IsentropicLift Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 What a soaker this morning, Despite low radar returns it poured my entire trip to work. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 FLOOD WATCHNATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE NEW YORK NY335 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2015...FLASH FLOODING POSSIBLE LATE THIS AFTERNOON AND INTO TONIGHTOVER THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY AND SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...CTZ005>012-NYZ067>071-092045-/O.NEW.KOKX.FF.A.0003.150709T2100Z-150710T0700Z//00000.0.ER.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.000000T0000Z.OO/NORTHERN FAIRFIELD-NORTHERN NEW HAVEN-NORTHERN MIDDLESEX-NORTHERN NEW LONDON-SOUTHERN FAIRFIELD-SOUTHERN NEW HAVEN-SOUTHERN MIDDLESEX-SOUTHERN NEW LONDON-ORANGE-PUTNAM-ROCKLAND-NORTHERN WESTCHESTER-SOUTHERN WESTCHESTER-335 AM EDT THU JUL 9 2015...FLASH FLOOD WATCH IN EFFECT FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATETONIGHT...THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN UPTON HAS ISSUED A* FLASH FLOOD WATCH FOR PORTIONS OF SOUTHERN CONNECTICUT ANDSOUTHEAST NEW YORK...INCLUDING THE FOLLOWING AREAS...INSOUTHERN CONNECTICUT...FAIRFIELD...MIDDLESEX...NEW HAVEN...ANDNEW LONDON. IN SOUTHEAST NEW YORK...WESTCHESTER...ORANGE...PUTNAM...AND ROCKLAND.* FROM THIS AFTERNOON THROUGH LATE TONIGHT* AN AREA OF RAIN AND THUNDERSTORMS OVER THE MIDWEST WILL TRACKEAST TODAY...AND LIKELY PASS OVER THE LOWER HUDSON VALLEY ANDSOUTHERN CONNECTICUT FROM LATE THIS AFTERNOON INTO TONIGHT. THISWILL BRING THE POTENTIAL FOR AROUND 1 INCH OF RAINFALL...WITHLOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTS OF 3 OR MORE INCHES POSSIBLE.PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...A FLASH FLOOD WATCH MEANS THAT CONDITIONS MAY DEVELOP THAT LEADTO FLASH FLOODING. FLASH FLOODING IS A VERY DANGEROUS SITUATION.YOU SHOULD MONITOR LATER FORECASTS AND BE PREPARED TO TAKE ACTIONSHOULD FLASH FLOOD WARNINGS BE ISSUED.&&$MALOIT Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Classic wet developing El Nino pattern to start July where the high temperature potential is muted and the low temperatures overperform. This is the latest that Newark has gone without a 95 degree day since 2009. Newark Max/Min for July so far 7/1.....0/0 7/2....-4/0 7/3...,-2/-4 7/4....-7/+2 7/5....-1/0 7/6... -3/+2 7/7....+5/+6 7/8....+4/+9 +0.6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Classic wet developing El Nino pattern to start July where the high temperature potential is muted and the low temperatures overperform. This is the latest that Newark has gone without a 95 degree day since 2009. Newark Max/Min for July so far 7/1.....0/0 7/2....-4/0 7/3...,-2/-4 7/4....-7/+2 7/5....-1/0 7/6... -3/+2 7/7....+5/+6 7/8....+4/+9 +0.6 I see KNYC was 88/77 for max/min yesterday...I still think this year has a day with a minimum 80 or higher... ..July 8th Highest min... .....80 in 1993.... .....78 in 2013.... .....77 in 1986..... .....77 in 1981 .....77 in 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Light drizzle now. Should clear up soon. Today looks to be sunny with pop up storms. Some more pronounced breaks and fizzling clouds visible in PA now. Much like yesterday should be the theme today, a few degrees cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 I see KNYC was 88/77 for max/min yesterday...I still think this year has a day with a minimum 80 or higher... ..July 8th Highest min... .....80 in 1993.... .....78 in 2013.... .....77 in 1986..... .....77 in 1981 .....77 in 2015 Yeah, Newark had a 77 minimum yesterday also. On 7/7/12 and 7/8/12 Newark had 77 minimums with much higher maxes than yesterday. 7/8/15.....90/77 7/7/12...102/77 7/8/12.....96/77 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Central Park is so far only 78/68 today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Superstorm Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Yeah, Newark had a 77 minimum yesterday also. On 7/7/12 and 7/8/12 Newark had 77 minimums with much higher maxes than yesterday. 7/8/15.....90/77 7/7/12...102/77 7/8/12.....96/77 Pretty decent winters after each of those summers Sent from my iPhone using Tapatalk Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Central Park is so far only 78/68 today. Should get a decent negative departure, probably -3 or -4. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 9, 2015 Share Posted July 9, 2015 Pretty decent winters after each of those summers Sent from my iPhone Yeah, it hasn't been difficult to to get good winters here since 2000. NYC has recorded 11 near or above normal snowfall seasons out of the last 15. The only 4 duds since 2000 were 01-02, 06-07, 07-08, and 11-12. The previous 15 years(85/86-99/00) we were only batting 5 near or above out of 15. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Today's Highs: TEB: 81 NYC: 79 EWR: 80 LGA: 79 JFK: 77 ISP: 74 New Brunswick: 85 BLM: 75 TTN: 83 PHL: 85 ACY: 88 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Yeah, it hasn't been difficult to to get good winters here since 2000. NYC has recorded 11 near or above normal snowfall seasons out of the last 15. The only 4 duds since 2000 were 01-02, 06-07, 07-08, and 11-12. The previous 15 years(85/86-99/00) we were only batting 5 near or above out of 15. Going to be ugly when we hit the next 5 out of 15. Regression to mean has to occur at some point unfortunately. What a run we've had. