Jump to content
  • Member Statistics

    17,589
    Total Members
    7,904
    Most Online
    LopezElliana
    Newest Member
    LopezElliana
    Joined

July 2015 Discussion & Observations


dmillz25

Recommended Posts

  • Replies 1k
  • Created
  • Last Reply

Looking ahead

 

7/22 - 7/26 :  Overall at or below normal.  Looks very nice/dry (no or very limited 90s)

7/27 - 7/30 :   Next potential surge of heat (90s)   GFS warmer than ECM but both pointing to more warmth building in

7/31 - beyond :   Uncertain but overall near normal might be best bet now but chance for more ridging and WAR building west in the period.

 

test8.gif

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Newark 95 degree data for 2000's with 100 degree days included


 


30 year average is 8 days a year


 


95+/100+


 


2015....2/0...so far


2014...2/0


2013...10/2


2012...17/3


2011...16/4


2010...21/4


2009...1/0


2008...7/0


2007...3/0


2006...7/3


2005...14/3


2004....1/0


2003....2/0


2002...15/2


2001...8/3


2000...1/0


Link to comment
Share on other sites

My last 95F+ day here was July 19th, 2013. There were a couple near misses with 94's. Thinking I'll probably miss it again this summer.

If you don't get it by 8/8 or so, chances decrease markedly by then.  Starting to enter a period of quicker daylight loss....as Yogi Berra said, it's getting late early!

Link to comment
Share on other sites

If you don't get it by 8/8 or so, chances decrease markedly by then.  Starting to enter a period of quicker daylight loss....as Yogi Berra said, it's getting late early!

 

I would probably extend that to 8/15 or so, but yeah - the next 2-3 weeks are key for big summer heat. There have been some extreme heat bursts in late Aug/Sept, but on average, I agree, major heat potential (95+) is mostly over by the latter part of August.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Crepe myrtles are blooming around my area - a signal that we've reached the height of summer. Very beautiful trees. Many of them suffered serious damage or died completely from last winter, as we are the northern extent of their range.

 

Same here Iso.  One of my favorites.  Mine have bloomed in the last week.   

 

Id say overall we are running similar but a touch warmer than last summer.  But mostly normal overall.  Even Steven.  

Link to comment
Share on other sites

ECM brings back a tropical wave or storm along the southeast coast next week undercutting ridging.  Perhaps something to watch.  But both gfs and ecm look warmer on/around 7/27 for a few days.  We'll see how hot it can go.

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Same here Iso.  One of my favorites.  Mine have bloomed in the last week.   

 

Id say overall we are running similar but a touch warmer than last summer.  But mostly normal overall.  Even Steven.  

a bit stickier this summer IMO-seems like we had very little humidity last summer

Link to comment
Share on other sites

a bit stickier this summer IMO-seems like we had very little humidity last summer

 

We are also closing in on total # of 90 degree days last year half way through this year so it will be interesting to see how the next 6 - 8 weeks goes..

 

NYC:

 

Jun

2014: +1.0 

2015: -0.3

 

Jul: 

2014: -0.3

2015:

 

Aug:

2014: -0.7

2015:

Link to comment
Share on other sites

Archived

This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.

  • Recently Browsing   0 members

    • No registered users viewing this page.

×
×
  • Create New...