easternsnowman Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Outside of the big cities heat has only lasted for a brief spell here and there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Great news on the heat coming. Its been a solid summer and August proved alot of people wrong Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Great news on the heat coming. Its been a solid summer and August proved alot of people wrong I'll admit that-the "Cooldown" was wimpy and now looks at or above normal for the rest of the month. Wonder if the super warm water off the coast had anything to do with it (the cooldown being meh) now that we're into August. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mattinpa Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 It hasn't been a bad summer for heat, but the extreme heat hasn't been as common as some years of late. We should have some warm to hot periods in August, but the guidance seems to waver on how long those periods are. And how hot. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 The trend for the last 10 years and I feel it will be the norm is for hot summers. This year has been normal for recent years not at all hot. Interior areas of NW Jersey and New York state and also Northern Pa have barely hit 90 outside of the cities there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Overnight guidance continues to advertise a warm to hot second half of august beginning on/around 8/15 with the first surge 8/17 - 8/19 as 850 temps are forecast to exceed 15C and approach 20c on occasion. Beyond there, heights look elevated with additional surges of heat possible (8/20 - 8/24)Yay. More heat on my Birthday like every single year since birth. Especially in 1991. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 The trend for the last 10 years and I feel it will be the norm is for hot summers. This year has been normal for recent years not at all hot. Interior areas of NW Jersey and New York state and also Northern Pa have barely hit 90 outside of the cities there. Yeah deifinitely not an extremely hot Summer, it depends where you are though. Inland NW Jersey hasn't done bad at all. I've hit 90 degrees plenty of times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Yeah deifinitely not an extremely hot Summer, it depends where you are though. Inland NW Jersey hasn't done bad at all. I've hit 90 degrees plenty of times. Many places in northeast pa,especially with elevations over 1000 ft. have yet to hit 90. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Great news on the heat coming. Its been a solid summer and August proved alot of people wrongIt's been a boring summer as far as heat and convection go. Who cares about some low to mid 90s (it's common), I was waiting for some 100s to show up but nope. Very mundane and typical heat.The heat surge looks interesting for 2nd half of August but will it be record breaking; fingers crossed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 What does not having to do with hitting 90, have to do with an AN summer? I have had several 90's this summer. Its been a great summer, not extremely warm, but its been warm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 What does not having to do with hitting 90, have to do with an AN summer? I have had several 90's this summer. Its been a great summer, not extremely warm, but its been warm. I don't know. I was just responding to him saying that some areas in NW New Jersey haven't hit 90, because most places around here did, including those over a 1000'. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 I don't know. I was just responding to him saying that some areas in NW New Jersey haven't hit 90, because most places around here did, including those over a 1000'. I was talking to easternsnowman. He seems very premature. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Still managed to get above 80 today. I believe i saw warlock posting something about this. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Just remember that the warm periods never end up being as warm as advertised just like the cooler periods never end up as cool. There is a reason why the averages are what they are. The same can be said about wet/dry periods. This is a big win for the heat lovers, keep in mind that the average high is dropping and will continue to drop so a high in the lower 90's is now well above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Today in KNYC ended up just average, even with the rain. +2 min, -2 max. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 The GEFS ensembles look very favorable for Tropical systems impacting the Southeast United States if they develop West of 60W with a large ridge centered near Quebec and low shear in the Gulf and off the Southeast US coast. All of this as we are nearing the statistical peak of hurricane season. The GFS is finally starting to show hints of a more active season with stronger waves begin to exit the African coast North of 15N. Cape Verde season is starting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 The GEFS ensembles look very favorable for Tropical systems impacting the Southeast United States if they develop West of 60W with a large ridge centered near Quebec and low shear in the Gulf and off the Southeast US coast. All of this as we are nearing the statistical peak of hurricane season. The GFS is finally starting to show hints of a more active season with stronger waves begin to exit the African coast North of 15N. Cape Verde season is starting. According to TIp the problem has been the lack of strong waves not the shear per say like we saw in 97 and not the dry stable air of the last 2 seasons. