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July 2015 Discussion


Powerball

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it's been so wet to our southwest i think it's a decent hedge at this stage. Maybe we sneak into the action friday evening.

Yeah....this season's ring has been somewhat set...so much moisture in the soil and add to that what the evaportransporation is gonna do as we progress...boundaries will have a tough time making major headway northbound. It's not that the boundaries moving way north can't happen at all...I just wouldn't hedge my bets on it happening

Ended up with 1.3 inches last night...and a total of 2.2 inches from the multiple rounds yesterday through this morning...

Mid September feel outside on the skin...every window cracked to take advantage of the lower DPs

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Didn't see any fog this morning, but it was definitely breezy and cool. 0.59" of rain yesterday into early this morning.

O yeah the new graphics are sweet!

 

Air quality alert for smoke for the entire state of WI. According to 12pm surface observations the plume is parked near I-39/90. 

MSN: KMSN 071653Z 35011G16KT 6SM FU BKN045 18/11 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP174 T01830111

 

 

WIZ046-047-051-052-056>060-062>072-072300-
MARQUETTE-GREEN LAKE-FOND DU LAC-SHEBOYGAN-SAUK-COLUMBIA-DODGE-
WASHINGTON-OZAUKEE-IOWA-DANE-JEFFERSON-WAUKESHA-MILWAUKEE-
LAFAYETTE-GREEN-ROCK-WALWORTH-RACINE-KENOSHA-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...MONTELLO...BERLIN...FOND DU LAC...
SHEBOYGAN...BARABOO...PORTAGE...WISCONSIN DELLS...BEAVER DAM...
WEST BEND...PORT WASHINGTON...DODGEVILLE...MADISON...JEFFERSON...
LAKE MILLS...WAUKESHA...BROOKFIELD...MILWAUKEE...DARLINGTON...
MONROE...JANESVILLE...BELOIT...ELKHORN...LAKE GENEVA...RACINE...
KENOSHA
447 AM CDT TUE JUL 7 2015


...SPECIAL AIR QUALITY NOTICE FOR PARTS OF WISCONSIN...

THE WISCONSIN DEPARTMENT OF NATURAL RESOURCES HAS ISSUED A
SPECIAL AIR QUALITY NOTICE FOR PARTS OF WISCONSIN.

THE WILDFIRE SMOKE THAT HAS BEEN OVER WISCONSIN FOR SEVERAL DAYS
IS NOW BEING BROUGHT DOWN TO THE SURFACE.

A COLD FRONT HAS PASSED THROUGH THE STATE DURING THE LATE NIGHT
HOURS OF MONDAY INTO TUESDAY MORNING. TYPICALLY...THE AIR BEHIND
A COLD FRONT IS DESCENDING THROUGH THE ATMOSPHERE. THIS
DESCENDING MOTION IS WHAT IS BRINGING THE WILDFIRE SMOKE TO GROUND
LEVEL.

THE PM2.5 AIR QUALITY HAS REACHED THE UNHEALTHY LEVEL FOR
SENSITIVE GROUPS (ORANGE CATEGORY) AT SEVERAL MONITORING SITES
ACROSS NORTHERN AND WEST-CENTRAL WISCONSIN. THE SENSITIVE GROUPS
CATEGORY INCLUDES CHILDREN...ELDERLY PEOPLE...INDIVIDUALS WITH
RESPIRATORY AND CARDIAC PROBLEMS...OR ANYONE ENGAGED IN STRENUOUS
OUTDOOR ACTIVITIES FOR A PROLONGED PERIOD OF TIME.

THE WIDTH AND DENSITY OF THE SMOKE PLUME WILL VARY AT ANY GIVEN
LOCATION. THE FORECAST IS FOR THE SMOKE TO MOVE SOUTHEASTWARD
ACROSS THE STATE THIS MORNING.

FOR CURRENT INFORMATION ON AIR QUALITY READINGS PLEASE CALL
THE DAILY AIR HOTLINE AT 1-866-DAILYAIR...1-866-324-5924.

$

 

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The rain started here around 9:50 am, moderate after noon and at times heavy. Very dark today and damp. The air smells really nice though. The last 2 or 3 days had a smokey haze blanketing the sky which is very rare in my spot, I think that has happened 3 times in the last 6+ years.

 

Yesterday was suppose to be the warmest day in over 45 days but we didn't reach the forecast high of 86ºF, what else is new? Including today the next 3 days will be below normal.

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Just dumping rain right now. 3.21 inches already reported just to the west of me. Haven't been home yet but interested to see what is flooded over.

 

Hope all is well.

 

3.92" at IND today through 4:00 PM. That amount is good for the 11th highest calendar day rainfall in recorded history for Indianapolis. And it's still raining... 

 

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Beautiful day here after the smoke filled spectacle that occurred later yesterday (apocalypse)....  Love this weather.   Maybe some heat this weekend but euro doesn't look too horrible..earlier runs of gfs showed near 100f...  doubtful. 

 

Banana man Saukville palm boy sent me the 552 hr CFS and said lock it in..

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Too bad there is almost zero shear aloft, solid CAPE this morning ahead of the line could have made things interesting

 

And it did, to our SE (per the severe weather thread)...

 

With the amount of moisture (heavy precip loading, thus collapsing t'storms) and instability that was available, you really don't need much shear to get a fair amount of severe action, mainly damaging winds. 

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Am I late to the party, or are there suddenly new pictures in our point forecasts?

 

They weren't there last night.

 

Still, no weather icons/pictures will ever be as good as what TWC had in the late 90s/early-mid 2000s (see avatar)...

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And it did, to our SE (per the severe weather thread)...

 

With the amount of moisture (heavy precip loading, thus collapsing t'storms) and instability that was available, you really don't need much shear to get a fair amount of severe action, mainly damaging winds. 

 

Yeah all we maybe needed was 30 kts 

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RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE INDIANAPOLIS IN
0731 PM EDT TUE JUL 07 2015

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM RAINFALL SET AT INDIANAPOLIS IN...

A RECORD RAINFALL OF 4.43 INCHES WAS SET AT INDIANAPOLIS IN TODAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 4.22 SET IN 1915. STAY TUNED FOR AN
UPDATED TOTAL IN THE EVENT OF ADDITIONAL RAINFALL BEFORE MIDNIGHT.

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I can understand why this survey was done quickly

 

PRELIMINARY LOCAL STORM REPORT  
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE LOUISVILLE KY  
639 PM EDT TUE JUL 7 2015  
   
..TIME... ...EVENT... ...CITY LOCATION... ...LAT.LON
 
   
..DATE... ....MAG.... ..COUNTY LOCATION..ST.. ...SOURCE.
 
 
..REMARKS..  
 
0328 PM TSTM WND DMG 1 S BARDSTOWN 37.80N 85.46W  
07/07/2015 NELSON KY NWS STORM SURVEY  
 
AN NWS STORM SURVEY OF ROOFS BLOWN OFF A  
BOURBON WAREHOUSE DETERMINED THE DAMAGE WAS  
DONE BY A SMALL MICROBURST. WINDS DETERMINED  
TO BE AROUND 95 MPH.  
 

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Got 0.15" of rain today... but you'd expect it was more based on the roads. Everything's pretty well saturated... the next week is gonna be interesting. Flood-wise, first it was Oklahoma... then Texas... Illinois, now Missouri. Someone posted above that some places near Indianapolis got >5" today. It seems like Mother Nature is deliberately flooding the lower Midwest region. The only states left are Indiana and Ohio. What a crazy (swampy) warm season it's been so far.

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