; however, due to the sun angle. The airmass can feel very warm and humid, but the sun loses its "bite" so to speak. Doesn't feel anywhere near as scorching. Its all downhill after August 20th; all uphill subsequent to February 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 So the period between Columbus Day and Thanksgiving is essentially indeterminate?Fall and Spring, transition periods. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ForestHillWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 61 degrees currently. Supposed to get down to the mid-50s. Windows open, crickets chirping. Great night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
jimbo073 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Its all downhill after August 20th; all uphill subsequent to February 20th. Very very true. Good point Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Can't really judge that way though since averages naturally decline towards the end of August. It's hard to maintain a high mean like that towards the end of the month. We usually get a shot of autumnal weather after August 20th. Even with the averages declining, the average August temperature is 75.2 in NYC. So the tenth warmest August is 77.7 or +2.5. With the warmer weather continuing into late month, NYC could finish with a +2.5 or greater. We'll have to see what happens in the last week of the month. The last El Nino summer to finish August at exactly 77.7 was 2002. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Very long warm season stretching back from May till probably September with only June being closer to normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Overnight guidance came in very stormy for next week. The Euro looked a little over the top with this coastal next week, and with recent track record I understand the skepticism, but the WAR ridge will be in a favorable position to get Gulf moisture up this way, so who knows. The 06z GFS even gives us some tropical love from a disturbance in the Eastern Gulf that ends up off the NJ coast in about two weeks. Yes, total fantasy, but something to break up this horrendous string of boring weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 GFS fantasy. Why bet against the summer trend? go slightly to moderately above normal and mostly dry next week. Maybe a boomer here or there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 GFS fantasy. Why bet against the summer trend? go slightly to moderately above normal and mostly dry next week. Maybe a boomer here or there It hasn't been dry here, maybe in your area it has been. August has been drier but July was quite wet and stormy. The 12z GFS continued with the same look and still has the fantasy tropical system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 I was way below normal in July Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 The Northeast, overall, has been very dry over the past 30 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yanksfan Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 The Northeast, overall, has been very dry over the past 30 days. Won't be for long if our super El Nino has anything to say about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 It hasn't been dry here, maybe in your area it has been. August has been drier but July was quite wet and stormy. The 12z GFS continued with the same look and still has the fantasy tropical system. yeah, very little rain here going back to July 1st. A couple of big dumps have saved us, but bone dry has been the rule. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Won't be for long if our super El Nino has anything to say about it. Going to have to wait for the STJ to get going.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 We are going to be paying the piper eventually for all this glorious weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 We are going to be paying the piper eventually for all this glorious weather.Next winter without a doubt. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 We are going to be paying the piper eventually for all this glorious weather. How about an October 2005 redux (I think on the year?) Rained a foot here in a week's time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Amazing how far away the 18c 850 mb line is currently. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cfa Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 We are going to be paying the piper eventually for all this glorious weather. We already paid for it in February/March, we did nothing to deserve that lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Paying for it with cold rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Paying for it with cold rain In September. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 83/67 in the park today. -0.5-1 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 We already paid for it in February/March, we did nothing to deserve that lol. Haha yeah, if anything we should be getting repaid for the cold, which in my opinion we are. Another great Friday Saturday Sunday coming up, how many is that now? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 Heat looks to be on par with the hottest temps we've seen thus far. Very close to being noteworthy but not quite hot enough. The heat does look to last several days and we should add a bunch of 90s and easily make this an above average summer. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 Finally Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 Finally Good to see. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 Finally Yes. Yes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 Lol remember the map for below normal temps everyone was gung ho on Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 Newark radiated well. Hit 63. Park only hit 67. LGA only hit 71. JFK 66. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 14, 2015 Share Posted August 14, 2015 At least 5 more 90 degree days for NYC out of the next 7. Above normal temps. to continue maybe till the 28. Only bothersome brief showers possible till 8/21. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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