Morris Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Let's see what the NAM shows now. it needs to be in Montreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 5, 2015 Author Share Posted August 5, 2015 Looking good for this system Friday! We need the rain. Hopefully we get some tstms! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 7:53 PM, Morris said: How much more NW? The ensemble mean is still SE of the OP with mostly further east individual storm tracks. But a few members were similar to the OP. We'll have to see if we get a more NW move in the next few runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 5, 2015 Author Share Posted August 5, 2015 If this is a trend this winter i'm going to laugh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BxEngine Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 7:39 PM, IsentropicLift said: WETTER OLD run When is the precip over? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:18 PM, dmillz25 said: If this is a trend this winter i'm going to laughSame here and with a smile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 NAM? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 5, 2015 Author Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:23 PM, Brian5671 said: NAM? Probably a bullseye over NYC lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:23 PM, Brian5671 said: NAM? yanksfan would have posted it already if it was well NW. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Mt Holly not biting at the moment Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:29 PM, winterwarlock said: Mt Holly not biting at the moment they all got burned yesterday biting-Upton had a washout here up til this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:18 PM, BxEngine said: When is the precip over? Not until late Saturday night if this wraps up like some members are showing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Stop forecasting like its happening Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted August 5, 2015 Author Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:47 PM, winterwarlock said: Stop forecasting like its happening And if it does happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Big changes on the 18z NAM. Slowed way down and now has a big wrapped up coastal about 125 miles SE of ACY Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Compared to 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:53 PM, IsentropicLift said: Compared to 12z That's a huge difference from the earlier mess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 The NAM was in the process of closing off at H5 when the run ended. Hard to say what would have happened if the run had been able to continue, but it was moving due North, looked to be on a collision course with E LI and SE NE at the very least. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 On 8/5/2015 at 8:54 PM, Morris said: That's a huge difference from the earlier mess. It still shows the activity for Thursday/Friday sliding to our South. What appears to be happening is that models are starting to focus on the trailing shortwave. That's what the Euro did, that's what the wrapped up ARW members did. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Nice hit for the twin forks and the Cape You can see here that it just about closes off Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 18z GFS looks like it bumped NW again. DC area crushed at 21z Friday. 12z was off the VA coast at the same period. Still have work to do. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 AG3's beloved RGEM is way North. Wagons North! What's a 200 mile shift among friends? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Wow on RGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 Now let's get that by 0z.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted August 5, 2015 Share Posted August 5, 2015 I think it's pretty much a lock we ge some rain. The queston is is it a soaker. We all know about the rain situation on the island so we really need this! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 21z SREFs incoming. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 21z SREF is a bit drier, 1"+ contour runs through Staten Island and Brooklyn. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 Today's Highs: TEB: 89 NYC: 87 EWR: 90 LGA: 88 JFK: 91 ISP: 89 New Brunswick: 90 BLM: 90 TTN: 88 PHL: 89 ACY: 89 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 On 8/6/2015 at 1:36 AM, IsentropicLift said: 21z SREF is a bit drier, 1"+ contour runs through Staten Island and Brooklyn. Do you have map to map images to compare? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted August 6, 2015 Share Posted August 6, 2015 On 8/6/2015 at 1:39 AM, Morris said: Do you have map to map images to compare?I'm on mobile so no. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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