dendrite Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 You thinking days of 60's and 70's for highs?Who said that? It's the peak climo time of the year. 78-83 with low dews is slightly BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Who said that? It's the peak climo time of the year. 78-83 with low dews is slightly BN. BDL is 74 average everyday rest of the month but his hometown of ORH is 70 so there is that Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 18, 2015 Author Share Posted July 18, 2015 I'm thinking it can be below normal over the next 2 weeks, especially after the heat of the next couple days. Near normal or below is a real possibility this month. You may need to accept that at some point haha. Why do you always try to get into specific temp forecasts weeks out? Who is going to say every day will be 82/54 for the next two weeks straight? Someone who is calling for the month to be BN everywhere Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Always have to twist it one last time for good measure. considering all time lows for BDL are this I doubt anyone forecasts 40's or even near 50 7/19 51 in 1956 53 in 1971 55 in 1976+ 7/20 50 in 1929 51 in 2001 51 in 1965 7/21 50 in 1974 50 in 1966 51 in 1965+ 7/22 52 in 1974 52 in 1944 53 in 1965+ 7/23 49 in 1977 52 in 2000 53 in 1976 7/24 49 in 1985 51 in 1923 53 in 1912 7/25 50 in 1912 51 in 1992 51 in 1960 7/26 50 in 1984 50 in 1978 50 in 1976 7/27 49 in 2001 49 in 1977 51 in 1975 7/28 48 in 2001 49 in 1977 51 in 1971+ 7/29 51 in 1977 52 in 1968 54 in 1987+ 7/30 48 in 1968 49 in 1956 50 in 1997 7/31 50 in 1956 51 in 2001 53 in 1997 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 considering all time lows for BDL are this I doubt anyone forecasts 40's or even near 50 7/19 51 in 1956 53 in 1971 55 in 1976+ 7/20 50 in 1929 51 in 2001 51 in 1965 7/21 50 in 1974 50 in 1966 51 in 1965+ 7/22 52 in 1974 52 in 1944 53 in 1965+ 7/23 49 in 1977 52 in 2000 53 in 1976 7/24 49 in 1985 51 in 1923 53 in 1912 7/25 50 in 1912 51 in 1992 51 in 1960 7/26 50 in 1984 50 in 1978 50 in 1976 7/27 49 in 2001 49 in 1977 51 in 1975 7/28 48 in 2001 49 in 1977 51 in 1971+ 7/29 51 in 1977 52 in 1968 54 in 1987+ 7/30 48 in 1968 49 in 1956 50 in 1997 7/31 50 in 1956 51 in 2001 53 in 1997 Why let climo get in the way of a good story? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Well bring the warmth. I'll be swimming. Does look like mid to late next week gets a cool down though.Yup, nice trough comes down for Wednesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 We'll see. I'm thinking there's no real cool or BN days. You've got Ginx in your corner .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES... THE PRIMARY CHANGE WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE IS NOTING THE SHIFT FROM A NEARLY PERFECT ZONAL MEAN JET THROUGH THE LONG TERM...TO NOW A SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW PATTERN. THE ISSUE IS THE BIFURCATING CUTOFF ACROSS CANADA...THE EASTERN LOBE NOW LOOKS TO SETTLE A BIT FURTHER SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MID TERM. THIS YIELDS CYCLONIC CURVATURE ALOFT FOR MUCH THROUGH MID WEEK AT LEAST. SO...IN ESSENCE...HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF A PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL OVERALL TEMPS COMBINED WITH MORE CLOUDS AND A HIGHER RISK OF RAFL WITH A SHORTWAVE PASSAGE ON TUE. H5 HEIGHTS AND H85 TEMPS ARE MAINLY BELOW NORMAL PER LATEST ENSEMBLES. THIS SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW DOES HAVE A SOMEWHAT HAPPY ENDING...IN THE FORM OF A STRONGER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER LATER IN THE WEEK/WEEKEND...WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR A DRIER...BUT MORE SUMMER-LIKE PERIOD. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH SATURDAY/... OVERVIEW AND MODEL PREFERENCES... THE PRIMARY CHANGE WITH THIS FORECAST UPDATE IS NOTING THE SHIFT FROM A NEARLY PERFECT ZONAL MEAN JET THROUGH THE LONG TERM...TO NOW A SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW PATTERN. THE ISSUE IS THE BIFURCATING CUTOFF ACROSS CANADA...THE EASTERN LOBE NOW LOOKS TO SETTLE A BIT FURTHER SOUTHEAST THROUGH THE MID TERM. THIS YIELDS CYCLONIC CURVATURE ALOFT FOR MUCH THROUGH MID WEEK AT LEAST. SO...IN ESSENCE...HIGHER LIKELIHOOD OF A PERIOD OF BELOW NORMAL OVERALL TEMPS COMBINED WITH MORE CLOUDS AND A HIGHER RISK OF RAFL WITH A SHORTWAVE PASSAGE ON TUE. H5 HEIGHTS AND H85 TEMPS ARE MAINLY BELOW NORMAL PER LATEST ENSEMBLES. THIS SLIGHTLY MORE AMPLIFIED FLOW DOES HAVE A SOMEWHAT HAPPY ENDING...IN THE FORM OF A STRONGER RIDGE TO BUILD OVER LATER IN THE WEEK/WEEKEND...WHICH COULD ALLOW FOR A DRIER...BUT MORE SUMMER-LIKE PERIOD. I chuckled when I read that. Too bad it also includes mention of clouds and rain which would dampen (no pun intended) unadulterated COC weather. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
codfishsnowman Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 how rainy along and s of new england does tuesday really look? my friends and I want to go kill some cod, tuesday looked mint up til this morning's technical discussion which has me a bit worried...any thoughts from the experts? we need to be 20-30 mi se of pt judith in a small 25 foot boat Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
