Snowlover11 Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 81 in Lake Buena Vista. Had another round of storms today, been the same all week.last time i checked this is a tri state forum, not Florida. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Looking ahead heres what the latest guidance is leaning towards 7/18 - 7/21 : Heat multiple 90s potential hottest of summer (so far) 7/22 - 7/26 : Overall near normal with some days below and some above. No real heat but some of the warmer spots could snatch a 90 or two -- low chances. 7/27 - beyond: Looks similar to the current period with potential 2-3 days of heat into the area. ECM maintains weakness of f of the NE coast and prohibits any prlonged heat. GFS similar but a touch warmer. Both keep trough into the PAC NW with strong rockies/Plains ridge throughout the period (10 days) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Line of storms moving into the Poconos SE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Just shy of 90 here with my 4th 89 degree day. Looks like all major stations shy of 90 as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CIK62 Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Line of storms moving into the Poconos SE HRRR shows this line preforming mitosis and a splitzo-nitzo in the next 2-4 hours and missing the city to the n.e. ans s.w. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted July 18, 2015 Share Posted July 18, 2015 Beautiful morning in Lake Buena Vista, FL. Expecting more storms later. I went there a few years ago. Beautiful out there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Pretty sweet shelf cloud and subsequent downpour here. The rain shaft was very distinct too, as an added touch. Looks to be near a half inch so far. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Todays Highs: TEB: 87 NYC: 85 EWR: 89 LGA: 86 JFK: 83 ISP: 79 New Brunswick (*): 88 BLM: 86 TTN: 86 PHL: 89 ACY: 84 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 NYC Aug departures (strongest analogs) 2014: -0.7 2009: +0.5 2002: +2.5 1998: +1.5 1997: -1.9 1993: +2.0 1992: -2.3 1987: -1.0 1983: -0.3 1982: -4.1 1972: -0.5 some August temperature records for NYC... Hottest max........Lowest min.... 104 8/07/1918...50 8/27/1885 103 8/26/1948...50 8/28/1885 103 8/09/2001...50 8/29/1965 102 8/11/1944...50 8/29/1982 101 8/28/1948...50 8/29/1986 101 8/04/1944...50 8/30/1965 100 8/31/1953...50 8/31/1976 100 8/28/1948...51 8/23/1923 100 8/09/1949...51 8/27/1887 100 8/05/1944...51 8/30/1986 100 8/05/1955...51 8/31/1965 100 8/02/1955 100 8/01/1933 Highest min.........Coolest max... 84 8/14/1908...59 8/21/2007 83 8/02/2006...59 8/31/1911 82 8/13/1908...60 8/10/1962 82 8/09/1896...60 8/28/1940 82 8/09/2001...61 8/26/1940 82 8/07/1918 82 8/01/1917 81 8/15/1988 81 8/11/1891 81 8/11/1896 81 8/05/1908 Coolest monthly max... 83 in 1927 86 in 1910 87 in 1889 87 in 1894 88 in 1963 88 in 1950 88 in 1904 warmest monthly min... 65 in 2005 64 in 1877 64 in 1980 63 in 1901 63 in 2001 ... # of times 90 or higher... 15 in 1980 14 in 2002 13 in 1959 13 in 1995 12 in 2010 11 in 1939 11 in 1944 10 in 1896 10 in 1936 10 in 1955 10 in 1988 10 in 1991 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Juliancolton Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Ended up with 1.44" from that slow-moving cell. Impressive! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tim Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 ...sunday could be one of those days where NYC will be 20-25 degrees hotter than our Long Island beaches..looking forward to 'chillin' at the beach tmrw. although..little worried that low clouds/fog might hang in there for a while. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 19, 2015 Author Share Posted July 19, 2015 82 at midnight. Definitely feels like it will be 90 plus later today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 What's the record high low for today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
winterwarlock Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Burn baby burn...ive been waitting all summer for a day life today...akin to a 12 Inch snow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
