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July 11-14 Severe Weather Event


Powerball

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Supercell directly east of Ottawa is beginning to become really impressive... Tennis ball sized hail, 70 mph winds... and a developing hook

I do think that is the one to watch at the moment.  Just got off work and scanned SPC meso parameters.  Wow to have this instability and kinematics juxtaposed at any time, not just July.  Certainly have discrete HP supercells forming.  When the cap fully breaks we could have lots of trouble in multiple areas with the shear in place.

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Ground scraping wall cloud on that LOT supercell right now per live feed. Not quite the low level shear to bring anything to the ground at this time. But it will be increasing through time. 

 

 

Yeah, short range models increase 850 mb winds to 30-40 kts pretty soon.

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The cell in N MO is warned for 70mph winds warning includes Quincy

 

Because of that cell, ILX has now locally extended the Tornado Watch to include Jacksonville, Springfield, and Taylorville, among others.

WATCH COUNTY NOTIFICATION FOR WATCH 413NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LINCOLN IL601 PM CDT MON JUL 13 2015ILC017-021-029-137-139-167-169-171-173-140315-/O.EXA.KILX.TO.A.0413.000000T0000Z-150714T0400Z/THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE HAS EXTENDED TORNADO WATCH 413 TOINCLUDE THE FOLLOWING AREAS UNTIL 11 PM CDT THIS EVENINGIN ILLINOIS THIS WATCH INCLUDES 9 COUNTIESIN CENTRAL ILLINOISCHRISTIAN             MOULTRIE              SANGAMONSHELBYIN EAST CENTRAL ILLINOISCOLESIN WEST CENTRAL ILLINOISCASS                  MORGAN                SCHUYLERSCOTTTHIS INCLUDES THE CITIES OF...BEARDSTOWN...CHARLESTON...JACKSONVILLE...MATTOON...RUSHVILLE...SHELBYVILLE...SPRINGFIELD...SULLIVAN...TAYLORVILLE AND WINCHESTER.
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No reason to issue a Tornado Warning when they have live streams on the storm and can issue as soon as a Tornado begins to form.

Not only that, but the radar signature has not been the best either.

 

The storm is struggling once again right now as well.

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