bluewave Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Even today's min in NYC couldn't get lower than a +2. Yesterday with rain could have been below average, but it as average instead. Yeah, NYC is currently in the top ten warmest Augusts at 78.1. A finish of 77.7 or greater would keep them there. http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/warmcoldmonths.pdf Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snywx Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Yeah deifinitely not an extremely hot Summer, it depends where you are though. Inland NW Jersey hasn't done bad at all. I've hit 90 degrees plenty of times. Where in jersey do you live? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Yeah, NYC is currently in the top ten warmest Augusts at 78.1. A finish of 77.7 or greater would keep them there. http://www.weather.gov/media/okx/Climate/CentralPark/warmcoldmonths.pdf Can't really judge that way though since averages naturally decline towards the end of August. It's hard to maintain a high mean like that towards the end of the month. We usually get a shot of autumnal weather after August 20th. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Where in jersey do you live? Butler, it's the very tip of Morris County. I live in the more mountainous/hilly section. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 I don't know what you mean by premature it is obvious this summer is pretty ordinary 90 or no 90 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 right as our averages start dropping faster Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Well August is still very summery in general so more heat isn't a shock. For me the cool season doesn't even begin until post 9/20-25. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 The 12z GFS develops a low coming off the African coast on Saturday and gets it to about 40W before weakening about seven days later. Behind it, two more waves look to develop. You can see the system sitting here on the 12z GEFS mean with a strong ridge overhead and seemingly in a low shear environment. The main culprit here appears to be some drier than average air just East of the Islands. Should something survive the trip to 60W, the door to the United States is swinging wide open. The Gulf and northern Caribbean are plenty moist and void of any ULL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 right as our averages start dropping faster That's a great setup for US Tropical Threats. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 That's a great setup for US Tropical Threats. Too bad there aren't any. Seems like we either get the storms and the pattern is bad for a strike or vice versa. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Too bad there aren't any. Seems like we either get the storms and the pattern is bad for a strike or vice versa. Things are starting to heat up, see my other post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Too bad there aren't any. Seems like we either get the storms and the pattern is bad for a strike or vice versa. Even 97 managed a long track major Cape Verde storm. Granted it was a fish but i remember surfing the swell for days. This season can not be written off yet. In fact some factors are much better then the last two Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 I was talking to easternsnowman. He seems very premature. I don't know what you mean by premature...makes non sense! 90 or above obviously means nothing, in the cities and nearby 95 or more is hot for today's climate, but summer has only been about average this year and that's all I was trying to say. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 12, 2015 Author Share Posted August 12, 2015 Just had a 5 min downpour pass thru here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 12, 2015 Author Share Posted August 12, 2015 And now a moderate rain shower passing thru Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Shower moving through here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Gf said it poured in wantagh. Shocker we jackpot for the area on the lamest day!!! I'll take it though!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Very true. 90 degrees is relative. July 14, nothing special, August 14, much more impressive. The average highs on both days are within a couple of degrees of each other...even in mid September, the average high is around 78 F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Well August is still very summery in general so more heat isn't a shock. For me the cool season doesn't even begin until post 9/20-25. The warm season runs May through October...the cold season runs November through April...at least from my P.O.V. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 To me the warm season ends on Columbus Day and begins on Mothers Day. Cold Season starts on Thanksgiving and ends in mid March when we start breaking 60 regularly. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 The average highs on both days are within a couple of degrees of each other...even in mid September, the average high is around 78 F. Well yes, but my point was that as we near next week, a 90 degree day is less common. I'm not saying 90 can't happen during the third week of August, although it seems like it after the last few August's we've had Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Well yes, but my point was that as we near next week, a 90 degree day is less common. I'm not saying 90 can't happen during the third week of August, although it seems like it after the last few August's we've had It's like upper 20s for a high in late feb. Par for the course Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 To me the warm season ends on Columbus Day and begins on Mothers Day. Cold Season starts on Thanksgiving and ends in mid March when we start breaking 60 regularly. Its a subjective affair and no one answer is demonstrably "right"...though my divisions are also based on the fact that there is little wind around here from May through October with a general increase in overall wind speed starting in November as the mean jet works south, the temperature contrast between the pole and the tropics increases, and convective precipitation loses its significance with regards to the rainfall budget as mid latitude cyclones begin to predominate. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guest Pamela Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 To me the warm season ends on Columbus Day and begins on Mothers Day. Cold Season starts on Thanksgiving and ends in mid March when we start breaking 60 regularly. So the period between Columbus Day and Thanksgiving is essentially indeterminate? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Its purgatory...neither the snow weenies nor heatmongers get their way Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Nice cool night underway here in Dobbs Ferry, expecting to get to the low 60s with a comfortable breeze. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 I need to move out of the city. Radiational cooling is one of the top reasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 I need to move out of the city. Radiational cooling is one of the top reasons. Yep, that's one of the weather related reasons I would never want to move there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 Its a subjective affair and no one answer is demonstrably "right"...though my divisions are also based on the fact that there is little wind around here from May through October with a general increase in overall wind speed starting in November as the mean jet works south, the temperature contrast between the pole and the tropics increases, and convective precipitation loses its significance with regards to the rainfall budget as mid latitude cyclones begin to predominate. I was talking with someone today about that very point actually, namely how the windy season tends to begin around November 1st and last through late April. Although there's usually at least a slight breeze in the summer months, there's certainly a higher percentage of days in which the mean wind speed is < 1mph (near calm). Looking through my data, my maximum wind gusts for this year so far agree with the Nov-Apr / May-Oct split: Sep '14: 29mph Oct '14: 29mph Nov '14: 39mph Dec '14: 34mph Jan: 38mph Feb: 39mph Mar: 39mph Apr: 45mph May: 29mph Jun: 25mph Jul: 33mph Aug: 22mph Similar story going further back, save for the occasional strong T-storm that has caused 40mph+ gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted August 13, 2015 Share Posted August 13, 2015 The average highs on both days are within a couple of degrees of each other...even in mid September, the average high is around 78 F. 90 degree highs in mid September have a much different feel; however, due to the sun angle. The airmass can feel very warm and humid, but the sun loses its "bite" so to speak. Doesn't feel anywhere near as scorching. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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