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 3 beauteous summer days incomng..enjoy! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 3 beauteous summer days incomng..enjoy! Yes, congrats on the first legit heatwave of July. Luckily I will be up in Boston all weekend where it will be much cooler. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Can someone please post precip totals from yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2015 Author Share Posted July 10, 2015 Yes, congrats on the first legit heatwave of July. Luckily I will be up in Boston all weekend where it will be much cooler. Meanwhile ill be in DC where 90 degrees is regular there Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Can someone please post precip totals from yesterdayPark 0.30"Newark 0.49" LaGuardia 0.29" Kennedy 0.32" HPN 0.35" ACY 0.39" TTN 0.48" TEB 0.42" PHL 0.63" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 I have yet to hit 90F this month, and probably won't until the last 1/3 of July. Today's a beautiful day with lower dews and temperatures eventually making the low/mid 80s. Anything but brutal given the time of year. The next 3-4 weeks are climatologically the most warm/humid part of the year. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 I have yet to hit 90F this month, and probably won't until the last 1/3 of July. Today's a beautiful day with lower dews and temperatures eventually making the low/mid 80s. Anything but brutal given the time of year. The next 3-4 weeks are climatologically the most warm/humid part of the year. Iso - I barely snuck in a 90 on Wed. Clouds muddying up the heat potential last 3/4 weeks for sure. Looking ahead Troughs on both east and Pacific coasts with huge ridge rockies east into the mid section. Id say riding normal next 10 days is best bet (overall) some warm and some cooler/rainy days. There is a tendency to expand heights /warmth on/around 19/20. We'll see as gfs has been warmer vs ECM which continues to have weakness undercut any ridging and maintain troughing albeit not significnantly cooler than normal by any means. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 7/10 - 7/13 : Warm 90s potential in warmer spots. Finally sunny and dry 7/14 - 7/19 : Normal but plenty of storm/rain chances (clouds) so balanced warmer days with cooler/wet days like first week. 7/20 - 7/31 : Ridge expand east or retrograde west again. Id ride the normal EVEN STEVEN train till months end and think August may follows Neil Diamond "Hot August Nights" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Blue Skies - nuttin but blue skies (except LI) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 10, 2015 Author Share Posted July 10, 2015 Park 0.30" Newark 0.49" LaGuardia 0.29" Kennedy 0.32" HPN 0.35" ACY 0.39" TTN 0.48" TEB 0.42" PHL 0.63" So who was the one calling for under .25 yesterday Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 I ended up with 0.06" yesterday, so I'll still have to water the container plants today. Still mostly cloudy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IsentropicLift Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 I had 0.16" in the morning and another 0.47" at night for a total of 0.63" on the day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 If you're a heat lover, then it doesn't look too good for you. I think July could finish at a +1 mostly due to warmer mins, so nothing shocking there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 If you're a heat lover, then it doesn't look too good for you. I think July could finish at a +1 mostly due to warmer mins, so nothing shocking there. Next 60 hours looks good for heat lovers. Not blow torch but low 90s and dry sunny heat. Enjoy Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Next 60 hours looks good for heat lovers. Not blow torch but low 90s and dry sunny heat. Enjoy Tony - I think most of us will fall short of 90 the next few days (mostly mid-upper 80s), but I agree on the July 20th-30th period potentially bringing our hottest temps of the summer thus far (maybe a string of days in the 90s). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Sea breeze front very visible on radar in south Jersey. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 10, 2015 Share Posted July 10, 2015 Tony - I think most of us will fall short of 90 the next few days (mostly mid-upper 80s), but I agree on the July 20th-30th period potentially bringing our hottest temps of the summer thus far (maybe a string of days in the 90s). CFS weeklies will have nothing to do with a heat wave if it happens during this period. It shows below normal heights at start of period then normal heights, no above normal heights. I think the Polar Jet Stream does retreat so a stronger ridge could evolve but confidence level is officially low for the 6-10 and 8-14 day periods. At any rate, it is the hottest period of our summers here anyway, and 90 degs. is just 1SD above normal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
UnionWeatherWx Posted July 11, 2015 Share Posted July 11, 2015 I've had about 9 90+ degree occur this summer. It's been average imo. A good summer, not to cool(maybe a day or two) and not to hot. I also hope I can tick on a few more 90's this weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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