uncle W Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Starts the record high low for today? the low was 78 in NYC this morning... NYC's almanac for 7/19. Highest max. Lowest max. Highest min. Lowest min. Max. Precipitation. 102 in 1977....69 in 2000....83 in 2013....57 in 1924....1.82" in 1919 101 in 1999....70 in 1871....81 in 1878....58 in 1890 ..98 in 1930....71 in 1890....80 in 1982....59 in 1925 ..97 in 1942....72 in 1909....80 in 1905....60 in 1962 ..97 in 1963....72 in 1929....79 in 1952....61 in 2000 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Morris Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 the low was 78 in NYC this morning... NYC's almanac for 7/19. Highest max. Lowest max. Highest min. Lowest min. Max. Precipitation. 102 in 1977....69 in 2000....83 in 2013....57 in 1924....1.82" in 1919 101 in 1999....70 in 1871....81 in 1878....58 in 1890 ..98 in 1930....71 in 1890....80 in 1982....59 in 1925 ..97 in 1942....72 in 1909....80 in 1905....60 in 1962 ..97 in 1963....72 in 1929....79 in 1952....61 in 2000 Thanks. So we're not close. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Thanks. So we're not close. Short a few degrees, but the thing I've noticed is there's been a lot of mild mins at night, at least in comparison to where I am. This morning was an example and you can tell it was going to be blazing hot early on. Forecast is 94°, and the Dewpoint is in the low 70's, should be and feel the hottest day for many, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Thanks. So we're not close. During a hot summer 92 is no big deal. It is humid though so it will be oppressive today Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 During a hot summer 92 is no big deal. It is humid though so it will be oppressive today Suspect most places will reach mid 90s. Skies are looking good and temps should be at 90 by 11AM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Looks like Newark is on track for the second latest first 95 or higher day of the season since 2005. First 95 degree days at Newark since 2005 6-14-05 6-18-06 6-27-07 6-7-08 8-17-09 5-26-10 6-01-11 6-20-12 6-24-13 7-1-14 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SACRUS Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Looks like Newark is on track for the second latest first 95 or higher day of the season since 2005. First 95 degree days at Newark since 2005 6-14-05 6-18-06 6-27-07 6-7-08 8-17-09 5-26-10 6-01-11 6-20-12 6-24-13 7-1-14 Yeah the pattern which yielded numerous cloudy days the end of june/early july solidified this late reading. 6/23 was the best shot prior and was cloudy a good chunk of the day. Itll be interesting to see where the end of the month and August takes us heat-wise. Beyond tue it looks limited chances until about 7/27. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Burn baby burn...ive been waitting all summer for a day life today...akin to a 12 Inch snow If only it was a record breaker. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Yeah the pattern which yielded numerous cloudy days the end of june/early july solidified this late reading. 6/23 was the best shot prior and was cloudy a good chunk of the day. Itll be interesting to see where the end of the month and August takes us heat-wise. Beyond tue it looks limited chances until about 7/27. Yeah, much different Pacific pattern after the record run of heat from 2010-2013. Newark 95+/100+ days...30 year average of 8 days per year of 95 or higher 2014...2/0 2013...10/2 2012...17/3 2011...16/4 2010...21/4 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Looks like Newark is on track for the second latest first 95 or higher day of the season since 2005. First 95 degree days at Newark since 2005 6-14-05 6-18-06 6-27-07 6-7-08 8-17-09 5-26-10 6-01-11 6-20-12 6-24-13 7-1-14 So even last year Newark saw a 95° reading earlier, wow. Last year my highest temp was 93°. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rtd208 Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 Just hit 90 at the closest reporting station in Woodbridge Township. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dmillz25 Posted July 19, 2015 Author Share Posted July 19, 2015 So is there a chance for severe weather here today? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 And there we go, 91° Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LongBeachSurfFreak Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 So is there a chance for severe weather here today? I hope so I'm not a fan of the heat. I like breaking records but just normal hot is annoying. It's even hot here at the beach currently Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JerseyWx Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 So is there a chance for severe weather here today? I wouldn't count on it. I was just reading Mount Holly's discussion and they said most of the activity will be far off to the North and West, with a slight chance of more Northwest Zones seeing something later on tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted July 19, 2015 Share Posted July 19, 2015 So even last year Newark saw a 95° reading earlier, wow. Last year my highest temp was 93°. Yeah, Newark just made it to 95 as of the 2pm update. First 95 degree days at Newark since 2005 6-14-05 6-18-06 6-27-07 6-7-08 8-17-09 5-26-10 6-01-11 6-20-12 6-24-13 7-1-14 7-19-15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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