downeastnc Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 I am headed up to Chicopee Mass the first week of Aug and I would love to have highs under 80 with no humidity, so if yall can work on that I would appreciate it....but even 85 will be ok given the summer here so far this year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 I am headed up to Chicopee Mass the first week of Aug and I would love to have highs under 80 with no humidity, so if yall can work on that I would appreciate it....but even 85 will be ok given the summer here so far this year. Well if it's going to happen this is the summer. Although with the brewing huge Nino one would think August and September would offer some shots of heat. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HIPPYVALLEY Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Chilling in Halifax now, a little damp today coming though the Annapolis Valley but it's vacation and damn it's beautiful up here. Nice people too. The overnight ferry from Portland is fantastic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dan76 Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Chilling in Halifax now, a little damp today coming though the Annapolis Valley but it's vacation and damn it's beautiful up here. Nice people too. The overnight ferry from Portland is fantastic. On the bucket list. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 MET last night had 98 for BOS today. Up to 79 already with clear skies up from 71 2 hours ago. May be the blind squirrel found the nut this time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Author Share Posted July 20, 2015 Loks like it heats up again this coming weekend Especially Sunday..Watch the numbers play catch up all week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Chilling in Halifax now, a little damp today coming though the Annapolis Valley but it's vacation and damn it's beautiful up here. Nice people too. The overnight ferry from Portland is fantastic. Nice. Pics? ENjoy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Loks like it heats up again this coming weekend Especially Sunday..Watch the numbers play catch up all week Ok What's the over under at BOS/ORH/BDL max temps for Sunday? Climo is 81/79/84. As of today Taunton has them at 79/79/84 for next Sunday. What, exactly, does "heats up" mean? Above the current forecast from BOX? Above climo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Author Share Posted July 20, 2015 Ok What's the over under at BOS/ORH/BDL max temps for Sunday? Climo is 81/79/84. As of today Taunton has them at 79/79/84 for next Sunday. What, exactly, does "heats up" mean? Above the current forecast from BOX? Above climo?Upper 80's-low 90's Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HoarfrostHubb Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 MET last night had 98 for BOS today. Up to 79 already with clear skies up from 71 2 hours ago. May be the blind squirrel found the nut this time.92 is my call for BOSBarry B posted 94 for his 7 day and I thought that was a stretch Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Randy4Confluence Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Already passed our hottest day of the year statistically (July 14). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 MET is on crack as usual. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Valley Snowman Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 83/70. Torch. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Already passed our hottest day of the year statistically (July 14). Some places will be hitting theirs in the next 10 days or so. My normal peak is a mean of 69.6 that starts on the 14th and ends on the 28th. If I expand out the decimal places, I can see that the 22nd is the peak by .06° lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Upper 80's-low 90's Are you still going for an AN July where we live? Despite yesterday's heat we still are ranking #8 for coolest July's since 1985 and -1.2° below the long term normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Author Share Posted July 20, 2015 Are you still going for an AN July where we live? Despite yesterday's heat we still are ranking #8 for coolest July's since 1985 and -1.2° below the long term normal.Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Yes OK - time will tell. We still have ten days left to add to the record so we'll see where it winds up. I think we will wind up BN. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Author Share Posted July 20, 2015 OK - time will tell. We still have ten days left to add to the record so we'll see where it winds up. I think we will wind up BN.Clouds yesterday killed us. Dropped into the upper 70's before sun came back out at 3:30 but it was too late to recover by then Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CapturedNature Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Clouds yesterday killed us. Dropped into the upper 70's before sun came back out at 3:30 but it was too late to recover by then One heck of a way to run a heat wave between Yesterday and Saturday. We have the high dp's but not the heat. This morning's low is about as warm as they come. Slap in the face opening the door...lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted July 20, 2015 Author Share Posted July 20, 2015 One heck of a way to run a heat wave between Yesterday and Saturday. We have the high dp's but not the heat. This morning's low is about as warm as they come. Slap in the face opening the door...lol.Did a 4 miler this morning. Went thru a couple rolls of TP Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted July 20, 2015 Share Posted July 20, 2015 Some places will be hitting theirs in the next 10 days or so. My normal peak is a mean of 69.6 that starts on the 14th and ends on the 28th. If I expand out the decimal places, I can see that the 22nd is the peak by .06° lol. Peak at my place is July 22-25 (all within 0.02F) but for the 16-day period July 17-Aug 1 all days are within 0.2F of the top. As with most climate in this area, the summer peak is a lot flatter than the winter valley. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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