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 I was talking to easternsnowman. He seems very premature. Ah, my bad. Sun came out briefly and it felt pretty steamy, otherwise it's back to clouds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 According to TIp the problem has been the lack of strong waves not the shear per say like we saw in 97 and not the dry stable air of the last 2 seasons. Yes, It was nice to see some stronger waves emerging on the 12z GFS. Of course this is all noise for now but we are starting to get close to when we should start expecting things to heat up so keeping my fingers crossed. Can't remember the last time we made it through August without even fantasy storms showing up on the models. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Just remember that the warm periods never end up being as warm as advertised just like the cooler periods never end up as cool. There is a reason why the averages are what they are. The same can be said about wet/dry periods. This is a big win for the heat lovers, keep in mind that the average high is dropping and will continue to drop so a high in the lower 90's is now well above normal. Very true. 90 degrees is relative. July 14, nothing special, August 14, much more impressive. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 11, 2015 Share Posted August 11, 2015 Yes, It was nice to see some stronger waves emerging on the 12z GFS. Of course this is all noise for now but we are starting to get close to when we should start expecting things to heat up so keeping my fingers crossed. Can't remember the last time we made it through August without even fantasy storms showing up on the models. waters are running cooler than normal in the south Atlantic which doesn't help Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Holiday weekend keeps showing up wet with possible tropical involvement along the coast. As for the heatwave ( 8/19-25), Cobb Data Table has 6 straight low 90's. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Holiday weekend keeps showing up wet with possible tropical involvement along the coast. As for the heatwave ( 8/19-25), Cobb Data Table has 6 straight low 90's. Wait, what? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Holiday weekend keeps showing up wet with possible tropical involvement along the coast. As for the heatwave ( 8/19-25), Cobb Data Table has 6 straight low 90's. Labor Day is Sept 7th--that's 4 weeks from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Oh geez someone is looking at 21-30 day models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 This could possibly be the first time for NYC that August registers the warmest departure of summer since that other El Nino summer of 2009. The other developing El Nino summer of 2002 featured backloaded warmth and August also had the warmest departure of summer. Let's hope the following winter pattern holds for those two years if NYC pulls this off. June......-0.2 July.......+2.3 August..+2.1...so far with warm stretch ahead Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 This could possibly be the first time for NYC that August registers the warmest departure of summer since that other El Nino summer of 2009. The other developing El Nino summer of 2002 featured backloaded warmth and August also had the warmest departure of summer. Let's hope the following winter pattern holds for those two years if NYC pulls this off. June......-0.2 July.......+2.3 August..+2.1...so far with warm stretch ahead Even today's min in NYC couldn't get lower than a +2.Yesterday with rain could have been below average, but it as average instead. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 8/6: NYC: 83/67 (-1) EWR: 85/66 (-1) LGA: 82/70 (-1) JFK: 86/69 (+2) TTN: 85/60 (-2) PHL: 85/68 (-1) 8/7: (so far) NYC: 84/69 (+1) EWR: 84/67 (-1) LGA: 82/69 (-1) JFK: 86/69 (+2) TTN: 85/65 (+0) PHL: 87/69 (+0) 8/8 NYC: 82/68 (-2) EWR: 83/65 (-3) LGA: 81/69 (-1) JFK: 83/68 (+0) TTN: 83/61 (-3) PHL: 87/69 (+0) 8/9 NYC: 85/68 (+1) EWR: 85/69 (+0) LGA: 84/70 (+0) JFK: 87/66 (+1) TTN: 86/63(+0) PHL: 86/71 (+1) 8/10: NYC: 84/70 (+1) EWR: 81/68 (-2) LGA: 81/70 (-1) JFK: 81/68 (-1) TTN: 81/63 (-3_ PHL: 79/69 (-3) 8/11: NYC: 81/71 (+0) 1.18 EWR: 82/71 (+0) 1..17 LGA: 82/71 (+0) 0.96 JFK: 81/72 (+2) 1.13 TTN: 83/69 (+1) 1.28 PHL: 85/71 (+1) 0.76 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 Overnight guidance continues with warm to hot second half of August. Stronger heat potential 8/17 - 8/19 then 8/21 - 8/22. Looks 2 - 5 above normal through the next 10 days (overall) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted August 12, 2015 Share Posted August 12, 2015 It was beautiful to sleep with the windows open. Love this cool weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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